Best Horse Racing Bets for Thursday, September 30, 2021

| September 29, 2021 11:58 am PDT

For my Thursday picks, Indiana Grand Race Course gave me no option but to agree with the morning line. Still, I found a couple of sleepers and four other underdog moneymakers at Thistledown Racino and Presque Isle Downs.

You can check out all the races and these three tracks with a quick click on our top online racebooks.

Good luck!

Thursday Picks for Indiana Grand Race Course

We start on the turf course for race two, a 1-1/16 miles starter optional claiming run for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I agree with the morning line: Bet the 6/5 favorite, Breeze Rider, with Deshawn L. Parker in the irons.

This four-year-old filly finished in the money for 12 of her 20 career starts, winning eight.

Even better, in 2021, she’s moneyed five of her eight starts, winning four—and that’s despite finishing fifth in both the Ladies Mile Stakes (Listed) at Ellis and the Modesty Stakes (Grade III) at Arlington International Race Course.

Thirty-year racing veteran Steve Manley trains Breeze Rider for owner Mike Piazza.

Let’s stay on the turf for race four, a five-furlong allowance optional claiming race for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I like the 8/5 morning-line favorite for this race, as well—Puppymonkeybaby.

I know. I did a double-take on that name, too.

In any case, this three-year-old filly moneyed all four of her career starts, winning three, including the M. Tyson Gilpin Stakes at Colonial Downs in July. A longshot in that race, she paid $50.40 on a two-dollar bet.

Sarah Nagle trains Puppymonkeybaby for Big Lick Farm, and she’s tapped veteran jockey Fernando De La Cruz, for this ride.

We’re on the main track for race eight, a six-panel starter optional claiming run for three-year-olds and upward. My win ticket is the morning-line favorite (at 1/1) Malpais, ridden by Marcelino Pedroza.

This five-year-old gelding is not only the statistical standout in this seven-horse field with 18 money finishes in 26 career starts, ten of them wins, but he is also currently on a five-win streak.

Antonio Meraz trains Malpais for owner Francisco Villa.

My Thursday Picks for Presque Isle Downs

We’re on the all-weather track for race six, a 5-1/2 furlong claiming run for three-year-olds and upward that have never won three races. My bet’s on the third-favored (at 4/1) He’s On the Fly, with Walber Alencar aboard.

This four-year-old gelding finished in the money for five of his nine career starts, winning two, which gives him the statistical edge in this nine-horse field.

Carol A. Skawinski trains He’s On the Fly for Dream Quest Stable. Skawinski also put Alencar in the irons for He’s On the Fly’s most recent win.

Race seven is a one-mile-and-70-yards allowance run on the all-weather track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on the 9/2 third-favored Dance the Day Away, piloted by Ronald Dale Allen, Jr.

This five-year-old mare moneyed 15 of her 28 career starts, winning nine of them.

She’s older than most of her competition in this seven-horse field, but you wouldn’t notice—she’s currently on a four-race winning streak.

Co-owner Daniel E. Sanner trains Dance the Night Away for Scott Abbott and himself.

For race eight—a one-mile claiming run on the all-weather track for three-year-olds and upward—I’m backing the 6/1 sleeper, Working Overtime, ridden by top jockey Mario G. Pino.

This three-year-old filly finished in the money three of her four career starts, winning two, making her the statistical leader of this ten-horse field.

Twenty-five-year racing veteran S. Matthew Kintz trains Working Overtime for his own S. Matthew Kintz Racing and Sales, Inc. Kintz has tapped Pino to saddle Working Overtime for his most recent three races (two wins and a second).

Thursday’s Picks for Thistledown Racino

Let’s start on the main track with race three, a one-mile allowance run for Ohio-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward that have never won two races. I’m calling this one for the fourth-favored (at 4/1) Appealing Senorita, with Edwin Carrasquillo aboard.

I don’t see this race as a win for the morning-line favorite, Songstopshelf—who I touted Wednesday to win a race her trainer subsequently late-scratched her from.

This race has different competitors, and what may have been a victory march for Songstopshelf on Wednesday looks more like a sad-trombone Thursday.

And Appealing Senorita has got the numbers on her side: two money finishes in three career starts, with one win. She’ll do.

Nestor Rivera trains Appealing Senorita for owner Edwin Mundo.

For race five—a six-furlong allowance race for fillies and mares three years old and upward that have never won two races—I’m buying a win ticket on the 5/1 sleeper, Clearly Visible, ridden by Luis Raul Rivera.

This three-year-old filly finished in the money all four of her career starts, winning one. In this six-horse race, she’ll do.

Currently enjoying the winningest year of her career, Johanna Urieta trains Clearly Visible for Urieta’s Racing Stable. Incidentally, Urieta has put Rivera in the saddle for Clearly Visible’s most recent three races (3-2-1).

Race seven is a 5-1/2 furlong allowance run for Ohio-bred three-year-olds and upward that have never won two races. I’m betting my two dollars on the second-favored (at 3/1) Cooler, piloted by Luis Raul Rivera.

This three-year-old gelding finished in the money for all three of his career starts, breaking his maiden on his third attempt after a third at Thistledown and a second at Belterra Park. Rivera was in the irons for Cooler’s graduation victory.

Longtime racing veteran William D. Cowans trains Cooler for owner Michael A. Foster.

J.W. Paine
J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at GamblingSites.com. He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

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