Hoffenheim vs. Bayern Munich Betting Preview – Bundesliga, September 27, 2020

By Admir Aljic in Soccer
| September 25, 2020 3:09 pm PDT

Matchday 2 of the 2020-21 German Bundesliga season will wrap up Sunday, September 27, with a couple of games on the schedule including the marquee showdown at PreZero Arena between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich. 

Although the reigning Bundesliga and UEFA Champions League champions are listed as massive favorites, the hosts hope they can upset the odds and stay undefeated.

We will see a great battle and some entertaining soccer, for sure, as each of the previous six encounters between these two foes produced three or more goals in total. Therefore, I bring you the best Hoffenheim vs. Bayern Munich betting pick and tips.

Hoffenheim vs. Bayern Odds

Hoffenheim to Win+900
Bayern to Win-500
Over 3.5-152
Under 3.5+120

I’ve expected some miserable odds on the Bavarians, but -500 is just too low. That means Bayern is a -160 fave to win by two or more goals and a +135 dog to cover a 2.5-goal spread.

The bookies expect to see a proper high-scoring affair, setting -152 odds on the over 3.5 goals. They wouldn’t be surprised if both teams find the net, too, clearly expecting the hosts to score once against the mighty Bavarians.

Hoffenheim vs. Bayern Preview

Bayern started the new Bundesliga season in style, hammering Schalke 8-0 at home. Serge Gnabry scored a hat-trick; Leroy Sane netted once and added a couple of dishes, as well as Robert Lewandowski, while Thomas Muller had one goal and an assist.

The Bavarians are coming off a 2-1 overtime victory to Sevilla in the UEFA Super Cup this past Thursday, adding another hardware to their collection. The manager Hans-Dieter Flick fielded his best eleven on both occasions, and we could see a few changes Sunday at Hoffenheim.

On the other side, Hoffenheim opened the 2020-21 Bundesliga season with a nice 3-2 road victory over FC Koln. They had a 2-1 lead at halftime thanks to a couple of goals by Andrej Kramaric, and the 29-year-old striker completed his hat-trick in the dying moments of the second half to lift his team over the Billy Goats.

Bayern and Hoffenheim met each other three times last season, twice in the German Bundesliga and once in the German DFB Pokal. Hoffenheim pulled off a huge upset in the first meeting in Munich, outlasting the Bavarians 2-1 as +1900 underdogs.

The Bavarians bounced back with a 4-3 home victory in the DFB Pokal, while they humiliated Hoffenheim 6-0 as -333 road favorites this past February.

My Betting Pick

The Bavarians will look to pick up where they left off even if they decide to change a few players in their starting lineup. They’ve played in a tremendous form over the last few months, and I think the hosts don’t stand a chance in this one.

Bayern has won every single game in all competitions since February 16, 2020, though they needed overtime to outlast Sevilla. The Bavarians covered a 1.5-goal spread in seven of their last 10 outings and eight of their previous 10 Bundesliga games away from home.

Therefore, my top betting pick is Bayern to win by two or more goals at -160 odds. I think Hoffenheim possesses the quality to score once, but with the odds on both teams to score at -175, I will stick with the Bavarians’ offense that netted 26 goals in its previous six showings.

  • Bayern Munich (-1.5)



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