Prediction for Heat vs. Celtics Game 6 – May 27th (2022)

| May 26, 2022 10:39 am PDT

The Boston Celtics picked up a crucial road victory in Game 5 and are now one victory from making their first NBA Finals appearance since 2010. Boston will have that opportunity on their home floor.

It was a disappointing effort from the Miami Heat, but we know they won’t go quietly. Miami won Game 3 in Boston, so they know what it takes to win on the road. Can they force a Game 7?

Let’s check out the odds for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals.

Heat vs. Celtics Odds for May 27th

Sportsbook Miami Heat Boston Celtics Bonus Offered Visit Site
Bovada (+310) (-415) 50% up to $250 Visit Bovada
BetOnline (+315) (-385) 60% up to $1,000 Visit BetOnline
BetUS (+320) (-400) 125% up to $2,500 Visit BetUS
MyBookie (+325) (-425) 100% up to $1,000 Visit MyBookie

The Miami Heat are the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, but the online NBA betting sites don’t have much faith. The Boston Celtics head into Game 6 with an (-8.5) point advantage. Can they close the series at home?

This will be the fourth straight game Boston opens as the favorite. They failed to cover in Game 3 but bounced back in Games 4 and 5. This is the first time in the playoffs they are higher than a (-6.5) point favorite.

The 201 point total is the lowest I’ve seen in the 2022 postseason. The last two games have failed to reach 185 points.

Unfortunately, injuries continue to be a big storyline in the Eastern Conference Finals. Tyler Herro has missed the last two games with a groin injury. He hopes to return in this series, but the injury could hold him out a few weeks. Boston has put their injury concerns in the rearview.

Heat vs. Celtics Analysis

The Miami Heat were in a good spot following their victory in Game 3. The momentum was on their side, with a chance to take a 3-1 series lead. However, we haven’t seen the same Heat team in the last two games.

Honestly, their defense hasn’t been terrible. The Boston Celtics haven’t hit 105 points since Game 3. Miami’s offense is averaging 81 points in their last two games. Jimmy Butler’s struggles have put a big damper on Miami’s hopes.

  Game 4 Game 5
Points 6 13
Rebounds 7 6
Assists 1 4
Field Goal Shooting 3-14 4-18

Butler is dealing with a knee injury, but we’re not seeing him play anywhere near his potential. Butler was a top contender for the 2022 NBA Finals MVP before this series. Now we’re wondering if he can score more than 15 points.

Boston has dominated on the defensive end in the last two games, but their offense deserves credit. They took over in the third quarter of Game 5, outscoring the Heat 32-16. That was the difference in their victory.

If the Celtics win the Eastern Conference Finals, there will be a debate about who deserves the inaugural Larry Bird Trophy. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown have strong cases.

  Jayson Tatum Jaylen Brown
Points 23.8 25.0
Rebounds 7.8 7.6
Assists 5.8 2.0
Field Goal Shooting 43.1 48.3
Three-Point Shooting 28.5 42.5

Tatum will have the headlines, but Brown’s numbers are just as good. He has been a much more efficient scorer, and his 40-point performance in Game 3 is a series-high for any Boston player.

Either way, both players will be happy with the opportunity to play in the NBA Finals. Can the Heat prevent that from happening? They’ll need a better offensive performance to force a Game 7.

Heat vs. Celtics Same Game Parlay

  • Jaylen Brown Over 6.5 Rebounds (+108)
  • Jayson Tatum Under 3.5 Three-Pointers Made (-138)
  • Bam Adebayo Under 2.5 Assists (-120)

There are always alternative ways to profit from an NBA game. Check out my same game parlay that features the Boston Celtics’ top two players. The parlay will give you (+496) odds.

Jaylen Brown averaged 6.1 rebounds in the regular season, but that has jumped to 7.5 in his last 12 games. He cleared 6.5 rebounds in four games during the Conference Semifinals. He has kept it going against the Miami Heat.

Brown kicked off the series with four straight games over 6.5 rebounds. He only had four rebounds in Game 5, but the value is there for the taking. I like Brown’s chances to have another 7+ rebounding game.

Jayson Tatum knocked down three-pointers at a high clip in the first two rounds, but we haven’t seen the same in the Eastern Conference Finals.

  • Game 1: 2 three-pointers
  • Game 2: 4 three-pointers
  • Game 3: 1 three-pointer
  • Game 4: 1 three-pointer
  • Game 5: 2 three-pointers

Tatum is attempting over seven three-pointers, but the shots haven’t been falling. He has only hit this mark once in eight matchups against Miami.

Bam Adebayo has been inconsistent in the Eastern Conference Finals. He has two games with 18+ points, but his other three featured 10 points or fewer. We’re also not seeing him dish out many assists.

Going back to the Conference Semifinals, Adebayo has only cleared 2.5 assists twice in his last nine games. We just haven’t seen the same playmaking ability as the first round. That should continue in Game 6.

Heat vs. Celtics Pick

My Pick: Miami Heat (+8.5) (-110)Bet on the Heat at Bovada

The Boston Celtics have been the better team in the Eastern Conference, and they’ll return home with a chance to close the series. I have confidence in Boston, but will they score a nine-point victory?

I can’t see the Miami Heat losing by double digits in Game 6. The Heat should be much more aggressive on the offensive end. They aren’t going to let the Celtics dictate the game plan. They might not win, but they’ll keep it close.

Fans can tune into ESPN on Friday at 8:30 p.m. ET to watch the action. Feel free to visit our NBA picks page for more playoff predictions, parlays, and picks.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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