Georgia vs. Alabama – College Football National Championship, Monday, January 10, 2022
For the second time this season, Georgia and Alabama will face off in a championship game. Alabama picked up a big win over Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, but this matchup has a little more on the line.
This will be the second time Georgia and Alabama play in the National Championship Game. Who can forget their memorable overtime matchup in 2018, with Alabama winning on a 41-yard touchdown by DeVonta Smith.
The top college football betting sites have the odds for Monday night’s matchup. Let’s check them out.
Georgia vs. Alabama Odds
Georgia and Alabama enter this matchup 13-1, but they haven’t been as great against the spread. Georgia covered in five of their first six games, but they’ve alternated in their last eight games.
They covered in the Semifinal, so if you believe in trends, Georgia won’t cover in this game. Georgia games have also gone under the point total eight times.
Alabama closed the regular season by covering once in their last four games. However, they easily covered against Georgia and Cincinnati. They’re an even 7-7 with the over/under.
Georgia is relatively healthy, with wide receiver George Pickens being their only true question mark. Pickens missed most of the season with a knee injury, but he returned late in the season and should be good to go.
Alabama won’t have John Metchie as he tore his ACL in the SEC Championship. Alabama could also be without their top two cornerbacks.
Let’s check out my preview of each team, starting with Georgia.
What a season it has been for Georgia. They opened No. 5 in the AP Poll but moved up after knocking off No. 3 Clemson. Georgia continued to pick up marquee victories, and moved into No. 1 when Alabama lost to Texas A&M.
A big reason for Georgia’s outstanding season was their lockdown defense. And it wasn’t like they were playing an easy schedule. Check out their points allowed to ranked opponents in the regular season.
- No. 3 Clemson: 3
- No. 8 Arkansas: 0
- No. 18 Auburn: 10
- No. 13 Kentucky: 13
However, that dominant defense came to a sudden halt when Georgia faced Alabama in the SEC Championship. Alabama had their way, putting up 41 points in the victory.
That marked the eighth straight loss for Georgia against Alabama. The motivation to end that streak plays into why Georgia will win this game.
Everyone knows about Georgia’s great defense, but they averaged the ninth-most points per game. That’s going to be big against an Alabama team that averaged 41.1 points per game.
Georgia can’t rely on their defense in this matchup. There’s a strong chance they’ll have to score 27+ points to beat Alabama. The best way to attack Alabama’s defense is through the air.
- Passing Yards Allowed Per Game: 223.3 (62nd)
- Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game: 82.8 (4th)
That passing defense could be even worse, as Josh Jobe and Jalyln Armour-Davis will likely miss this game. That means it could be a big day for Brock Bowers.
Bowers went off for 10 receptions, 139 yards, and a touchdown in the SEC Championship Game. Replicating that performance will go a long way towards knocking off Alabama.
That wraps up my preview of Georgia. Let’s talk about Alabama.
It’s unbelievable how Alabama continues to retool despite losing so much talent. They lost Mac Jones, Najee Harris, DeVonta Smith, and many more players from their 2020 National Championship winning team.
Alabama had a hiccup against Texas A&M, but aside from that, they’ve looked like one of the best teams. Why is Alabama so good? Well, a lot of it has to do with their dominant offense.
Bryce Young, Brian Robinson Jr., and Jameson Williams have done a great job replacing Alabama’s top weapons from last season. Young became the second straight Alabama player to win the Heisman. Check out his numbers.
- 67.6 completion percentage
- 4,503 passing yards
- 46 passing touchdowns
- 5 interceptions
His rise to stardom is one of the reasons Alabama will win their second straight National Championship.
It will be interesting to see how Alabama’s offense approaches this game. Georgia has allowed the third-fewest passing and rushing yards. We’ve seen Alabama dominate both ways, so which will they do in the National Championship?
Honestly, I think they’ll both put up solid numbers, but I have more trust in Williams. I have Williams going over his receiving yards in my favorite player prop bets.
A bigger question is how Alabama’s banged-up defense will stop Georgia’s offense. Their run defense doesn’t worry me, but they have a few holes in the secondary. Who will slow down Brock Bowers?
I also think someone like George Pickens or Jermaine Burton could step up and have a big game.
Georgia is the favorite but can they finally overcome Alabama? Here is my game pick.
Georgia vs. Alabama Pick
Alabama to Win+125
I know Georgia is the favorite, but I can’t forget about their blowout loss in the SEC Championship Game. I expect a much closer game, but I also believe the final result will be the same.
Nick Saban is 25-1 against former assistants, including 4-0 against Georgia coach Kirby Smart. This might be Smart’s best opportunity to beat him, but I can’t bring myself to bet against Saban and Alabama.
The National Championship Game is Monday at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. For more information, make sure you check out our National Championship betting guide.