Friday’s MLB Predictions and Betting Tips (May 14, 2021)
Friday is a great day to be betting on baseball online. Every team is in action – the Royals and White Sox go at it twice in what’s setting up to be a thrilling 16-game slate.
For a look at MLB predictions for all 16 games, check out the section below. The following two segments showcase my top upset picks and best bets of the day.
MLB Game Winner Predictions for May 14th
- White Sox to beat the Royals (GM 1)
- Pirates to beat the Giants
- Yankees to beat the Orioles
- Angels to beat the Red Sox
- Cubs to beat the Tigers
- Rays to beat the Mets
- Phillies to beat the Blue Jays
- Brewers to beat the Braves
- White Sox to beat the Royals (GM 2)
- Athletics to beat the Twins
- Astros to beat the Rangers
- Rockies to beat the Reds
- Nationals to beat the Diamondbacks
- Mariners to beat the Indians
- Dodgers to beat the Marlins
- Padres to beat the Cardinals
Picking the White Sox to take care of business in their doubleheader at home versus the Royals is pretty self-explanatory. The White Sox have the best record in the league and the best home record in the league. Chicago tops all Major League teams with a sweet +64 run differential.
On the opposite end of the spectrum, Kansas City is among the bottom-dwellers in run differential at -34. Latching onto Lucas Giolito and the Chi Sox (game 1) is one of the safest MLB picks you can make.
Those looking to grab hold of some plus-money while taking a stab on a few underdogs, I’ve got a couple in mind.
Top MLB Upset Picks for May 14th
- Pirates +129 (over the Giants)
- Phillies +120 (over the Blue Jays)
A quick look at the standings makes the Giants look like an obvious pick in Friday’s game in Pittsburgh. However, those willing to lift the hood will find solace in the Pirates at the +129 number.
San Francisco has been a money line favorite on the road five times this season. They’ve lost four of those games. And while Kevin Gausman has been pitching nicely in his first year in a Giants uniform, Buccos starter Tyler Anderson has been heating up in his own right.
Shifting over to an interleague tilt at TD Park in Dunedin, FL, there’s some serious merit in backing the Phillies to win at +120. The Philadelphia bats will be hungry to perform after producing just one run in a loss on Thursday in D.C. Meanwhile, Toronto ripped off 13 hits and eight runs yesterday in Atlanta. Expect some regression from the Blue Jays on Friday against a surging Vince Velasquez.
After a slow start to the 2021 campaign, the 28-year-old righty has logged back-to-back games throwing at least 90 pitches. He’s given up just six hits and two runs while striking out 12 across his last 11.1 innings. Now let’s take a look at what Steven Matz has been up to lately.
|Steven Matz – Last Four Starts|
|Date||Opponent||Innings Pitched||Hits||Earned Runs|
Matz has given up at least one homer in four straight outings and has watched his ERA balloon from 1.47 to 4.86 in the process.
Best MLB Bets for Friday, May 14th
- Rays over the Mets (-146)
- Over 7 Runs – Cardinals vs. Padres (-110)
The Mets have won seven in a row and lead the NL East; the Rays are hovering around .500 and are in 4th place in the AL East standings. The fact that Tampa was installed as a -146 favorite on Friday tells you all you need to know about how lopsided this pitching matchup is.
New York starter David Peterson sports a 5.54 ERA. He threw 55 pitches last time out and didn’t even escape the second inning. Flip the coin, and you’ll see a whole different level of production attached to the Rays starter.
Tyler Glasnow has struck out 75 batters in 49.1 innings and leads the Majors in H9 (hits allowed per nine innings). Tyler’s 98-99 mph heat is well documented – not many people know about his 12-6 curve.
Tyler Glasnow, Bowel-Locking 84mph Curveball. 💩 pic.twitter.com/jEvgwjLZIo— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 8, 2021
If you’re feeling bold, abandon the money line and snag the Rays at +140 on the run line. And know that the Mets have only covered the run line as an away favorite a measly 18.2 % of the time.
Another one of my best MLB picks on Friday is the over at Petco Park.
Remember when Joe Musgrove threw a no-hitter and bottles of champagne were being spritzed in his face? Fast forward to today, and Musgrove is 2-4 and searching for a rhythm. The San Diego native has surrendered at least four runs in consecutive starts; at least eight runs have been scored in both games.
Speaking of “at least eight runs being scored,” at least eight runs have been scored in all three of Johan Oviedo’s appearances.
Seven runs would have been an appropriate total if Jack Flaherty and Blake Snell were clashing. Seven runs seem rather low in a duel between Johan Oviedo and Joe Musgrove.
Head to the best US sports betting sites to lock in these MLB predictions.