Friday’s MLB Predictions and Betting Tips – April 30, 2021

| April 29, 2021 11:48 pm PDT

After Thursday’s small 10-game slate that included a doubleheader in Chicago, our options open back up thanks to all 30 teams being in action on Friday. The party gets started with a battle in the NL Central between a couple of 12-12 clubs, while Yu Darvish takes the bump in Petco Park to cap the evening off.

Directly below, you’ll find a list of my MLB predictions for April 30th. Underneath are my top upset picks and best bets of the day.

MLB Game Winner Predictions for April 30th  

  • Pirates to beat the Cardinals
  • Yankees to beat the Tigers
  • Nationals to beat the Marlins
  • Mets to beat the Phillies
  • Blue Jays to beat the Braves
  • Cubs to beat the Reds   
  • Rays to beat the Astros
  • Rangers to beat the Red Sox
  • Indians to beat the White Sox
  • Royals to beat the Twins
  • Dodgers to beat the Brewers
  • Orioles to beat the Athletics
  • Rockies to beat the Diamondbacks
  • Mariners to beat the Angels
  • Padres to beat the Giants

The first thing that caught my eye when I browsed the top baseball betting sites for MLB odds was the -325 price tag attached to the Yankees. This massive number takes all the fun (and the upside) out backing Gerrit Cole in a matchup against the Tigers.

Or does it?

Detroit clocks in 29th in the Majors in batting average (.208) and 29th in runs per game (3.08). Not to mention, the Tigers had to fly to New York after playing two games on the South Side of Chicago last night. All signs are pointing toward a Yank’s thrashing, just don’t expect a big return unless you’re betting an arm and a leg.

Top MLB Upset Picks for April 30th

  • Orioles +117 (over the Athletics)
  • Rockies +110 (over the Diamondbacks)
  • Mariners +135 (over the Angels)

John. Means. Business. That’s probably the millionth time you’ve seen that phrase, but it’s the first I’ve used it, and I couldn’t wait to pull it out. In all seriousness, the 28-year-old southpaw is firing on all cylinders (2-0, 1.50 ERA) with 29 Ks in 30 innings. He’s limiting battings to a .171 clip at the plate.

On the flip side, Mike Fiers gets the start for the A’s just a couple of days after it appeared he was penciled in for a bullpen role. Fiers is coming off a back injury that has kept him sidelined for the first month of the season.

With the Orioles and Rockies each taking the field at 6:40 PM ET, I’ll be switching back and forth. Baltimore and Colorado are among my top MLB picks of the day, thanks to capturing plus-money odds.

I’m well aware that Madison Bumgarner is coming off a seven-inning no-hitter, but I also know that sizzling performance lowered his ERA to 6.31. “MadBum” has given up at least five runs in three of his five appearances and needs to string together some more quality starts before I’d invest any stock.

On the subject of quality starts, Jon Gray has thrown two in a row.

The hard-throwing right-hander boasts an impressive 2.54 ERA through five starts and has given Colorado a chance to win each of the five games he’s started.

The Rockies lineup is all-systems-go, while the Diamondbacks are missing a handful of key pieces (Ketel Marte, Kole Calhoun, Christian Walker).

Moving into an AL West tussle at T-Mobile Park, I was pleasantly surprised to see Seattle hanging out at +135 on the money line at home versus the Angels. I’ve seen Andrew Heaney look better and better of late, but I’ve also paid attention to what Chris Flexen has been doing. For those who haven’t, the table below fills you in.

Chris Flexen – By the Numbers in His Last Two Starts
Date Opponent Innings Pitched Earned Runs Allowed Strikeouts Walks
4/24 @ Red Sox 7.0 1 7 1
4/17 vs. Astros 6.0 1 3 0

The 26-year-old righty dominated two of the most potent batting orders in the league and will be ready to rock this evening. Considering this game feels like a toss-up, +135 odds are too juicy to ignore.

Best MLB Bets for Friday, April 30th 

  • Indians over the White Sox (-141)
  • Padres over the Giants (-190)

I’ll preface this by stating that I’m a big White Sox fan and think Dallas Keuchel is an extremely effective starting pitcher. The fact that I’m touting the Indians as one of my best MLB predictions for Friday is a direct reflection of me wanting to get some money down on Cleveland anytime Shane Bieber is on the hill.

The strikeout machine has been baffling batters in 2021 by mixing in a death-defying slider that hitters are swinging and missing more than 55% of the time. As powerful as Tony La Russa’s lineup is and has been, they couldn’t sniff the “Biebs” 17 days ago.

To be more specific, Bieber struck out 11 en route to tossing a 3-hit CGSO the last time he took the mound at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Anyone who has been following my daily MLB picks can quickly sense that I’m keen on targeting favorable pitching matchups. Cue in a recommendation to bet on the Padres on Friday night.

We all expected Yu Darvish to be great in San Diego, coming off a stellar season with the Cubs, but 34-year-old Japanese hurler has been light’s out in four consecutive starts.

Yu Darvish Has Been Dealing
Date Opponent Innings Pitched Hits Allowed Earned Runs Strikeouts
4/23 @ Dodgers 7.0 4 1 9
4/17 vs. Dodgers 7.0 1 1 9
4/12 @ Pirates 7.0 3 1 6
4/6 vs. Giants 6.0 3 1 7

Darvish took down Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers the last time out. I’m OK laying -190, hoping that he can outduel Logan Webb and fend off the Giants.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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