France vs. Slovenia – Olympic Basketball, August 5, 2021

| August 4, 2021 7:11 am PDT

The French men’s national basketball team has been on a mission for gold since they touched down in Tokyo. Les Bleus has won each of their four Olympic games by an average margin of 13.3 points, including an opening victory over the star-studded American squad.

Meanwhile, Slovenia stormed through group play behind dominant performances out of Luka Doncic. After blasting Germany to kick off the knockout stage, Slovenia finds themselves 40 minutes away from a berth in the championship game.

I’ll uncover the odds and preview Thursday’s matchup before revealing my France vs. Slovenia prediction.

France vs. Slovenia Basketball – Game Details
  • Where: Saitama Super Arena
  • When: Thursday, August 5th – 20:00 local (7:00 AM ET)

France vs. Slovenia Odds

France (+2)-110
Slovenia (-2)-110
France to Win+110
Slovenia to Win-130
Over 175-114
Under 175-106

Lurking as a 2.5-point favorite at most of the legit Olympic betting sites, Slovenia is available (as of Tuesday evening) at -2 at SportsBetting.ag. There, the total is slightly higher than the +174.5 number that’s prevalent at other sportsbooks.

Those expecting lots of points and/or anticipating Slovenia advancing, lock your wager(s) in at the site above.

Reviewing France

After losing four straight friendlies leading into the Summer Games, France burst onto the Tokyo scene with a seven-point win over the United States. The Frenchmen coasted in their next two games versus Czech Republic and Iran; a nine-point win against Italy in the quarters has them penciled in for this semi-final game.

After being relatively quiet on the offensive end during group play, Rudy Gobert erupted last time out for 22 points on 10/13 from the field.

The 3x NBA DPOY has surprisingly swatted just one shot across the four games. He’ll need to impose his will in the paint a bit more if France keeps pace.

Evan Fournier, fresh off inking a four-year/$74 million deal with the Knicks, has been the “tricolor’s” most consistent performer. The 6’6” shooting guard has scored 21 or more points in three of the four contests. Aided by smart decisions from Thomas Heurtel, France’s backcourt play been one of the most pleasant surprises of the tournament.

Slovenia Team Analysis

As advertised, Luka Doncic has been the best and most electrifying player in the Olympic Basketball Tournament. His shooting has cooled over the last two games, but Luka has connected on over 52% of his field goals since arriving in Tokyo. He’s averaging north of 26 points per game to go with 10 rebounds and 8 assists; his +/- thus far is a snazzy +95.

As great as Doncic has been, Slovenia wouldn’t be in this position if #77 wasn’t getting any help. Mike Tobey anchors the post and is contributing a tournament-high 12.5 rebounds per game. Zoran Dragic dropped 24 against Japan and 27 versus Germany; Vlatko Cancar is averaging 14.5 ppg on a lights-out 52.9% shooting from deep.

On top of solid play across the starting five, 6th-man Klemen Prepelic is providing a big boost off the pine (14.5 ppg).

Luka deserves most of the credit for this team’s success, but don’t sleep on how productive his supporting cast has been.

France vs. Slovenia Betting Pick

Pick
  • Slovenia (-2)
    -110

As solid and well-coach as the French team is, they’ve proven to have a few chinks in their armor. Not only did Spain beat them twice during exhibition, but Japan knocked off France in Saitama just days before the Olympic torch was lit.

Rudy Gobert’s presence in the post is worth being accounted for, but Vincent’s Collet’s group lacks firepower on the perimeter. Nobody on France outside of Fournier has the ability to create their own shot.

Conversely, Luka’s power at the point of attack has propelled the Slovenians into averaging a whopping 105.8 points/game.

We can argue that the role players on Slovenia are just as capable as the role players on France; what can’t be debated is who the alpha dog in this matchup will be. Hence, my France vs. Slovenia pick is to roll with Luka and his crew.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for GamblingSites.com on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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