Preview, Predictions, and Betting Picks for EuroLeague Round 28 (Thursday, March 3)

| March 2, 2022 7:30 am PDT

EuroLeague Round 28 was originally meant to start with six games on Thursday, March 3. However, after the league officials decided to suspend Russian teams, two matchups ended up being canceled.

As a result, four EuroLeague games are going to be played, namely:

  • Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce
  • Crvena Zvezda vs. Baskonia
  • Alba Berlin vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
  • Barcelona vs. Monaco

I will now analyze each of those four, sharing my betting predictions along the way. So, let’s start with my top pick of the day!

Anadolu Efes to Beat Fenerbahce

The reigning EuroLeague champion has been in terrific form over the last couple of weeks, with five straight wins in all competitions. Anadolu Efes’ most recent game was a win over Maccabi Tel Aviv in the EuroLeague. And it was a big win – the Turkish team won 109-77.

Efes set a club record for the highest number of points scored at home, while also breaking the record for most three-pointers. They put away 22 of them!

The win over Maccabi was Efes’ 13th victory in the EuroLeague season. With a 13-12 record, the Turks are now sitting in the #6 position. It wouldn’t be possible, tho, if the Russians were still in the competition – CSKA, Zenit, and UNICS were all sitting above Anadolu Efes before getting booted out.

But what if the EuroLeague decides to let them come back? It would mean trouble for Anadolu Efes, which could drop out of the playoff zone. To ensure such a thing cannot happen, the only thing this team can do is continue winning.

The good news for Efes is that its next opponent is banged-up Fenerbahce, a team that will miss several of its key men. On top of that, Fener seems to be totally out of form coming into this clash after three straight defeats.

Alba Berlin to Beat Zalgiris Kaunas

Here’s a clash between two teams from near the bottom of the EuroLeague table (in fact, Zalgiris is at the very bottom). Despite a poor overall record, both teams have been playing great basketball lately.

Alba Berlin played four games in February, winning three of them. Zalgiris also won three from the five games they played that month. What this means is that we could see a very entertaining duel in the German capital on Thursday.

The question is which team is more likely to win? I think Alba Berlin. This team simply has better players. If that’s not enough to convince you to back these guys, you should also know that Zalgiris is horrible on the road with a 2-11 record in the EuroLeague.

The good news for Zalgiris fans is that both of their away wins happened in their previous two away matches – against Monaco and Panathinaikos.

It’s going to be a close game, but with the help of their fans, I think Alba Berlin players can get to their seventh home win of the season. Right now, they are 6-6 at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Crvena Zvezda to Beat Baskonia

With the three Russian teams out of the picture, Crvena Zvezda now has a decent chance of getting to the postseason. With a 10-15 record, their chances don’t look too bright, but there’s still plenty of time before the end of the regular season.

To get to the top 8, Crvena Zvezda needs to improve its run. Luckily for them, their schedule doesn’t look that bad, with several seemingly winnable matches coming their way. One of those is the Baskonia game.

The reason why I think Crvena Zvezda will win on Thursday is not that it has a better roster than Baskonia. In fact, I’m not sure that it does. However, Zvezda’s players are in much better shape at the moment.

The thing is that Baskonia is without a win in the EuroLeague in 2022, losing seven games in a row. Those are, namely:

  • 89-74 loss to Real Madrid (away)
  • 84-77 loss to Bayern Munich (home)
  • 75-63 loss to Panathinaikos (away)
  • 82-90 loss to Zenit Petersburg (home)
  • 72-62 loss to Olympiacos (home)
  • 89-78 loss to Olimpia Milano (away)
  • 94-93 loss to Maccabi Tel Aviv (away)

A glimmer of hope for Baskonia comes from the fact that they won both of their previous two EuroLeague games with Crvena Zvezda. However, both of those were played in Spain. The last time they played in Belgrade, Zvezda beat them 90-73.

Barcelona to Beat Monaco

Barcelona is the #1 favorite to win the 2021-22 EuroLeague, which is no surprise knowing how great this team’s been playing. With a 20-5 record, Barca is at the top of the table, and with Russian teams out of the competition, this team could secure the place in the playoffs real soon.

To book the ticket to the next stage of the EuroLeague, Barca just needs to continue winning. After winning the previous four EuroLeague games, these guys are favored to win again. Their next victim? Monaco.

Even though Monaco is flying high – with a 14-13 record, this team is in the #5 place – its players are no match to those playing for Barca. With Nikola Mirotic, Nick Calathes, and others, Barcelona really looks unstoppable at the moment.

Barcelona and Monaco have met only once in history. It happened last October when Barcelona won 85-81 on the road.

Apart from having better players, Barcelona has another major advantage. Thursday’s game is played on their turf. At Palau Blaugrana, Barcelona is 9-1 this season. Meanwhile, Monaco’s away record in the EuroLeague is 5-7.

Top EuroLeague Picks for Thursday, March 3

Anadolu Efes (-7.5) Against Fenerbahce1.85
Crvena Zvezda to Beat Baskonia1.50
Alba Berlin to Beat Zalgiris Kaunas1.533
Barcelona (-10.5) Against Monaco1.909

There you have it, my top bets for Round 28 games. If you agree with my picks, why not head to 888sport and put some money on them? My advice would be to combine all four in a parlay bet, in which case, the total odds would be 8.12.

Zarko Naric

Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball,  as well as some more niche sports like cycling, for example.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and so on.

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