England vs. Poland – World Cup Qualifier, March 31, 2021

| March 30, 2021 2:43 am PDT

England can make it three WCQ wins on the spin when Poland visits Wembley on Wednesday, March 31.

The Three Lions have already taken control of Group I, although Robert Lewandowski and co. will be confident of derailing England’s bid to reach the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar.

In this England vs. Poland betting preview, I analyze both teams, assess the odds, and give my prediction and pick.

Assessing England’s Form

It’s safe to say that England’s World Cup qualifying campaign has gone largely as planned up to now.

Gareth Southgate’s men kicked things off with an easy 5-0 win over San Marino last week, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin bagging a brace. On Sunday, England beat Albania 2-0, thanks to goals from Harry Kane and Mason Mount.

Not only did England enjoy 71% possession on Sunday, but they also prevented Albania from registering a single shot on target. Of course, Albania proved to be a tougher opponent than San Marino. But England ultimately claimed back-to-back wins with ease.

Having suffered two defeats in four games leading up to the WCQ campaign, England wasn’t in the best shape. However, they’ve started the campaign well.

The Three Lions have wasted no time in asserting their dominance over Group I – scoring seven goals and keeping two clean sheets in the process.

Southgate’s men will be well aware of the threat that Poland poses, but they will also have full belief in their own ability right now.

Poland Team Analysis

It is no exaggeration to say that Poland’s chances of beating England rest mainly on the shoulders of one man – Robert Lewandowski.

Sure, players like Wojciech Szczesny (Juventus), Piotr Zielinski (Napoli), and Arkadiusz Milik (Marseille) are capable of making game-changing contributions. But Bayern Munich’s goal-machine is undoubtedly Poland’s biggest threat.

Lewandowski underlined his importance by netting a double in Poland’s 3-0 victory over Andorra on Sunday. The White Eagles recorded a whopping 26 shots against the Group I minnows, while Andorra only saw 14% of the ball.

Following a 3-3 draw with Hungary on Matchday 1, Paulo Sousa’s men have only lost two of their previous nine matches in all competitions. On top of that, they have kept four clean sheets in their last seven games.

The White Eagles are on a decent run, although they are likely to struggle to keep England’s free-flowing forward line at bay.

England vs. Poland Odds

England to Win 1.40
The Draw 4.95
Poland to Win 7.00

As you can see, 10bet views England (1.40) as the clear favorite to win this one. And let’s face it – it is difficult to argue with the bookmakers’ standpoint here.

There is no denying that Poland (7.00) possesses enough quality to hurt England. However, Sousa’s men will probably find it tough compete with the home side in every department.

My England vs. Poland Pick

Pick
  • England to Win
    1.40

Needless to say, Lewandowski is bound to cause England’s backline some problems on Wednesday. But if Southgate’s men can keep the Bayern striker relatively quiet, they should be able to claim all three points without any real issues.

It is no secret that Poland is on a different level than San Marino and Albania. Still, having weighed everything up, I believe the home win is the best bet for England vs. Poland.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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