England vs. Ireland Prediction and Best Bets – Autumn Nations Cup (November 21, 2020)
The latest odds for England vs. Ireland in rugby’s Autumn Nations Cup make for interesting reading.
It appears that the bookies expect the home side to dominate at Twickenham this Saturday, November 21. Eddie Jones’ men are chasing their fourth straight win over the Irish, having claimed the last two Six Nations ties between the countries, as well as a Rugby World Cup warmup last summer.
That warmup fixture, in particular, is something that Ireland fans will have blocked from their conscious recall. England’s 57-15 hammering turned a beautiful August day in London into something of a cold, dank nightmare.
England fans will be hoping it’s more of the same for their boys.
In the first of this weekend’s Autumn Nations Cup predictions, I’ll be looking at the odds and best bets for Ireland vs. England before making my prediction for the match.
Let’s do it.
England vs. Ireland Odds
England’s odds to beat Ireland come in at -834 with Betway.
Jones’ men are significant favorites for this clash, given that they have won the last three tests against their neighbors in a comfortable fashion. The bookies don’t see much changing on Saturday and have set the line at 12.5 points.
England has won the last two Six Nations matches with Ireland by 12, and, of course, won the World Cup warmup by 42.
Your squad to face Ireland ?— England Rugby (@EnglandRugby) November 19, 2020
We return to Twickenham on Saturday for the second of our #QuilterInternationals as part of the #AutumnNationsCup ?
? Kick off at 15:00 GMT
? Live on @primevideosport and @Channel4#WearTheRose @O2sports #ENGvIRE
Ireland’s odds to beat England certainly look more appealing at +425.
Head coach Andy Farrell, who both played for England as well as operating as assistant head coach for his country, will be looking to be on the right side of the result on Saturday.
However, with several absentees to deal with ahead of a trip across the Irish Sea, it’s an even tougher ask.
Best Bets for England vs. Ireland
- England -12.5 Points (-112)
- England to win by 11-15 Points (+500)
- Total Penalties Scored Over 4.5 (-154)
England -12.5 Points (-112) is the first bet that should catch the eye.
Home advantage, a dominant pack, and some quality finishers in the backline make this England team highly dangerous. The top rugby sportsbooks are unanimous in fancying an English win.
More than this, the English have had their opponents’ number over the past few games. The physicality of Jones’ forwards has pushed their Irish counterparts back, time and time again, creating the platforms to build dominant phase after dominant phase.
Without the likes of Tadgh Furlong and Johnny Sexton, this Irish team will be missing two important leaders. In Furlong’s case, an essential piece of Ireland’s scrum.
England to win by 11-15 Points (+500) is another bet to think about.
England won the previous two Six Nations matches between the sides by 12 points, and it looks highly likely that the points margin on Saturday will be of a similar ilk.
It’s going to be a wet and windy day in London, so I don’t expect the same walloping that England gave Ireland back in August 2019. Jones and company will be happy with a two-score win.
If you’re going to bet on England vs. Ireland, the Total Penalties Scored Over 4.5 (-154) market is one to consider.
I think it’s nailed on that we will see more 4.5 penalties scored, especially as it’s likely that there will be around 10 penalties awarded within kicking distance of both sets of posts.
Owen Farrell and Ross Byrne are both accomplished kickers, making this bet worth a shot.
Prediction for England vs. Ireland
This game will come down to what side wins the physical battles on the day.
And to be honest, England has shown, time and time again, that their brutal physicality is too much for this Irish pack to handle. We’re talking about international matches, as well as Saracens’ European Rugby Champions Cup final and semi-final victories over Leinster in 2019/20.
The likes of Maro Itoje, Billy Vunipola, Sam Underhill, and Tom Curry will make life hell for the traveling side. I expect these guys to have big games on a wet and slippery pitch in Twickenham. It isn’t easy to see anything else happening.
You cannot write Ireland off. Jones’ mind games suggest that he is not taking Farrell’s side lightly, and he wouldn’t be an esteemed international coach if he was.
Ireland has dangerous players of their own and will be boosted by Jamison Gibson-Park and Ross Byrne at halfback. Fans are desperate to see the old Murray-Sexton axis done away with, and Jones’ strategy will be a little less certain with these two involved.
If Ireland can get quick ball to their backs and play an expansive game, they can compete. But it will take something special to leave London with the win.
I predict a good, entertaining game with England running out winners by a final score of England 27-14.
More Autumn Nations Cup Betting Tips
If my prediction is correct, England will be celebrating a fourth straight win over Ireland on Saturday night.
Eddie Jones’ men made a Rugby World Cup final and won a Six Nations title in the space of 12 months, and should further enforce their status as the best team in the Northern Hemisphere with an efficient performance.
England vs. Ireland is not the only game of rugby to bet on this weekend. Wales vs. Georgia and Scotland vs. France are also on the agenda for Saturday, and you can get my predictions for both Autumn Nations Cup matches on our picks section.
Speaking of picks, if you were to select your 2021 British and Irish Lions team, who makes the cut? You can check out what I think in the post below.
Enjoy the game!