England vs. Germany – European Championship, June 29, 2021

| June 29, 2021 3:15 am PDT

England fans regard this as just about their biggest rivalry, while their German counterparts look to the Netherlands for that derby game experience. But there is no doubt that everyone will be looking forward to this huge Euro 2020 round of 16 tie on Tuesday.

Neither team has been particularly impressive at Euro 2020 so far, with England enjoying a more successful group stage. I’ll be taking a look at both sides ahead of the big game, so read on for my verdict and my England vs. Germany betting pick.

Can England Use Home Advantage to Win Euro 2020?

If England does end up winning Euro 2020, it will have been able to play six of its seven games at Wembley, a fact that has not escaped the fans of other nations. Gareth Southgate’s side has won two and drawn one so far and will be looking to book a trip to Rome by beating Germany on Tuesday.

The England head coach has not been without his critics for not picking some of the more creative players at his disposal. Jack Grealish, in particular, has not seen as many minutes as he would have wanted – but Southgate would point to the top spot in the group as an argument supporting his selections.

There is a feeling that England hasn’t quite kicked into gear yet – and Germany at home in front of a big crowd seems like a good opportunity to change that.

Harry Kane has offered little so far as well, as his team has played to other strengths. This game would be a good time for the captain to lead by example.

Can Germany Extend England’s Years of Hurt?

Germany has not lost a knockout game to England since the 1966 World Cup final – and is not a team that usually seems nervous about opponents. But Joachim Low has already appeared worried by how his team has played at this tournament and needs everyone to be working towards the same goal this Tuesday.

He has already gone back on his word to revamp the squad by bringing Thomas Mueller and Mats Hummels into the team. Mueller has looked far more comfortable in the games since his return – and Hummels may well struggle against the pace of England’s attacking players if he is left exposed at Wembley.

Kai Havertz has shown his Chelsea form for his national side in the group stage, scoring against both Portugal and Hungary. But many of the other younger players have not stepped up to the plate as of yet. If that continues against England, they will have to wait until Qatar next year to prove worthy of their place in the team.

Betting Odds and Pick for England vs. Germany

England to Win+155
The Draw+220
Germany to Win+200

BetOnline has made England, playing in its own national stadium, the slight favorite to progress to the quarterfinals. This will be a grand occasion between two big teams, so it is sure to be a fairly close game – and the odds are a good reflection of that.

But Germany has not looked as impressive as it has in previous tournaments. This will be the last chance for Joachim Low to win a title, as he leaves the post at the end of Euro 2020. His players will need to step up that is not to be this week.

England has the talent to progress further in the competition but has underperformed before at major tournaments. Gareth Southgate will pick another defensively minded starting eleven – but I think he will have the players on the bench that he can call on later on in the game to triumph here.

Pick
  • England to Win
    +155
Dan Roberts
Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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