Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings – NFL Week 9, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| November 2, 2020 2:44 pm PDT

The Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings will meet each other for the first time this season Sunday, November 8, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

The Vikings beat the Lions in their previous five encounters, while both teams desperately need a win in this one to stay alive in the playoff race. 

That means plenty of interesting picks and markets for the bettors to choose from, so here’s my best Lions vs. Vikings pick with the latest odds update and team news.

Lions vs. Vikings Odds

Lions +3.5-105
Vikings -3.5-115
Lions to Win+170
Vikings to Win-195
Over 53.0-115
Under 53.0-115

The Vikings opened as 3.5-point favorites with a total of 53 points, according to Bovada.lv.

If you fancy the Vikings’ chances, buying a point is a must, as you don’t want to take a 3.5-point spread on favorites in what could easily be a very tight contest.

Still, you should know that Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its previous five matchups with Detroit. Also, the Vikings are 16-4 SU in their last 20 home encounters with the Lions.

Interestingly, the last seven meetings between these two NFC North foes in Minneapolis were finished in the under, and the totals have never been set above 50 points in that span.

Detroit Lions Analysis

After two straight road wins over Jacksonville 34-16 and Atlanta 23-22, the Lions suffered a heavy 41-21 home loss to Indianapolis in Week 8.

It was a terrible day in the office for the Lions’ defense that reminded me how bad it really is. Detroit is yielding 29.4 points per game (26th in the NFL) on 130.0 rushing yards (23rd) and 248.4 passing yards (19th).

The Lions allowed the Colts to score three touchdowns in the second quarter. Due to the negative script, they had to lean on Matthew Stafford a lot, finishing the game with only 29 rushing yards.

Detroit’s ground game is the fourth-worst in football. The Lions are averaging just 97.1 rushing yards per contest, while 13 of their 20 touchdowns came through the air. They could miss Kenny Golladay on Sunday, as the 27-year-old wideout is struggling with a groin injury.

Minnesota Vikings Analysis

The Vikings pulled off a huge upset in Week 8, outlasting the Green Bay Packers 28-22 as 6.5-point road underdogs. Dalvin Cook returned from an injury and single-handedly provided a huge victory in a historic performance.

The 25-year-old RB had 30 totes for 163 yards and three touchdowns while adding a couple of receptions for 63 yards and one score.

Without Cook, the Vikings suffered a heavy 40-23 home loss to Atlanta in Week 7. Their defense improved last weekend, but Cook’s presence was a key factor. Minnesota is a different team when Dalvin’s on the sidelines, as Kirk Cousins continue to struggle under center for the Vikings.

Cousins has tossed for 1635 yards and just 12 touchdowns thus far, and he’s second in the league in interceptions (10). The Vikings are scoring 26.1 points per game (14th) while conceding a whopping 30.6 (29th).

Lions vs. Vikings Pick

Although the under has hit in six of the last eight matchups between these two NFC North enemies, I have to go against the betting trends and take the over on the totals.

Both Detroit and Minnesota have been inconsistent so far. Actually, their defensive struggles have been the only constancy in 2020. Therefore, I would be surprised if they fail to score 25-plus points each.

The Lions have enough firepower to damage the Vikings through the air. On the other side, the Vikings have enough dangerous weapons to endanger the Lions’ D everywhere.

This is a huge game for the 3-4 Lions and even bigger for the 2-5 Vikings, so I’m looking for a tight clash and a lot of points down the stretch.

Pick
  • Over 50.5
    -163

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