Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots – NFL Week 5, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| October 6, 2020 12:12 am PDT

The Denver Broncos finally snapped a three-game losing skid with a road victory over the sorry New York Jets, but they are massive underdogs against the New England Patriots on Sunday. The Patriots, on the other hand, are getting accustomed to life without Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, so two wins in the opening three rounds have to be considered as a solid record.

Check out my Broncos vs. Patriots betting pick.

Broncos vs. Patriots Odds

Broncos +11-110
Patriots -11-110
Broncos to win+450
Patriots to win-550
Over 56N/A
Under 56N/A

Broncos Recorded First Win of the Season

Probably the unluckiest team in the NFL this season, the Denver Broncos managed to record their first victory of the campaign despite missing a bunch of players due to injuries. Vic Fangio’s side defeated the New York Jets, one of four winless teams in the league, 37-28 on the road, in a quite exciting clash.

Denver had a 27-16 lead early in the fourth quarter, but the Jets took a 28-27 lead in the space of five minutes, and it seemed that the Broncos would suffer another tight defeat. However, kicker Brandon McManus, who recorded 13 points, and running back Melvin Gordon secured a late 37-28 win to the Broncos. Denver committed three turnovers opposite New York’s none, but that didn’t affect the outcome.

Rookie QB Brett Rypien secured a W in his first-ever start in the NFL as he completed 19 of 31 passes for a couple of TDs and three interceptions. The third-year wideout Tim Patrick had a game of his career with 113 yards and a touchdown on six receptions, while Melvin Gordon displayed his best performance since joining the Broncos this summer with 107 yards and two TDs on 23 carries. Josey Jewell and Bradley Chubb dominated on defense with 15 combined tackles, 4.5 sacks, and seven QB hits.

The Broncos are the 28th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 20.5 points per game, 25th in passing yards (214.3), 29th in rushing yards (92.5), while they have the 15th defense that allows 24.5 points per contest.

Patriots Scored 36 Points Beating the Raiders

The New England Patriots returned to the winning ways after a tight loss to the Seattle Seahawks with a comfortable 36-20 win over the Las Vegas Raiders at home. They lost the opening quarter 3-0 but took control of the game and deservedly secured a W in the end. Although New England had only 31 total yards more than the Raiders, the visitors committed three turnovers opposite the Pats’ one, and one of those errors led to New England’s touchdown in the final quarter.

Cam Newton completed 17 of 28 passes for 162 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Rex Burkhead had a game of his career with 49 yards and a couple of TDs on the ground, and additional 49 yards, and a score on seven receptions. Sony Michel led all the runners with 117 yards on seven rushes. Safety Adrian Phillips and cornerback Jonathan Jones recorded eight tackles apiece (each had five solos).

The Patriots are the 11th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 29.0 points per game, 23rd in passing yards (231.0), 2nd in rushing yards (178.0), while they have the 8th best defense that allows 22.0 points per contest.

Broncos vs. Patriots Pick

The Patriots have one of the best rushing offenses in the NFL, and I expect them to run the ball a lot, especially if Cam Newton returns from the quarantine after contracting COVID-19. The Broncos could get running back Phillip Lindsay from a toe injury, so I think we could see a lot of running in this game. Denver has a lot of troubles with injuries, as some of the key players from both offense and defense, such as Courtland Sutton and Von Miller, among others, are done for the year.

Still, one of the youngest teams in football is putting up fight week in and week out, and I am sure they will not back down without a fight on Sunday. I am backing the visitors to cover the spread here.

Pick
  •  Denver Broncos (+11)
    -110

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