Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting – NFL Week 9, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| November 2, 2020 9:39 am PDT

The Denver Broncos lost the opening three games of the season, but improved in recent weeks and won three of the last four, including the latest one in a thriller divisional clash against the Los Angeles Chargers. One of the youngest teams in the NFL now climbed up to the 3rd place in the AFC West with a 3-4 record and will be looking to get to .500 with a potential win in Georgia.

The Atlanta Falcons, on the other hand, also showed improvement in the past few weeks as they won two of the last three games, including the one over the divisional rivals Carolina Panthers on the road. The Falcons are still away from the top spot in the NFC South with a 2-6 record and three wins behind the leaders Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints. Take a look at my Broncos vs. Falcons betting prediction.

Betting Odds for Broncos vs. Falcons

Broncos +4-110
Falcons -4-110
Broncos to win+175
Falcons to win-169
Over 47.5-110
Under 47.5-110

Broncos’ Epic Comeback Led to the First Home Win

The Denver Broncos recorded their first victory of the season thanks to an epic comeback against the AFC West rivals Los Angeles Chargers. They were 14-3 down at halftime and had miserable two first downs and 60 total yards, and the situation was even worse early in the third quarter when the Chargers added ten more points to increase the lead to 24-3. However, a 55-yard TD run from Phillip Lindsay was a much-needed spark for the hosts, and young quarterback Drew Lock threw three touchdown passes in the final 15 minutes to hand his team a 31-30 win. KJ Hamler caught the TD pass in the last second of the tilt to tie it to 30-30, while Brandon McManus scored the game-winning extra point.

Drew Lock completed 26 of 41 passes for 248 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. He connected with DaeSean Hamilton (four receptions for 82 yards), KJ Hamler, and Albert Okwuegbunam, while Jerry Jeudy played an important part with 73 yards on four catches. Lindsay led the team with 83 yards on six carries, while the Broncos had three defenders with 10+ tackles: Kareem Jackson, Josey Jewell, and Alexander Johnson.

The Broncos are the 27th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 21.0 points per game, 25th in passing yards (214.0), 17th in rushing yards (112.9), while they have the 17th defense that allows 26.1 points per contest.

Falcons Allowed 17 Points in a Road Win Over Panthers

The Atlanta Falcons finally displayed a defensive performance worthy of the playoff contender as they beat the divisional rivals Carolina Panthers 25-17 on the road. It didn’t look good in the opening half, in which Carolina scored 14 points, but the Falcons tightened up on D in the second 30 minutes and allowed only three points. They totaled 401 yards opposite the Panthers’ 304 and had ten first downs more than Carolina (28-18).

Matt Ryan completed 21 of 30 passes for 281 yards and one interception, but he added 27 yards on the ground with a touchdown. Todd Gurley II also recorded a rushing TD, while Brian Hill led the team with 55 yards on 11 carries. Julio Jones didn’t have a favorable matchup against Carolina’s strong secondary, but he torched them with 137 yards on seven receptions. On the defensive end, Keanu Neal had seven tackles (six solos).

The Falcons are the 14th team in the NFL when it comes to the offense with 26.1 points per game, 2nd in passing yards (292.4), 19th in rushing yards (108.6), while they have the 22nd defense that allows 28.0 points per contest.

Prediction and Pick

This game could easily define the season of the respective rivals, as it could be the last bust to catch for the Falcons, who are 2-6 and a long way from the playoffs at the moment. However, it’s not going to be easy for them against the inspiring Broncos side that won three of the last four and showed great resilience and fighting spirit in recent weeks. Atlanta is pathetic against the passing and excellent against the running, so I expect Drew Lock to throw 300+ yards in this one.

Denver is 5-2 ATS so far in the season, and although the hosts are the favorites here, I am backing the Broncos once again to cover the spread. It’s going to be a tight one.

Pick
  • Denver Broncos +4
    -110

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