Danish Superliga Betting Preview – 2020/21 Season
Midtjylland will be aiming to secure back-to-back Superliga titles for the very first time in the club’s short history when the 2020/21 campaign kicks off on Friday, September 11.
The previous season only ended six weeks ago, but due to the 2019/20 campaign being disrupted by the health crisis, Denmark’s top division has enjoyed a shortened summer break this year.
Midtjylland is the bookies’ favorite to win the league again this term, although serial-winner FC Copenhagen will undoubtedly be desperate to regain the title.
In this post, I look at the odds and share my picks for the 2020/21 Danish Superliga season. I cover all the outright markets and give my predictions for the title, top three, and relegation.
Betting on the Superliga Title Race
Let’s start by checking out the odds for the 2020/21 Superliga title race.
As you can see, the top online soccer betting sites believe there are only two realistic title challengers this year. Midtjylland (2.00) is the marginal favorite to defend their crown, but FC Copenhagen (2.10) isn’t far behind.
Following a strong end to the previous campaign, AGF Aarhus (17.00) is the bookies’ joint-third favorite alongside Brondy (17.00). At 51.00, Aalborg BK – the 2013/14 champion – is a massive longshot.
In my opinion, it only makes sense to discuss the two frontrunners in this market.
Midtjylland won their first two titles by finishing just four points ahead of second place on both occasions. But after finishing a whopping 14 points clear of Copenhagen last term, there is absolutely no denying that Midtjylland was Denmark’s best team last season.
The Wolves may have outscored every other side in the division, but it could be argued that their success was built on their solid defense. The team only conceded 29 league goals last term, with goalkeeper Jesper Hansen keeping a remarkable 14 clean sheets along the way.
Manager Brian Priske has further strengthened his squad by bringing back former player Pione Sisto. The talented winger left Midtjylland to join Spanish side Celta Vigo in 2016, and the 25-year-old now returns having racked up over a century of La Liga appearances.
With the addition of Sisto, the Wolves are arguably stronger now than they were last season.
Copenhagen was already nine points behind Midtjylland when the 2019/20 regular season ended. However, the Lions only managed to win three of their ten championship-round games, while four defeats in their final seven outings saw the capital club collapse towards the end of the campaign.
After triumphing in 2018/19 and claiming three of the previous five titles, it’s fair to say that Copenhagen was wildly off the pace last term. Having said that, I can’t see Stale Solbakken’s men performing as poorly as they did last season this time around.
Let’s not forget that Copenhagen made it all the way to the last eight of the Europa League in August and pushed EPL giant Manchester United to extra-time in the quarter-finals. The Lions may have endured a difficult time domestically, but they certainly gave a good account of themselves on the European stage.
Midtjylland to Win the Title2.00
I’m not expecting the gap between first and second to be as big as it was last season. But after finishing so far ahead of Copenhagen last term, it’s difficult to imagine Midtjylland missing out on the title in 2020/21.
Of course, Copenhagen will be eager to reassert their authority. But considering that the Wolves completely outclassed the Lions last year, odds of 2.00 for Midtjylland to retain the title seem very generous.
Betting on Who Will Finish in the Top Three
Here are the odds for the 2020/21 Superliga top-three race.
Unsurprisingly, the bookies have left out Midtjylland and Copenhagen in this market. AGF (2.60) and Brondby (2.60) finished third and fourth respectively last season, and they come into the new campaign as the joint-favorites to break into the top three.
Aalborg BK (6.50) has sprung plenty of surprises over the years, so you’d be foolish rule out the Aalborg club altogether when it comes to betting on the top three. Nordsjaelland (8.00) and OB (8.00) are the obvious outsiders here.
Let’s take a closer look at the leading contenders in this market.
The last of AGF’s five top-flight titles came all the way back in 1986, with a runner-up finish coming in 1996. But for the best part of two decades, the club has had very little to shout about.
However, under the guidance of David Nielsen, the Whites are definitely heading in the right direction. The forward-thinking manager guided his side to a hugely respectable third-place finish last term, just four points shy of second-place Copenhagen.
Not only did Nielsen’s men score the same number of goals as Copenhagen, but they also conceded one fewer than the Lions. I can see AGF enjoying another successful campaign this year.
It’s been a tricky couple of years for Brondby. The Boys from Vestegnen secured consecutive runner-up finishes in 2017 and 2018, but they have since ended up fourth in each of the past two seasons.
Kamil Wilczek was the Superliga’s top scorer last term, but the Poland international recently switched allegiances to join rival Copenhagen. Needless to say, Brondby will surely struggle without their star striker leading the line.
Niels Frederiksen’s side ended up eight points behind AGF in 2019/20, while Aalborg was only two points behind. The gap between third and fourth was sizeable last season, and if Brondby continues to decline, it could be even bigger this time around.
Since winning the title in 2013/14, Aalborg has claimed four fifth-place finishes but has struggled to challenge the country’s top clubs on a regular basis. AaB came within two points of breaking into the top four last term, although the top three has been out of reach in recent years.
Last season, Jaco Friis’ side created a decent foundation to build on. Captain Lucas Andersen finished second in the goal involvement charts with ten goals and eight assists to his name, but his teammates must do better this year if Aalborg is serious about infiltrating the top three.
AGF to Finish in the Top Three2.60
Assuming that Midtjylland and Copenhagen occupy the top two spots, as they have done the past two seasons, there is only likely to be one other top-three place up for grabs.
Given that the Whites were so close to snatching second place from the Lions last term, I’m backing them to clinch successive third-place finishes. AGF is a club on the up, and the eight-point gulf between Nielsen’s men and Brondby last season suggests that the Aarhus outfit will be a force to be reckoned with in 2020/21.
Betting on the Superliga Relegation Battle
Let’s finish up by checking out the 2020/21 Superliga relegation odds.
It’s hardly surprising to see newly-promoted Vejle (1.44) as the bookies’ favorite for relegation. With the Superliga switching from 14 to 12 teams this year, Vejle is the only newcomer to the Danish top flight. However, the Reds are by no means guaranteed to go straight back down.
Lyngby (1.75) narrowly avoided the drop last term after winning the relegation play-off, while Horsens (2.50), Sonderjyske (5.50), and Randers (5.50) were all close to dropping out of the top tier.
I assess the main relegation candidates below.
Following a one-year absence, Vejle made a swift return to the Superliga. The Reds were only relegated from the top flight in 2018/19, but Romanian manager Constantin Galca guided the club back to the premier division at the first time of asking.
After only lasting one season in the Superliga last time, it’s difficult to know how Vejle will fare in the upcoming campaign. That being said, it does feel like the Jutland club is better equipped this time around.
Vejle ran away with the second-tier title season, finishing nine points clear at the top. If Galca can continue to strengthen his team, the Reds may be able to establish themselves as a top-flight mainstay.
To say that Lyngby avoided relegation by the skin of their teeth last term would probably be an understatement. The Vikings edged Hobro 4-3 on aggregate in the relegation play-offs to renew their top-tier status for another year.
Having only gained promotion to the Superliga in 2018/19, Lyngby was among the bookies’ favorites for relegation last season. And after a woeful end to the previous campaign, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Christian Nielsen’s side finish bottom of the pile in 2020/21.
Realistically, I don’t think Horsens is in danger of the drop this year. Jonas Dal’s men only just missed out on qualifying for the championship round last season after finishing four points outside the top six, so I can’t see them struggling too much in the coming months.
The club made it all the way to the Danish Cup semi-finals last year before being knocked out by eventual-champion Sonderjyske. When you couple Horsens’ impressive cup run with their strong league position last term, it’s difficult to imagine Dal’s side being relegated anytime soon.
Lyngby to Be Relegated1.75
As I mentioned, Lyngby retained their place in the Superliga by the barest of margins last season. In fairness, the Vikings can count themselves lucky to still be in Denmark’s top division for the upcoming campaign.
Despite finishing tenth in the regular-season standings, only the bottom two clubs – Esbjerg and Silkeborg – lost more games than Lyngby in 2019/20. Ultimately, I can’t see Nielsen’s men being so lucky again.
The new Superliga season kicks off on Friday, September 11, with defending-champion Midtjylland taking on last season’s Danish Cup winner Sonderjyske. So, make sure you’ve got your bets down for the 2020/21 outright markets before the campaign gets underway.
Of course, Denmark’s top division is not one of Europe’s most-followed leagues. But I hope this post has given you enough information to feel comfortable about betting on the Superliga.
Good luck, and happy betting!