Wings vs. Lynx WNBA Prediction – Tuesday, June 28, 2022

| June 28, 2022 8:18 am PDT

The Dallas Wings will face the Minnesota Lynx for the second time in 2022. Dallas didn’t have an issue in their first matchup, cruising to a 94-78 victory. Will anything change with this matchup shifting to Minnesota?

It has been a rough season for the Lynx. They were one of the top teams last season, but they are outside the playoff picture with a 5-14 record. Will my free Wings vs. Lynx pick back Minnesota?

Let’s check out the Wings vs. Lynx betting odds for Tuesday’s matchup.

Wings vs. Lynx Odds for June 28th

Sportsbook Dallas Wings Minnesota Lynx Bonus Offered
Bovada (+115) (-135) 50% up to $250
BetOnline (+120) (-140) 60% up to $1,000
BetUS (+110) (-130) 125% up to $2,500
MyBookie (+115) (-135) 100% up to $1,000

Honestly, I didn’t see this one coming. The Minnesota Lynx haven’t shown much promise, but they open as the favorite against the Dallas Wings. How do the Wings vs. Lynx odds affect your pick?

Minnesota could be the favorite because of their recent record against the spread. They’ve covered in five straight games, including as a two-point favorite against the Phoenix Mercury. They open as a two-point favorite against the Wings.

MyBookie has the point total at 164.5, with the other sites targeting 165 points.

The Lynx’s recent surge has seen them go over their point total in every game. The Wings have gone under their point total in three straight games. What will that do for your Wings vs. Lynx pick tonight?

Allisha Gray and Satou Sabally remain out for the Wings. Lynx forward Naphessa Collier has yet to play this season after giving birth to her first child. Collier averaged 16.2 points and 6.6 rebounds in 2021.

Wings vs. Lynx Breakdown

It’s interesting to examine the Dallas Wings season because they’ve been up and down. My latest 2022 WNBA Finals odds had them as a sleeper after a 5-2 start. However, they followed that with a 1-6 stretch.

Dallas has fought back to win three of their last five games. The Minnesota Lynx recently scored back-to-back wins for the first time this season, but they’re coming off a loss to the Chicago Sky.

Minnesota had the third-best record in 2021, but their 5-14 mark is second-worst in 2022. Their offense has been serviceable, but their defense has fallen off. Let’s compare their numbers between the two seasons.

  2021 2022
Points Per Game Allowed 78.7 (3rd) 84.5 (9th)
Defensive Rating 98.0 (4th) 105.8 (11th)

It’s one thing to allow one or two more points per game, but a six-point drop-off is insane. Minnesota won’t sniff the playoffs if they continue to struggle on defense.

The Wings have been in the middle. They’re a little better on offense, but they’re serviceable on defense.

Arike Ogunbowale has been the driving force behind their offense. Surprisingly, she didn’t make the All-Star team after being the All-Star game MVP in 2021.

She’s averaging 19.5 points, 3.7 assists, and 1.2 steals. She’ll likely make the All-Star team as a reserve, but Ogunbowale should’ve been a starter. My Wings vs. Lynx prediction could factor in extra motivation.

The first matchup between the Wings and Lynx was competitive. If you remove the third quarter, Minnesota would’ve scored a one-point victory. The third quarter was the difference, as Dallas outscored Minnesota by 17 points.

Perhaps that’s why the Wings vs. Lynx odds have Dallas as the underdog. Minnesota was solid on offense, but they didn’t have an answer for Ogunbowale and Marina Mabley. Can their defense step up on Tuesday?

Wings vs. Lynx Game Props

  • Minnesota Lynx First Team to 20 Points (-115)
  • Dallas Wings Over 82.0 Points (-115)
  • Minnesota Lynx Under 41.5 First Half Points (-115)

Before I reveal my Wings vs. Lynx betting pick, let’s examine my favorite game props for the matchup.

It’s not often you find value with a first team to 20 points prop. The Minnesota Lynx and Dallas Wings have (-115) odds to reach 20 points. Typically, I side with the home team because they have more momentum to start the game.

Minnesota accomplished this as the road team in their first matchup with Dallas. They held a 22-17 lead late in the first quarter. We’ve seen the Lynx offense play at a high level lately. That plays into my expert Wings vs. Lynx pick.

We should see the Dallas Wings offense on full display. Minnesota has had a rough time on the defensive end, allowing 81+ points in five of their last six games. Check out Dallas’ points in their last six games.

  • Vs. Aces: 84 points
  • Vs. Mercury: 93 points
  • Vs. Sparks: 92 points
  • @ Dream: 75 points
  • Vs. Fever: 94 points
  • Vs. Mercury: 72 points

Their offense has been on point as they face the Lynx. Dallas shouldn’t have an issue clearing 82 points.

My Wings vs. Lynx prediction has Minnesota going under their first-half point total. It’s no secret that Minnesota has been better on the offensive end, but 41.5 points seem high for this team.

They had a big first quarter in their first matchup with the Wings but failed to score 20 points in each of the final three quarters. That’s why my Wings vs. Lynx betting pick favors a slow start.

How will the point total affect your Wings vs. Lynx pick today?

Wings vs. Lynx Pick

My Pick: Dallas Wings to Win (+120)Bet on the Wings at BetOnline

I’m not buying into the hype of the Minnesota Lynx being the favorite. The Dallas Wings have been the better team and defeated the Lynx in their first matchup. I expect a similar result for this matchup.

My free Wings vs. Lynx pick values the recent surge from Minnesota’s offense, but can their defense stop Dallas? That’ll likely be the difference-maker.

ESPN3 will have coverage of Tuesday’s matchup at 8 p.m. ET. You can wager on the WNBA by visiting the best basketball betting sites.

Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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