Dallas Cowboys vs. Los Angeles Rams Pick – NFL, September 13, 2020

| September 3, 2020 2:44 am PDT

The last time the Dallas Cowboys met the Los Angeles Rams, they steamrolled them en route to an easy 44-21 victory at home.

If NFL fans were looking for symbolism to reflect the demise of the former Super Bowl attendees, that was it. Dallas completely outclassed L.A., at one point building a 37-7 lead.

That game was at home, though, and things have changed. Neither team made the NFL playoffs, the Rams had major roster turnover, and Big D finally moved on from head coach Jason Garrett.

With so much being different, it may pay to dissect this matchup before placing a bet. For some help, check out our Cowboys vs. Rams betting pick and prediction.

Cowboys vs. Rams Odds

  • Cowboys (-2.5) -115
  • Rams (+2.5) -105
  • Cowboys to Win (-140)
  • Rams to Win (+120)
  • Over 50 (-110)
  • Under 50 (-110)

Dallas trounced L.A. last year and arguably got better during the offseason, so they open as the understandable 2.5-point favorite at the best NFL sportsbooks.

Bovada offers the odds seen above, although it’s a slight surprise to see the Cowboys have this big of a gap. After all, the Rams aren’t a trash heap of a team and are just two years removed from a Super Bowl appearance.

That and the Rams are playing at home. L.A. was a decent 5-3 at their home field last year, while the Cowboys struggled (3-5) on the road.

Regardless of what that means for betting on this game, you’re getting solid value, either way. Both point spreads garner an argument, while you’re getting solid money back, no matter which team you bet on.

The total feels like something bettors can mess around with. The Rams saw the Over go 7-9 last year. Dallas saw the Over go 10-6, however, and their offense may end up being way better than it was a season ago.

The last meeting obviously cleared this total with ease (65) with ease, while each of the last four showdowns cleared this total without hesitation, as well.

Cowboys vs. Rams Preview

These are not the same teams we saw take part in a one-sided affair a season ago. The Cowboys added explosive rookie wide receiver CeeDee Lamb, brought in reliable head coach Mike McCarthy, and patched some holes on defense.

On paper, Dallas looks as talented as ever, and that’s one reason why the Cowboys can win Super Bowl 55. That’s saying something, especially since this team has had a potent offense for years, yet kept wading in the murky waters of mediocrity.

Chances are that changes, and it’s clear a lot of NFL experts view week one as an opportunity for Dallas to send a message to the league.

The Rams are probably the exact opposite.

They shed some aging and inefficient bodies, but they lack depth and cohesiveness. L.A. absolutely still has the coaching and star power to make another run, but what if they get hit by injuries and their weakened depth can’t weather the storm?

I’m not sure that’s something we need to concern ourselves in week one, but it’s worth noting.

For the Rams, they have a better matchup in front of them than they did a year ago. Dallas still hasn’t been able to figure safety out, while losing star corner Byron Jones in free agency didn’t help.

Dallas has a fine pass rush, but it’s going up against a pretty good o-line that happened to allow the fewest sacks in the NFL in 2019.

This could lead to Jared Goff having his way through the air, which could understandably allow the Rams to get their ground game going. Unfortunately, I don’t exactly trust their stable of running backs.

On the other side, the Cowboys can probably pick their poison. Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard topped 117 yards rushing in this matchup last season.

Dak Prescott didn’t get sacked once, either, and was able to play efficient, mistake-free football.

At every level, the Cowboys should be able to win offensively.

The Rams have been reduced to two superstars in Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey, but losing a steady linebacker like Cory Littleon – as well as role players like Eric Weddle, Clay Matthews Jr. and Dante Fowler Jr. – could prove damaging.

Prediction and Pick

The Rams appear to be trustworthy in name only. I definitely note that Sean McVay is still a great coach, that this offense is capable of blowing up, and that the Rams are at home.

However, our current global climate suggests the home-field edge is minimal, and the matchup across the board tends to favor Dallas.

The Cowboys are trending in a positive direction, and this is a great opportunity for them to make a statement. I love the Over as my top bet, just because there is so much offensive firepower on both sides, and I don’t think either of these defenses are elite.

If you need a winner, it’s going to be Dallas, and this spread is tiny enough to confidently bet on them to cover.

Pick
  • Over 50
    -110
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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