Best Daily Fantasy Football Picks to Roster in Week 4
Three weeks have gone by in the NFL, and there are still a litany of studs or promising young stars that continue to disappoint.
This last week hindered my NFL DFS picks, as Kyle Pitts wasn’t even targeted until the second half, Dalvin Cook sat with an injury, and A.J. Brown got hurt in his game.
That’s some brutal luck, while Lamar Jackson (20 fantasy points) was just “meh” when considering what I expected from him. He also wasn’t Josh Allen, who absolutely balled out against a supposedly good Washington defense.
It’s onto the next one, though. I think the logic was still good across the board, and my week four NFL DFS picks should still be worth tuning into.
Let’s see which plays I like the most at each position this week.
Josh Allen, QB, Bills ($8k)
This is the epitome of “don’t get cute.” It’s the NFL, and anything can happen, but week four is littered with terrible matchups or troublesome narratives.
You can pay $100 more for Patrick Mahomes, and guys like Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson have similar upside at discounted rates. But nobody is in a better spot in week four than Josh Allen.
That, and he just got done laying waste to the Washington Football Team. He and the Bills look flat-out unstoppable now.
Allen is fresh off of a 40-point fantasy gem, and he’s back to his MVP-level self. I’m not about to ignore that against a Texans team that enters the week as 17-point underdogs at most NFL betting sites.
If you want savings and upside, I also like Aaron Rodgers, Jalen Hurts, and Dak Prescott – all priced below $7k at DraftKings.
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Colts ($6.3k)
The Indianapolis Colts have not done themselves any favors this year, as they didn’t stick with the running game at all last week.
This team has to get JT going eventually, and a palatable matchup against a disappointing Miami defense looks to be a fine spot to try.
This may be the time to buy low on Taylor in season-long leagues, and it’s also a smash spot for him in NFL DFS circles.
Miami was a good defensive team last year, but so far, they rank 31st against fantasy running backs. They’ve allowed the third-most rushing yards to the position and the second-most rushing scores.
Taylor is better than he’s shown, and his price has only dipped further. I am all for investing heavily in Derrick Henry against the Jets, but Taylor is a fantastic middle-of-the-road play that should pay off nicely.
At almost the exact same price, D’Andre Swift also stands out in a fine spot against the Bears.
Calvin Ridley, WR, Falcons ($7k)
Davante Adams is the safest wide receiver on the board, but you don’t need me to tell you he’s worth paying up for. I’d definitely prefer to pay for him than Cooper Kupp, who is now in the same price range.
Both are good plays – along with Nuk and Tyreek Hill – but Adams is the guy you want in that salary arena.
If you want some upside and a bit more savings, I offer you, Calvin Ridley. He has yet to truly pop in 2021, and I’ll admit it’s always scary hitching your wagon to Matt Ryan.
That said, the talent is there, and Ridley is still seeing plenty of targets.
- Week 3: 11 targets
- Week 2: 10 targets
- Week 1: 8 targets
This week, he also gets a Washington defense that got obliterated through the air the past two weeks.
Washington’s defense was supposed to be stout, but here they are, ranking 31st against fantasy wide receivers so far in 2021. I don’t know if that sticks for the entire year, but Ridley is in the best spot he’s seen all year, by the numbers.
Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs ($8.1k)
Much like Josh Allen this week, this feels too obvious to try to deviate from. Tight end is a notoriously weak position, but this slate doesn’t have a stud option to pivot to.
George Kittle is the only guy you could really vouch for as such, and he isn’t even 100% right now.
Even when he’s struggled, Kelce has still excelled.
Kelce’s individual matchup isn’t elite, but he sees 7+ targets a week and is a threat for 100+ yards and/or a touchdown every time out. He’s one of the top studs that’s probably worth going all-in on this week.
Green Bay Packers ($3.3k)
I could vouch for the Bills against the Texans, but their price is just egregious. They’re a great play, but Green Bay could get the job done for $1k less.
The Packers don’t seem like a good defense to roster, but they’ve actually played very well for the better part of the last two games. Green Bay shut the Lions out in the second half in week two and really did a nice job against the 49ers in week three.
Green Bay gets a much better matchup this time around, as they welcome a rapidly declining Ben Roethlisberger to town.
Pittsburgh can’t run the ball, they can’t pass protect, they’re not healthy, and Big Ben can’t move like he used to. It’s the perfect storm; while the Packers are touchdown favorites in a game, they very well may dominate.
I like the Packers to get some sacks and a couple of turnovers here, and given Pittsburgh’s issues with driving the ball down the field, I doubt they give up many points, either.
NFL DFS Advice for Week 4
This feels like a very weird week, which probably means every game will be 35-34 shootouts. But really, it seems like a lot of bad spots for normally great plays.
Maybe that means you temper your expectations, or perhaps it could mean you try to load up on studs and take on more punts than you normally would feel comfortable with.
That, or this is the week to play the ownership game, and just pile on low-owned players that offer monster upside.
Keep an eye out for my top NFL DFS sleepers for week four, too, and check out the early week four NFL odds to help you shape your lineups.