Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis Betting Preview – UFC Fight Night (February 20, 2021)

| February 15, 2021 12:49 pm PDT

A crucial UFC heavyweight scrap between Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis goes down this Saturday, Feb 21, from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas.

As the title of this piece suggests, I’ll be making my predictions and betting pick for Blaydes vs. Lewis. I will also be looking at the odds and top bets for Razor vs. The Black Beast in the hope to crack the best way to approach wagering on this fight.

It should be a fun bout. But does the betting favorite for Blaydes vs. Lewis get it done early?

Blaydes vs. Lewis – Who Wins the Fight?

  • Curtis Blaydes by KO/TKO

Blaydes is one of the baddest men on the planet, and it’s safe to say that the majority of Blaydes vs. Lewis bets are going to be placed on the Elevation Fight Team star picking up the win.

A lot of his strength as a fighter comes from his wrestling, sure, but his striking has also developed over the past few years. His ground and pound is nasty, and I can see it having a big effect on this fight.

My Blaydes vs. Lewis prediction is a TKO finish for Razor late in Round 2.

More on that a little later. First, let’s check out the odds together before you place your wagers or make your picks for Blaydes vs. Lewis.

Latest Odds for Blaydes vs. Lewis

Curtis Blaydes to Win-400
Derrick Lewis to Win+300

MyBookie makes Blaydes the favorite to beat Lewis on the night. And a significant one, at that.

The #2 ranked UFC heavyweight was -350 with just a few days leading up to their canceled fight back in November, with Lewis coming in as a +280 dog.

Although Lewis has the power to pull off an upset, I don’t see Blaydes’ odds getting anything but smaller. Lewis’ odds to beat Blaydes will move out a little more before fight night, but not by a great deal.

Take Blaydes’ odds if you’ve made your prediction for Blaydes vs. Lewis going the way of the favorite. I’d suggest waiting if you are backing Lewis.

Curtis Blaydes Tale of the Tape Derrick Lewis
30 Age on the Night of Fight 36
14-2-0-1 Record 24-7-0-1
10 Knockout Wins 19
0 Submission Wins 1
4 Decision Wins 4
6’4″ Height 6’3″
265 Weight 260
80″ Reach 79″
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.55 Significant Strikes Landed (Per Minute) 2.64
53% Striking Accuracy 50%
1.73 Significant Strikes Absorbed (Per Minute) 2.09
57% Striking Defense 44%
6.98 Takedown Average (Per 15 Minutes) 0.54
55% Takedown Accuracy 52%
33% Takedown Defense 52%


Top Bets for Blaydes vs. Lewis

  • Blaydes to Win (-400)
  • Blaydes to Win by KO/TKO (N/A)
  • Fight to End Over 2.5 Rounds (N/A)

The Blaydes vs. Lewis prop bets have not yet been released, so I can’t share the odds for two of the three bets I am going for in this fight.

But let’s get the first wager out of the way, which is -400 odds for Blaydes to beat Lewis. Sure, this price won’t lead to a major payday for most bettors, but $400 down to win $100 might make sense if your pick for Blaydes vs. Lewis matches this wager.

You will certainly get better odds for Blaydes to win by KO/TKO. But I’m not sure by how much. My prediction for Blaydes vs. Lewis is a finish in Round 2, but odds were not available at the time of writing.

There is a strong chance that you are reading this a little further in the future. So, I’d advise heading over to the top UFC betting sites to check if the Blaydes vs. Lewis props are out.

Oh, and make sure to check the price on the fight to end over the 2.5 Round mark, as that is another one of the best Blaydes vs. Lewis bets you can gamble on.

At this point, you’ll know my Blaydes vs. Lewis prediction and betting tips. But your Blaydes vs. Lewis betting pick might not be as set in stone.

If that’s the case, read on. I have a few more small things to mention about betting on this fight.

Here’s Why Blaydes Beats Lewis

I remember making betting picks for Blaydes vs. Lewis back in November.

That fight was canceled, of course, only to be rearranged for this weekend. But nothing has changed with how I see the fight going.

My initial prediction for Blaydes vs. Lewis never got a chance to materialize, but I’m standing by it ahead of this weekend. That is, of course, Blaydes to win by KO/TKO.

It’s going to come by way of ground and pound, in my opinion. So, if you’re looking for fast betting tips for Blaydes vs. Lewis, get on that.

But why does Blaydes win the fight? Simply put, he is the better fighter with a couple more dimensions to his game.

Blaydes’ wrestling is too much for most fighters in this division. Ask Alexander Volkov, who he beat in June 2020. He set a UFC record in that fight, recording a ridiculous 14 consecutive takedowns.

As much as I love Lewis, he is one-dimensional. Yes, he has power. But it’s not Francis Ngannou power.

Ultimately, he’s going to struggle with Blaydes’ strength in the takedown and in the clinch and will be absolutely gassed by the end of the second round. The fight ends with strikes from the top.

So, once again, my prediction for Blaydes vs. Lewis is a 2nd Round TKO for Razor.

More UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis Betting Advice

So, that’s all for my predictions, picks, and betting tips for Blaydes vs. Lewis this Saturday, February 20.

I covered pretty much all bettors need to know about this scrap. If you are betting on Blaydes vs. Lewis for real money, make sure to consider my best bets for the fight. I don’t see anything outside of these wagers worth your money.

I would advise checking out my betting predictions for all fights at UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis. If you’re planning on wagering on any of the other fights on the card, you will find the best bets for the Blaydes vs. Lewis card and a couple of sleepers to target, too.

You can find quality content like this in our picks section and our UFC blog, which covers even more top stuff from the MMA betting sphere.

That’s it for now. Thanks for reading, and good luck with your bets!

Adam Haynes
Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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