CS Northridge Matadors vs. CS Bakersfield Roadrunners NCAAB, – February 26, 2021

By Dean McHugh in College Basketball
| February 26, 2021 1:44 pm PDT

This is the end of the road for the Roadrunners as their season ends with back-to-back games against the Matadors. They will be bullish on finishing the season off well, given that they sit five places above Northridge in the standings. The Matadors have four games left this season, and if they were to have a successful spell over them matches, they could finish the regular season around mid-table.

The recent head-to-head record is close as each team has won three games a piece from the last six matchups. But in all honesty, it’s irrelevant as they haven’t met for almost a decade! Therefore, there is no point in analyzing these games. Although, that won’t matter to Northridge as they won the last time they met and have been able to hold the bragging rights for nine years!

Here is my Matadors vs. Roadrunners betting preview.

Matadors vs. Roadrunners Match Odds

Matadors +9.5-110
Roadrunners -9.5-110
Matadors To Win+360
Roadrunners To Win-435
Over 140 Points-110
Under 140 Points-110 

All of the markets look like they are priced up incredibly accurately here, so it could take some figuring out to make my pick.

The Roadrunners have an excellent record as favorites this season as they have won seven of the nine games they have played as the match favorites.

Matadors Preview

The Matador’s form has picked up slightly over the past few weeks, and they have won three of their previous five matches. While they didn’t beat anyone of the Roadrunners caliber, it will still have been confidence-boosting. On the last three occasions, they have faced opponents in back-to-back doubleheaders; they have won one and lost one of the two games. I’m sure if you offered that to them here, they would bite your arm off.

On the road, they have a record of three wins and four defeats from their seven games. They won their most recent away match against last-placed Cal Poly. However, that was almost a month ago, and they have failed to record back to back away wins all season.

Here are the latest betting trends for CS Northridge:

Against The Spread
  • They have won four of their previous five games.
  • The Matadors have only lost one of their last six games played in February.

I think this shows how underestimated the Matadors are at times.

Points Total
  • The total has gone over in nine of their previous 13 matches.
  • Four of their last five games on the road have gone over the betting total.

These two trends point towards a high-scoring game tonight.

Other Pointers
  • CS Northridge is 4-8 in their previous 12 games.
  • They have only won one of their last six matches played on a Friday.

This highlights their struggles this season.

CS Northridge has an average attack that has not shot well for the most part of this season. Although that isn’t to say, they haven’t made many baskets as they have, especially from deep where they have made the third-most in the Conference.

That was the positive! The negative is their defense is dreadful and concedes on average 76 points per game. This negative had led to a negative point per game difference of -4.3.

The Matadors need to start blocking better as they currently have the second-lowest average in the Big West.

They can sometimes be a bit slow and methodical in their build-up play. While it does mean they don’t turn the ball over often, they often find that the shot clock runs down, and they end up forcing the shot.

The Matadors have relied on bay boy T. J. Starks to do most of their scoring this season, and if he hasn’t fired, they haven’t won. He comes into this game on the back of two outstanding performances against Hawaii, where he posted scores of 31 and 28.

CS Northridge has no listed absentees for this game.

Roadrunners Preview

The Roadrunners sit third in the Big West, but that is as good as it’s going to get for them this season as with only two games left, they have no chance of catching UC Riverside or UC Santa Barbara. Their hopes of moving up the rankings ended when they lost their previous two games, both against title contenders, UC Santa Barbara. They pushed them close in their first encounter losing by five points. However, they were firmly put in their place in the second game when they lost by 19 points.

They have been brilliant at home this season, winning seven of their eight matches. Their one defeat came at the end of January when they went down in a shock, high-scoring loss to CS Fullerton.

Here are the latest betting trends for CS Bakersfield:

Points Total
  • Four of their last six games have gone under the betting total.
  • The total has gone under in nine of their previous 12 matches played in February.

These stats are contrasting to those of the Matadors and suggest it will be a low-scoring affair.

Other Pointers
  • CS Bakersfield is 10-5 in their previous 15 games.

This confirms that the Roadrunners have been decent this season.

The Roadrunners have a poor offense that has only scored an average of 68 points per game. Thankfully for them, they have rebounded well, especially in attack, or this terrible point average would be even lower given their low field goal percentage.

However, they have attacked much better at home this season, averaging nine more points per game which is why they have only lost once at home.

They don’t take many three-point shots as they prefer to wait and position their players into good rebounding positions before taking the shot.

Their defense is exceptional and a match for any team’s offense in the Big West. Their rebounding is helped by a defense that sits deep and doesn’t allow much room to maneuver around the basket.

They have defended even better at home, condemning only 59 points per game which put them inside the 25 home defensive units in the country.

The Roadrunners play hard and, most of the time, play fair.

Senior Taze Moore has been the talisman for the Roadrunners more often than not this season, and he has improved on almost all of his stats this season.

The Roadrunners have no injury concerns for the game tonight.

Matadors vs. Roadrunners Betting Pick 

Pick
  • Roadrunners -9.5
    -110

This is a tricky game to call, but I favor the Roadrunners to win minus the handicap as they have been superb at home this season. The Matador’s best asset (if you can call it that) is their attack, but coming up against the road-blocking Roadrunners, I can’t see them scoring many points here tonight.

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