Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting – NFL Week 7, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| October 19, 2020 11:38 am PDT

The 2020 NFL season goes on with Week 7 matchups including the AFC North showdown at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati where the Bengals welcome the Cleveland Browns.

These two foes already met each other this season, and the Browns outlasted the Bengals 35-30 in Week 2 as 6-point home favorites with a total of 44.5 points.

The upcoming clash will tell us who’s the best team in Ohio, bringing some very intriguing markets to choose from, so here’s my best Browns vs. Bengals betting pick.

Browns vs. Bengals Odds

Browns -3.5-110
Bengals +3.5-110
Browns to Win-190
Bengals to Win+165
Over 51.5-110
Under 51.5-110

The Browns are 4-2 and sitting at the third spot of the AFC North. They certainly deserve to be favorites against the 1-4-1 Bengals, and the Browns have won four of their last five matchups with the Bengals. However, Cincy beat Cleveland 33-23 in their previous meeting at Paul Brown Stadium.

The bookies expect to see a lot of points, setting the line at 51.5 points. The over has hit in five of the last six encounters between Cleveland and Cincinnati along with a push.

Cleveland Browns Form

The Browns suffered a heavy 38-7 defeat at the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 6, putting an end to a four-game winning streak. Baker Mayfield threw a pick-six in the Browns’ first drive, and it was a proper uphill battle for Cleveland since then.

Mayfield finished the game 10-from-18 for 119 yards, one TD, and a couple of interceptions. He was sacked four times, while the Steelers’ defensive unit tortured the Browns for all 60 minutes. Cleveland racked up a paltry 220 total yards while making it to the red zone only once.

Now, the Browns are scoring 27.2 points per contest (12th in the NFL) on 358.8 total yards (19th). Cleveland’s ground game is still the best in football, averaging 169.5 yards per game, but rushing against the Steelers’ stout front seven was an impossible mission.

On the other side of the ball, the Browns are yielding 31.2 points per game (30th) on 365.7 total yards (18th). Their secondary is one of the worst in the league and surrenders 271.7 passing yards per contest (27th). 

Cincinnati Bengals Form

The Bengals are coming off a painful 31-27 defeat at the Indianapolis Colts this past Sunday. They had a massive 21-0 lead after four seconds of play in the second quarter, but the Bengals allowed 21 second-quarter points and managed to blew the second-biggest lead in franchise history.

Joe Mixon led the way for Cincy with 18 carries for 54 yards and a TD, while Joe Burrow went 25-for-39 for 313 yards and an interception. Burrow’s lone pick came in the ultimate Bengals’ drive, but rookie QB shouldn’t be blamed for this tough defeat.

Once again, the Bengals’ defense was outplayed, allowing 430 total yards to the Colts, and a whopping 371 came through the air. Cincy is surrendering 26.2 points per game (17th) on 394.7 total yards (25th) while scoring 21.5 points in a return (26th) on 343.3 total yards (25th).

Browns vs. Bengals Pick

The Bengals certainly have enough weapons to keep it close against the Browns. Joe Burrow will throw a lot, especially if Cincy’s offensive line does a solid job, but the Bengals will struggle on the ground on both sides of the ball.

Cincy’s run D allows 142.3 yards per game, so the Browns will have a field day even though they still miss Nick Chubb due to an injury. Furthermore, I expect the Browns’ defense to step up and finally put on a solid performance against Cincinnati’s one-dimensional offense, so give me the visitors as 2.5-point favorites.

Back in Week 2, the Browns racked up 215 rushing yards, and I don’t see how the Bengals will cope with Cleveland’s ground game. The Browns are only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 meetings with the Bengals, but Cincy is just 4-10-2 ATS in its previous 16 outings at home.

Pick
  • Cleveland Browns -2.5
    -125

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