Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves – MLB, October 1, 2020

By Admir Aljic in MLB
| October 1, 2020 12:44 am PDT

The Cincinnati Reds will square off against the Atlanta Braves at Truits Park in Atlanta on Thursday, October 1, in Game 2 of their National League Wild Card Series. 

The Braves have a chance to wrap up this best-of-three set after beating the Reds 1-0 in 13 innings on Wednesday. They look to win the playoff series for the first time since 2001, while the Reds haven’t won the playoff series since 1995. 

Therefore, Thursday’s clash in Atlanta will have so much on the table for both teams, so here’s my best Reds vs. Braves betting pick.

Reds vs. Braves Odds

BET ODDS
Reds +1.5 -175
Braves -1.5 +155
Reds to Win +123
Braves to Win -133
Over 7.5 -105
Under 7.5 -110

The Braves are -133 moneyline favorites to win Game 2, according to Bovada Sportsbook. Although the Braves are No. 2 seed in the National League, the bookies don’t expect them to have an easy job against the seventh-seeded Cincinnati Reds.

The opening game of this series was an epic one as the first playoff contest to be scoreless after 11 innings.

Reds vs. Braves Preview   

The Braves entered this series as the second-highest scoring offense in the MLB, tallying 5.80 runs per game. They were second in batting average (.268) and first in slugging percentage (.483), but the Braves recorded only six hits and a whopping 21 strikeouts in the opener against the Reds.

On the other side, the Reds had 11 hits in Game 1 even though they were dead last in the majors in batting average this past regular season (.212). Cincy was averaging only 4.05 runs per contest while posting an OPS of .715 (19th in the majors).

Luis Castillo will get the starting nod for the Reds on Thursday, and the righty was 4-6 with a 3.21 ERA last regular season. Castillo will tally his first postseason start, while he’s 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three career starts against the Braves.

Ian Anderson will get the ball for the hosts, and the 22-year-old rookie impressed in the regular season, going 3-2 with a 1.95 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across six starts and 32.1 frames of work.

Reds vs. Braves Pick

While the pitching staff dominated Wednesday’s opener, I expect the bats to take over in Game 2.

First, Luis Castillo has been inconsistent all season, and he’s arguably below Trevor Bauer’s standard at the moment. Bauer fanned 12 on Wednesday, and I cannot see Castillo doing the same in this one.

On the other side, Ian Anderson is a talented guy, but he’s still young and could have a tough day in the office. I’ve mentioned the Reds’ offensive woes, but you never know what can happen.

Furthermore, the Braves and Reds combined to use 14 pitchers in Game 1, so their bullpens will be short-handed in Game 2. It’s tough to say who has more fuel in the tank, and the Reds could have a slight advantage on the mound.

However, the Braves shouldn’t have any problems to do a much better job offensively after a terrible performance in Game 1. There are so many dangerous guys in their lineup from top to bottom, so I have to take the over on the totals.

Pick
  • Over 7.5 runs
    -105

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