Churchill Downs Picks – Wednesday, November 4, 2020

| November 3, 2020 1:14 pm PDT

Churchill Downs’s nine-race card for Wednesday is all about maiden and claiming races. After last week’s deluge, the weather for the last couple of days has been sunny and warm and is predicted to continue similarly for Wednesday, so I’d suspect there isn’t much chance of the two turf races I review here moving to the main track, certainly not because of rain, anyway.

Bear in mind that while I cover the three richest races at Churchill Downs, you can always find their full race card at one of our recommended online racebooks.

But let’s get right to the good stuff: Read on for my Churchill Downs picks and betting tips for Wednesday’s richest races.

Pick for Churchill Downs Race 3

This is a maiden special weight race for two-year-old fillies running a distance of five furlongs on turf for a purse of $85,000.

I like the 7/5 morning line favorited for this race — Risky Reward, with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. This filly moneyed one of her two career starts, pulling a second at Kentucky Downs in September. Despite the fact that she came in 8th in her most recent race (at Keeneland), she has the best record in this field.

I see no longer-odds entries that would be worth the risk of a show bet, so let’s save our money.

  • Win: Risky Reward 7/5

Pick for Churchill Downs Race 6

This is a maiden special weight race for fillies and mares three years old and upward running a distance of one mile on turf for a purse of $85,000.

I’m going with the third-favored (5/1) entry in this race — Sail On Ellen, with Colby Hernandez aboard. This three-year-old filly finished in the money in all six of her career starts.

Plenty of longer-odds entries in this race, but even looking at the also-eligibles reveals none likely to finish in the money.

  • Win: Sail On Ellen 5/1

Picks for Churchill Downs Race 8

This is an allowance optional claiming race for three-year-olds running a distance of 1-1/16 miles for a purse of $89,000.

I like one of the third-favored (there are three at 5/1) entry in this race — Oak Hill, with Colby Hernandez aboard. This colt finished in the money for three of his four career starts, winning two of them.

There is a 30/1 longshot in this seven-horse race that I think is a solid value show bet: Cash Logistics, with James Graham in the irons. This gelding moneyed all five of his career starts, winning two of them. You might even consider him for an across-the board wager.

  • Win: Oak Hill 5/1
  • Show/Across the Board: Cash Logistics 30/1

More Wednesday Horse Racing Predictions

I found plenty more underdogs and bargain longshots at the other two tracks I reviewed for Wednesday:

J.W. Paine
J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

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