Churchill Downs Picks – Wednesday, November 25, 2020

| November 24, 2020 12:28 pm PDT

Churchill Downs thoroughbred races always attract the best talent, and this Wednesday’s racing fare is no exception. Some of the races are incredibly tight, and at least two of three races I review today should turn out to be real edge-of-the-seaters.

Remember that while I cover three of those races here, you can find Churchill Downs’ entire nine-race card for Wednesday — including entries, jockeys, morning line odds, and wagering options — at one of our recommended online racebooks.

Read on for my Churchill Downs picks and tips for Wednesday’s richest three races.

Picks for Churchill Downs Race 2

This is a claiming race for three-year-olds and upward running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $39,500.

I’m in agreement with the morning line in this race, and my win ticket is for the 9/5 favorite — Backshot, with Florent Geroux in the irons. This three-year-old ridgling finished in the money four of his seven career starts, winning two.

While this should be a tight race among the top three entries, I think the 10/1 Harper, ridden by Edgar Morales, is a value show bet here. This three-year-old colt moneyed six of his ten career starts, winning two.

  • Win: Backshot  9/5
  • Show: Harper 10/1

Pick for Churchill Downs Race 7

This is a claiming race for fillies and mares three years old and upward running a distance of six furlongs for a purse of $39,000.

I’m backing one of the fourth-favored entries in this race (there are three at 5/1) — Super Cat Lady, with Corey Lanerie aboard. This three-year-old filly moneyed two of her three career starts, winning one.

The longest odds in this seven-horse race are 6/1, so no, there won’t be a value show bet. Did I mention this is going to be a nail-biter?

  • Win: Super Cat Lady 5/1

Picks for Churchill Downs Race 8

This is an allowance optional claiming race for three-year-olds running a distance of one mile for a purse of $89,000.

My money is on the third-favored (5/1) entry here — Mailman Money, ridden by Gabriel Saez. This three-year-old colt finished in the money four of his six career starts, winning two.

Yes, I know the morning line favorite (Dennis’ Moment) also won two — one of which was the Iroquois Stakes (Grade III) at Churchill Downs over a year ago — but his money finishes were all in 2019.

At 12/1, I like Violent City, with Julien Leparoux aboard, for a value show wager. This three-year-old colt moneyed all three of his career starts, winning two. You might even consider an across the board bet here.

  • Win: Mailman Money 5/1
  • Show/Across the Board: Violent City 12/1

More Wednesday Predictions

Churchill Downs gave us plenty of underdogs and longer-odds bets to consider, and I found more at the other two tracks I reviewed for Wednesday:

J.W. Paine

J.W. Paine is one of the most experienced writers at He's written for television and the printed media, and is a published novelist (as Tom Elliott).

Paine loves writing about Las Vegas nearly as much he loves living here. An experienced gambler, he's especially familiar with thoroughbred horseracing, poker, blackjack, and slots.

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