Chinese Super League Predictions and Best Bets – September 13, 2020
Guangzhou Evergrande secured a championship-stage spot on Wednesday with a comfortable 2-0 win over Shenzhen, becoming the first team to qualify for the title-deciding stage this season. The defending champion is in action again on Sunday, September 13, with Shandong Luneng up next.
In total, there are two Chinese Super League games taking place on Sunday. Let’s start by checking out the fixture list.
- Jiangsu Suning vs. Guangzhou R&F
- Shandong Luneng vs. Guangzhou Evergrande
Shandong vs. Evergrande is undoubtedly Sunday’s standout tie, although I’m also really looking froward to Jiangsu Suning’s clash against Guangzhou R&F. Jiangsu sits second in Group A, while the Blue Lions find themselves second from bottom.
You can find my predictions for both of Sunday’s Chinese Super League games below. I also look at the best value betting picks for September 13 at the end of this post.
Jiangsu Suning to Beat Guangzhou R&F
An impressive four-game unbeaten has seen Jiangsu cement second place in Group A. Victories over Henan Jianye and Shandong, along with draws against Shenzhen and Dalian Pro, mean the Nanjing outfit is now firmly in control of their top-four bid.
Veteran defender Miranda was the unlikely source of Jiangsu’s equalizer against Dalian on Tuesday. The 36-year-old Brazilian netted just his second goal for this club last time out, but his attacking teammates have been far busier in recent weeks.
Italian star Eder bagged a brace against Jianye before taking his tally to six goals for the season with a strike against Shandong last week. Croatian forward Ivan Santini also scored a hat-trick in the win over Jianye, so it’s fair to say that Jiangsu’s forwards are in red-hot form at the moment.
On the flip side, R&F is in desperate need of goals. Not only are the Blue Lions the lowest scorers in Group A, but they also have the second-worst defensive record in the division.
Giovanni van Bronckhorst’s side ended a three-game losing streak with a much-needed victory against bottom-club Henan last time out. Dia Saba netted a double on Tuesday, but he is one of only four R&F players to have hit the back of the net in 2020.
Of course, R&F will be buoyed up by their win earlier in the week. But I’m expecting Jiangsu to inflict a fourth defeat in five games on the away side this weekend.
Guangzhou Evergrande to Beat Shandong Luneng
This should be a thriller. Yes, Shandong is eight points behind runaway-leader Evergrande. But with Shandong sitting six points inside the top four, there is no denying that Li Xiaopeng’s side is one of the strongest teams in the division.
Evergrande extended their unbeaten streak to six games and secured their third straight victory in midweek. Former Tottenham and Barcelona star Paulinho shone as the South China Tigers cruised past Shenzhen with a routine 2-0 win.
The reigning Super League champion has already booked their place in the next phase of the competition with four group games still to play. And having only lost one of their ten games this year, Evergrande is looking more and more likely to defend their crown.
Evergrande’s squad is packed with big-name players, but it looks as though Shandong is also keen to add a household name to their ranks. The club is rumored to be interested in EPL star Andriy Yarmolenko, with West Ham reportedly ready to listen to offers for the Ukrainian.
Yarmolenko would undeniably improve a Shandong team that has struggled for consistency of late. Li Xiaopeng’s men record four straight victories in August, but they have since failed to win any of their previous three games.
Back-to-back defeats to Dalian and Jiangsu were followed by a 1-1 draw with Shanghai Shenhua on Wednesday. Shandong remains just one point behind second-place Jiangsu, but the gulf between them and Evergrande is vast.
I’m confident that Evergrande will extend their lead at the top of Group A with another win on Sunday.
Chinese Super League Betting Picks for Sunday, September 13
That’s it for my predictions. It’s now time to get stuck into my betting picks for Sunday’s Super League games.
- Jiangsu Suning vs. Guangzhou R&F – Jiangsu Suning to Win and Under 3.5 Goals (2.38)
I think Jiangsu should win this game relatively comfortably, and odds of 1.44 for the home win suggest the bookies share my views. R&F (5.50) has lost three of their previous four games, so I can’t see the away side having a big say in the outcome of this clash.
Sure, 1.44 isn’t the worst price in the world. But if you’re looking for higher odds, I suggest adding the under 3.5 goals market onto the home win. Jiangsu has clinched five wins this term, but three of those victories have produced less than four goals. It’s also worth pointing out that R&F hasn’t conceded more than two goals in each of their last three outings.
- Shandong Luneng vs. Guangzhou Evergrande – Guangzhou Evergrande to Win Half Time/Full Time (2.88)
Unsurprisingly, Evergrande (1.73) comes into this matchup as the favorite, with Shandong (3.75) the bookies’ outsider. I really like the look of the price for the away win here, although I am tempted to back Cannavaro’s side to win both halves.
The South Chine Tigers have won eight of their ten games this season, and they have been leading at half-time on six occasions. Evergrande generally starts games strongly, so it’s hardly surprising that the team has scored eight goal more than their nearest challenger. Ultimately, backing Evergrande to win both halves could prove to be very profitable.