Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview – MLB, August 30, 2020

By Admir Aljic in MLB
| August 30, 2020 1:12 am PDT

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds will wrap up a four-game series at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati on Sunday afternoon. The Reds won the opener 6-5, while the Cubs bounced back with a 3-0 victory in the first game of Saturday’s doubleheader.

Back in July, the Cubs won a three-game series in Cincinnati 2-1. They improved to 19-13 on the season with that 3-0 win on Saturday, while the Reds dropped to 14-18. The Cubs are topping the NL Central, while the Reds are sitting at the fourth spot.

While the Cubs should be happy with their performance in 2020, the Reds will have to improve a lot in the second half of the season if they want to reach the playoffs.

The closing contest of this series will bring plenty of excitement, so here’s my best Cubs vs. Reds betting pick for Sunday.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds

BET ODDS
Cubs +1.5 -145
Reds -1.5 +130
Cubs to Win +130
Reds to Win -140
Over 9.0 -110
Under 9.0 -110

Excluding the second clash of Saturday’s doubleheader, the Cubs are 3-2 in five games against the Reds this season and 8-6 over their previous 14 encounters. Still, the Reds opened as -140 favorites with a total of nine runs in this one.

The Reds are playoff contenders despite their poor form, so the bookies favor them at home.

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Preview   

The Reds activated Anthony DeSclafani from the paternity list, and the 30-year-old righty will get his fifth start of the season Sunday. DeSclafani is 1-1 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this term, while he’s 4-3 with a 3.91 ERA in 12 starts against the Cubs in his career.

Cincy has won four of DeSclafani’s last six starts against the Cubs.

Tyler Chatwood will toe the slab for the Cubs, and the 30-year-old right-hander is 2-2 with a 6.06 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in four starts this season. He’s been terrible last time out, allowing a couple of runs, three hits, and five free passes in 1.1 innings of work against the Detroit Tigers.

Chatwood is 1-4 with a 4.71 ERA in six starts and four relief appearances against the Reds in his career.

The Cubs score 4.61 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on .226 batting average (25th) and .408 slugging percentage (21st). The Reds tally only 4.13 runs per contest (25th) on .216 batting average (27th) and .416 slugging percentage (17th).

Cubs vs. Reds Pick      

Both teams have been struggling offensively thus far, especially the Reds, but I have to go with the over in this one. I don’t trust Tyler Chatwood, who’s already had problems to deal with the Cubs, while Anthony DeSclafani hasn’t impressed either.

Furthermore, the Cubs’ bullpen owns the fourth-worst ERA in baseball (5.76), while the Reds’ relievers are 23rd in the majors with a poor 5.33 ERA.

Pick
  • Over 9.0 runs
    -110

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