Best Bets for Champions League Games on Tuesday, September 28, 2021

| September 27, 2021 9:44 am PDT

The second round of the 2021-22 Champions League starts on Tuesday, September 28, with eight interesting matchups.

The one getting the most media attention is the clash between PSG and Manchester City, two of the strongest title favorites, each priced at 4.50.

That might be the most interesting duel of the day, but there are plenty of others that bettors shouldn’t miss. If you’re wondering which games are those, you ought to keep on reading. I will now reveal my top Champions League picks for Tuesday. So, let’s start.

PSG to Beat Manchester City

It’s never happened before – PSG still remains without a single Champions League win over Manchester City.

The team from the French capital lost three of those games while drawing the other two. What’s worrying is that two of those losses happened this year.

It was the semifinal of the previous edition of the Champions League, and PSG was pitted against Manchester City. In Game 1 of the doubleheader, the English team won 2-1 despite being a goal down until the 64th minute.

In Game 2, Man City’s forward Riyad Mahrez scored twice, setting the score to 2-0. What’s interesting is that in both of those games, PSG played with ten players for a significant portion of the game.

In the first game, it was Idrissa Gueye who got sent off, while in the second game, the same happened to Angel Di Maria.

This time, we might see both of them starting the game from the bench. It’s because PSG now has better players in their positions.

This goes especially for Gueye, whose role in the center of the pitch will be diverted to ex-Liverpool midfielder Gini Wijnaldum. When it comes to Di Maria, we might see Lionel Messi in his place this Tuesday, assuming that he recovers from his knee injury by then.

Speaking of Messi, the GOAT candidate has a huge motivation to score against Man City. The thing is that since coming to Paris from Barcelona, he still hasn’t scored a single goal. That’s very strange, knowing that this guy’s scored 20+ goals per season each time since 2006.

Apart from those two newcomers, PSG has a few other players who have arrived in Paris during the summer transfer window, including:

  • Sergio Ramos (from Real Madrid)
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma (from AC Milan)
  • Danilo (from Porto)
  • Achraf Hakimi (from Inter)

With new players on the roster, PSG looks ready to beat Manchester City for the first time in history. Another reason for this is that the English team is having huge problems with injuries. Almost half of their first-team players are out due to fitness concerns.

Dortmund to Beat Sporting

This one’s no-brainer – Dortmund is a much, much stronger team than Sporting, and they are determined to win this game.

A win could get the German team to the top of the group table, especially if it turns out to be a big win. The thing is that Ajax is currently the leader of Group C with the same number of points as Dortmund but a far superior goal difference.

This is because Ajax absolutely demolished its first opponent in the Champions League, winning 5-1 on the road. Which team was Ajax’s victim? The answer is Sporting.

It happened at Sporting’s turf, but this Tuesday, the Portuguese team is traveling to Germany to play against Borussia Dortmund at Singal Iduna Park, a.k.a. Westfalen.

Renowned for its crazy atmosphere, the stadium has the largest terrace in Europe, the Yellow Wall, which regularly features 24k Dortmund fans.

With the help of their “twelfth man,” Dortmund is one of the best home sides in European soccer. In fact, this team has lost only one home game in the Champions League since 2019.

The game in question was the 2-1 defeat to Manchester City this April when COVID protocols prevented fans from attending the game.

This Tuesday, fans will be there at Westfalen, ready to help Dortmund grab a big win.

Liverpool and Porto to Draw

Estadio do Dragao (literally, The Dragon Stadium) is the venue where Porto’s lost only one game since October 2020. The game they lost this year was the semifinal game of the Portuguese Cup. They lost the game 33-2 to Braga, but there were no fans in the stands back then.

This time, the 50,033-seater will be packed, which should give a major advantage to the home side. Another advantage for Porto is that its players have been phenomenal lately.

This goes especially for Colombian midfielder Luis Diaz, whose brilliant performances since the start of the new season have placed him on the radar of many top European clubs, including Bayern Munich.

His midfield colleague Fabio Viera has also been in the spotlight, with rumors emerging about Liverpool wanting to sign him in the next transfer window.

Those players might not be better than Liverpool’s midfield, but the Reds are having some serious injury problems in this part of the field.

Thiago Alcantara and Naby Keita – who featured in Liverpool’s 3-2 win over AC Milan two weeks ago – both remain sidelined.

Harvey Elliott is also out due to an injury, while a few other midfielders are reportedly struggling to get their fitness level to the maximum.

Picks for Other Champions League Games on Tuesday

  • Ajax and Besiktas to Draw
  • Inter to Beat Shakhtar
  • Atletico Madrid to Beat AC Milan
  • RB Leipzig to Beat Club Brugge
  • Real Madrid to Beat Sheriff Tiraspol

Even though oddsmakers favor Ajax to get an easy win on Tuesday, I think Besiktas has what it takes to grab at least a point.

The thing is that the Turkish side has a very strong roster this season, with players who have extensive Champions League experience – Miralem Pjanic, Domagoj Vida, Mitchy Batshuayi, to name a few.

Over in Ukraine, I expect Inter Milan to get a win. After all, the Italian team has much better players, which should be the key factor in this game.

I can also see Atleti winning the battle of San Siro, even though AC Milan will have huge support from the stands.

RB Leipzig should have a relatively easy job against Club Brugge, while anything but a dominant Real Madrid win would be a major upset in the game against Sheriff Tiraspol.

Best Champions League Bets for Tuesday, September 28

PSG to Beat Manchester City2.90
Dortmund vs. Sporting – Over 3.5 goals2.20
Porto vs. Liverpool – The Draw4.00

PSG to beat Manchester City is my bet of the day. Scratch that – this is my best bet of the Round 2 of the Champions League.

My second-best bet of the round is Dortmund vs. Sporting – over 3.5 goals. I’m sure we will see plenty of goals at Westfalen, the same as in a previous couple of Dortmund’s home games.

Actually, there were four or more goals in each of the previous seven games Dortmund played on its turf.

Finally, in the game between Porto and Liverpool, I think we’ll see an upset. The Reds are favored to win, but I think Porto’s players have enough quality to get (at least) a draw.

Zarko Naric
Zarko Naric

Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball,  as well as some more niche sports like cycling, for example.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and so on.

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