CF Montreal vs. Toronto FC – MLS, April 17, 2021

| April 14, 2021 9:04 am PDT

Following four months without any MLS action, North American soccer fans will be treated to the Canadian Classique when CF Montreal and Toronto FC clash on Saturday, April 17.

Aside from the obvious rivalry, both clubs are heading into the 2021 MLS season with new head coaches, meaning there is even more to play for in this edition of the 401 Derby.

You can find my Montreal vs. Toronto prediction and pick below, but let’s check out the bookmakers’ odds before we get to that.

CF Montreal vs. Toronto FC Odds

CF Montreal to Win3.45
The Draw3.45
Toronto FC to Win1.95

Given that CF Montreal’s “home” games are being played at Inter Miami’s stadium, for the time being, it is difficult to predict exactly how Wilfried Nancy’s men will fare in Florida, at least during the opening stages of the season.

Still, the top online sports betting sites view Montreal as the outsider here, making Toronto FC the favorite. Below, I attempt to make sense of the Montreal vs. Toronto odds by taking a closer look at both sides.

Assessing CF Montreal’s Chances

It has been an offseason of change in Quebec. First off, Montreal Impact became Club de Foot Montreal before Thierry Henry quit and returned to Europe.

Following Henry’s resignation, Wilfried Nancy was promoted from assistant to head coach. The 44-year-old will lead the club into the new campaign, aided by new arrivals such as Djordje Mihailovic, Kamal Miller, Aljaz Struna, and Erik Hurtado.

With well over a century of MLS appearances under his belt, Hurtado will be expected to lead the line this year, having previously shone for Vancouver and SKC.

Montreal took full advantage of the ten postseason berths in the Eastern Conference last season, scraping into the playoffs at the last moment. However, the Revs got the better of the Quebec club during the play-in round.

Only one team – FC Cincinnati – lost more regular-season games than Montreal in the Eastern Conference the last term. It is also worth noting that Montreal finished the campaign with the worst defensive record in the division.

Toronto FC Team Analysis

TFC has also undergone major changes in recent months, with Greg Vanney stepping down at the end of the previous campaign. Former Red Bulls head coach Chris Armas has taken the reins at BMO Field, giving the club a fresh identity.

Boasting a hefty point per game average of 1.91, Toronto finished second in the Eastern Conference last year and second in the overall standings, too. Philadelphia clinched the Supporters’ Shield, although Toronto pushed the Union all the way.

The Reds only lost five of their 23 regular-season matches last season, picking up 13 wins along the way. The team struggled for goals at times, but the backline remained sturdy throughout 2020.

In the first playoff round, a shock exit to Nashville meant that TFC’s campaign ultimately ended on a sour note. Having said that, the Reds were arguably one of the most consistent teams in Major League Soccer last term.

Time will tell whether Armas is the right man for the job.

My CF Montreal vs. Toronto FC Pick

Pick
  • Toronto FC to Win
    1.95

Montreal and Toronto faced each other four times last year, with Toronto winning on three occasions. Montreal claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over TFC, but the Reds scored a combined total of seven goals while largely dominating this fixture.

Given that you can almost double your money by backing Toronto to win on Saturday, I’m going with Armas’ side here. After all, I expect TFC to outshine the other Canadian MLS teams in 2021.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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