Jared Cannonier vs. Derek Brunson Betting Tips – Odds with Predictions and Picks (Feb 5)

| February 11, 2022 8:48 am PDT

Betting on Jared Cannonier vs. Derek Brunson? This preview for the fight contains the important bits you need to know.

Odds for the UFC 271 fight between these top-5 ranked middleweights are interesting, to say the least. Despite Cannonier looking stronger on paper, Brunson’s excellent streak means that the UFC 271 betting line for this one is pretty close. 

I’ll be factoring those two things into my Cannonier vs. Brunson predictions, as well as looking at how these two match up. You’ll find a small breakdown of the fight below, as well as my top picks. 

Before we do anything else, let’s start with an analysis of the odds for Cannonier vs. Brunson at UFC 271.

Latest Odds for Cannonier vs. Brunson

The odds below are taken from the Betway sportsbook.

  • Jared Cannonier to Win -163
  • Derek Brunson to Win +140

My first reaction to Cannonier’s odds to beat Brunson was to scoop them up.

For those who know the power “The Killa Gorilla” has in his fists, it’s mightily tempting to back him for the win. Even if the fight does not end in a stoppage, he has the size and skills necessary to hand the 38-year-old his first defeat since being stopped by Israel Adesanya in November 2018.

If you’re looking to place bets on the headliner, check out my betting picks for Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2.

To say Brunson is in fine form would be an understatement, given that he is on a five-fight streak heading to Houston. 

The odds for Brunson at UFC 271 will appeal to some. But at +140, I’m not sold whatsoever. Yes, he does have a nice run behind him, but I feel this will come to a skid when he takes on Cannonier. 

Let’s quickly touch upon my betting predictions for Cannonier vs. Brunson before I get to my top picks for the fight.

UFC 271 Predictions for Cannonier vs. Brunson

  • Winner: Jared Cannonier 
  • Method of Victory: KO/TKO
  • Predicted Round: 2

For those of you looking to grab Cannonier vs. Brunson predictions and then bounce, you can find them above.

But before you head over to the best real money UFC betting apps to place your wagers, I’d recommend sticking with me. After all, you should know a little about why I believe Cannonier has the weapons to win on Saturday night. 

In a nutshell, I believe the difference in power and durability will ultimately decide the victor in this scrap. The winner, of course, being Cannonier. 

But that does not necessarily mean that the betting value is in backing the fighter currently rated at #3 in the official UFC rankings. Maybe it does.

Top Bets for Cannonier vs. Brunson

  • Cannonier to Win -163
  • Fight Doesn’t go to Decision -150
  • Cannonier to Win by KO/TKO +120

I guess the first of my top Cannonier vs. Brunson betting picks is the former for the win.

At -163 on the moneyline, a $163 returns a profit of $100. That’s a very good price for a guy that was being tipped to take the title from Izzy not too long ago. The safest bet, I would recommend looking at this one if you are as confident in Cannonier as I am. 

If not, one of your options for betting on Cannonier vs. Brunson is to go for the fight not to end in a decision. A win for Cannonier or Brunson inside the distance is all you need for this bet to pay out. So, if you’re kind of on the fence with this fight, this is a good one to consider.

The last of my top bets for Cannonier or Brunson is to take Cannonier to win by KO/TKO. It’s a little risky on paper, but when you compare these two, I don’t believe the chances of it happening are slim. Sure, the bookies clearly agree.

Why Cannonier Beats Brunson at UFC 271

Before I made my predictions for the Cannonier vs. Brunson fight, I was aware of the strengths and weaknesses of both men are. 

Brunson is on an absolute tear right now. Part of that is credited to a shift in his traditional approach to fights. Rather than taking an aggressive, reckless style into the cage, he has been more cerebral. His wrestling game has been crucial to scoring five on the bounce.

Cannonier is not going to be as easy to take down as some of Brunson’s opponents through his win streak. Jared has an overall takedown defense of 62%, but at middleweight, it’s 85%. That alone is a statistic worth buckling into your betting strategy for this one.

So, in theory, Brunson will find it harder to take his opponent to the ground this weekend. That means that more of the fight will be played out on the feet. This is where Cannonier’s chances significantly improve. 

If Brunson’s wrestling is ineffective, that suggests that he might go back to his traditional style. Old habits die hard, especially when you are faced with one of the biggest hitters in the division. Cannonier’s power is phenomenal at this weight. He is a former heavyweight, right?

Brunson has lost seven fights as a pro. Five have been by way of KO/TKO. Nine of Cannonier’s 14 wins have been knockouts, with 3 from 44 at middleweight. The only man he couldn’t stop was the iron-chinned Kelvin Gastelum.

It’s difficult to see anything other than a stoppage win for Cannonier on the night.

More UFC 271 Wagering Advice

I’m keen to see how my predictions and betting picks for Cannonier vs. Brunson play out. 

The same can be said for my UFC 271 predictions for all fights, as well as the bets that I am planning to run with this Saturday. If you’re looking to wager on other bouts on the card, you’ll find more on our UFC betting blog and MMA picks sections. 

I’ll leave you with my picks for Lewis vs. Tuivasa, which should also be a banger. But also make sure to check out Noah Davis’ UFC 271 DFS picks, which cover the fantasy side of things!

Adam Haynes

Adam is a sports writer and tipster with a strong background in MMA, boxing, and combat sports.

When Adam isn't writing about those, as well as politics, rugby, and Gaelic Games, he can be found working on methods and strategies to beat the bookies.

For his troubles, Adam is a fan of Leinster Rugby, Glasgow Celtic, and trusting the process.

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