Bundesliga Predictions and Top Betting Picks for Round 23 (February 18-20, 2022)

| February 17, 2022 6:29 am PDT

Bochum stunned everyone by thrashing Bayern Munich 4-2 last weekend. With Borussia Dortmund beating Union Berlin 3-0, the gap between first and second now stands at six points.

We have another full round of Bundesliga games to get our teeth into this weekend. Before I share my Bundesliga predictions and picks for Round 23, let’s check out the fixture list.

  • Mainz vs. Bayer Leverkusen
  • Augsburg vs. Freiburg
  • Wolfsburg vs. Hoffenheim
  • Arminia Bielefeld vs. Union Berlin
  • Stuttgart vs. Bochum
  • Koln vs. Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Bayern Munich vs. Greuther Furth
  • Borussia Dortmund vs. Borussia Monchengladbach
  • Hertha Berlin vs. RB Leipzig

Away from the top two, Bayer Leverkusen will aim to record a fifth consecutive victory when they visit Mainz on Friday. Elsewhere, RB Leipzig can pick up their fifth win in six games against Hertha Berlin.

I will be taking an in-depth look at four standout games before sharing the rest of my Bundesliga predictions for Round 23. Be sure to stick around for my recommended bets, too.

Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Mainz

Can anyone stop Bayer Leverkusen right now?

Gerardo Seoane’s men notched their fourth straight Bundesliga win last weekend, dispatching Stuttgart 4-2. Thanks to five-goal wins over Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, they have netted over 3.5 goals in each of their past three outings.

Mainz, on the other hand, has managed to pick up just two wins across the past six rounds. As a result, the 05ers find themselves ninth in the standings – ten points behind third-place Leverkusen.

Bayer shouldn’t struggle to get the better of Mainz. Seoane’s side has racked up more points than any other team across the last five matches, so this should be another straightforward win for the Champions League chasers.

Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim to Draw

A six-game losing streak between November and January saw Wolfsburg slide down the standings. Since then, however, the team has turned the corner.

Not only have the Wolves lost just one of their last four games, but they have also won each of their previous two. Following a 4-1 victory over Greuther Furth, they claimed a hugely impressive 2-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend.

By contrast, Hoffenheim has taken a turn for the worse of late. Sebastian Hoeneß’s men have lost three of their past four games, although they managed to beat Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 in the previous round.

Having taken everything into consideration, the draw feels like the most probable result for this clash. Hoffenheim remains seven points clear of Wolfsburg, but the Wolves have upped their game in recent weeks.

Bayern Munich to Beat Greuther Furth

Bayern Munich suffered a shock 4-2 defeat to Bochum last weekend. That means the defending champions have lost four of their 22 Bundesliga game this season, securing 17 wins and one draw along the way.

The Bavarians have netted a whopping 70 goals in 2021-22, meaning they average 3.2 goals per game. They also boast the second-best defensive record in the division, having conceded 25 goals.

At the opposite end of the standings, Greuther Furth find themselves in last place – 39 points behind first-place Bayern. The strugglers have only managed to win three of their 22 league encounters this term.

I’m confident that last weekend’s surprise defeat was a freak result for Bayern. I fully expect the reigning champs to bounce back in style by thrashing lowly Furth.

Borussia Dortmund to Beat Borussia Monchengladbach

This is undoubtedly the standout tie of Round 23. The two Borussias are among the biggest clubs in the Bundesliga, although Dortmund is enjoying a far better season than Monchengladbach.

Having won four of their past five Bundesliga clashes, Dortmund is one of the country’s in-form teams. They sealed a dominant 3-0 victory at Union Berlin last weekend, with Marco Rues bagging a brace.

On the flip side, Gladbach is sitting in thirteenth place – 20 points behind second-place Dortmund. The Foals have lost ten of their 22 league matches this season and have won just one of their previous four.

I expect Gladbach to rise to the occasion on Sunday, but I can see BVB coming out on top. Even without the injured Erling Haaland, Dortmund has enough firepower to get the better of Gladbach.

More Bundesliga Predictions for Round 23

Here are the rest of my Bundesliga predictions for Round 23.

  • Freiburg to Beat Augsburg
  • Arminia Bielefeld and Union Berlin to Draw
  • Bochum to Beat Stuttgart
  • Koln and Eintracht Frankfurt to Draw
  • RB Leipzig to Beat Hertha Berlin

Since sixth-place Freiburg leads sixteenth-place Augsburg by 12 points, the visitors should beat the hosts on Saturday. I’m also confident that Bochum will beat struggling Stuttgart after seeing off Bayern last time out.

RB Leipzig should get the better of Hertha Berlin, too. The Red Bulls have won four of their previous five matches, while the club from the capital heads into Round 23 on a five-game winless streak.

I can see both Arminia Bielefeld vs. Union Berlin and Koln vs. Eintracht Frankfurt ending in a draw. Arminia has made some big improvements of late, as has Koln.

Best Bundesliga Bets for Round 23

Let’s wrap things up with my top Bundesliga betting picks for Round 23.

Mainz vs. Bayer Leverkusen – Bayer Leverkusen to Win2.15
Bayern Munich vs. Greuther Furth – Bayern Munich to Win and Over 3.5 Goals1.80
Borussia Dortmund vs. Borussia Monchengladbach – Both Teams to Score1.70

Odds of 2.15 for Bayer Leverkusen to beat Mainz seem too good to miss. Leverkusen heads into Round 23 on a four-game winning streak, while the 05ers have won just two of their previous six encounters.

Bayern Munich is priced at just 1.10 to beat Greuther Furth, with the visitors priced all the way up at 36.00. In order to get the best possible bet for this matchup, I recommend throwing the over 3.5 goals market into the mix.

The defending champions will be eager to bounce back after suffering a surprise loss last time out, so I can see them hammering last-place Furth with a high-scoring victory.

This season, 18 of Dortmund’s 22 Bundesliga games have seen both teams score (82%). Gladbach has also dished up plenty of eventful clashes, with 16 of their encounters seeing both teams score (73%). Backing both teams to score is a no-brainer for this matchup.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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