Bundesliga Predictions and Best Bets – March 19-21, 2021

| March 19, 2021 6:01 am PDT

Bayern Munich took a step closer to retaining the Bundesliga title once again last week with a comprehensive victory away at Werder Bremen, but most of the work was done by Leipzig only managing a draw with Eintracht Frankfurt.

There was more drama at the other end of the table though. Some very surprising results for a number of sides made everything even closer somehow. The battle against relegation is sure to go down to the very last game of the season this year.

There is another full set of fixtures on matchday 26, kicking off with Arminia Bielefeld hosting RB Leipzig. I’ll be looking at all nine games, as usual, as well as picking out three of the best bets to consider in the Bundesliga this week.

RB Leipzig to Beat Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld climbed out of the relegation playoff spot for the first time since the end of January last weekend, as it recorded a shock win away at Bayer Leverkusen. Bielefeld’s Japanese players got the goals, with Ritsu Doan and Masaya Okugawa finding the net to give Frank Kramer his first victory as head coach. Another win this Friday would seem to be unlikely but confidence will be high at the club now.

Leipzig will know that it cannot even entertain the thought of losing this one if it is to have any chance of overcoming what is now a four-point gap at the top of the table. The home draw with Frankfurt on Sunday was bad enough but Julian Nagelsmann also now has to do without Dayot Upamecano, who limped off after half an hour of that game. The defeat was the first time Leipzig had dropped points in seven games but there really is no room for error when it comes to battling Bayern.

Bayern Munich to Beat Stuttgart

Bayern did have its own little wobble last month, of course, when it drew with Arminia Bielefeld and then lost to Frankfurt. But there seems to be no stopping the champions now – either at home or in Europe. The quarter-finals of the Champions League were reached with ease in the week and Robert Lewandowski scored his 268th Bundesliga goal in the win over Werder Bremen last Saturday. That took him to joint second in the all-time top goalscorer list and he will be favored to make that his own this weekend.

Stuttgart will be no pushover though. The surprise team of the season won again last weekend and moved up to eighth. Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side is now four points off a European place in its first season back in the German top flight. Silas Wamangituka and Sasa Kalajdzic have been two of the main reasons for Stuttgart’s success this year and Bayern’s defense will need to be awake to make sure that it is not caught out.

Borussia Dortmund to Beat Koln

Koln has picked a particularly bad time to go on a poor run of form and could drop back into the relegation places if results don’t go their way this weekend. Markus Gisdol’s future seems to be in some doubt but he won’t have much chance of securing his position this Saturday, as Dortmund comes to town. Koln traded penalties with Union Berlin last weekend before conceding again with an hour gone to lose the game. It would be a huge surprise if Koln gets anywhere near that close to a win on Saturday.

After a rocky start to his interim stewardship of the first team, Edin Terzic has now enjoyed three wins in the last four games – with the only defeat coming at the hands of Bayern.

Dortmund has made it to the Champions League quarter-final stage and will be expecting to come away from Koln with all three points. There were a number of substitutions due to apparent injuries last week but it does look as though Mats Hummels will be fit to start this weekend.

Eintracht Frankfurt to Beat Union Berlin

Frankfurt recorded an excellent draw with RB Leipzig last week and extended its record to only losing once in the last 14 games. But the Eagles have now not won in the last three Bundesliga fixtures and Andre Silva has not found the net in the last two.

That last statistic should worry Union Berlin, as the Portugal international has been scoring for fun this year and could be partnered with Luka Jovic this Saturday. With Dortmund starting to find its feet again, the two-point lead Frankfurt has in fourth place looks very precarious and a victory here seems vital.

Union Berlin has Max Kruse back doing what he does best – scoring penalties. The veteran striker is obviously enjoying himself in the capital and has gotten back to finding the net after his lengthy injury absence. He scored the equalizer in the game with Koln last weekend, before Christopher Trimmel grabbed the winner with just over 20 minutes to play.

Kruse will need to be on top form again in Frankfurt, as on-loan striker Taiwo Awoniyi is ruled out once again.

Wolfsburg to Beat Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen’s recent impressive run of form has probably secured another year, at least, of Bundesliga action. Even though the home defeat to Bayern last weekend was probably to be expected and ended a three-game unbeaten streak.

Josh Sargent has been one of the main reasons for Bremen’s improvement, although the American failed to find the net against the champions. Getting anything from a home game against Wolfsburg will be almost as difficult though.

Wolfsburg swept aside Schalke last weekend, as it strode to a 5-0 victory with ease. A freak own goal from Shkodran Mustafi set the ball rolling but top goal scorer Wout Weghorst managed to add to his impressive tally as well. The Dutch striker has looked very good this season and has helped Wolfsburg consolidate a possible Champions League place with just nine games of the season remaining.

Another win in Bremen could put even more distance between itself and those outside the top four.

Borussia Monchengladbach to Beat Schalke

Schalke’s woeful season continued last weekend, as it was thrashed 5-0 by Wolfsburg. A comical own goal started the rout and the Gelsenkirchen club could not handle the attacking moves of its opponent throughout the 90 minutes. Relegation is all but assured now for the Royal Blues but there needs to be some pride shown in the remaining fixtures.

There have been five different coaches this season and none of them have been able to tease a good performance out of the squad – barring the solitary victory against Hoffenheim. That shouldn’t change this weekend.

But Borussia Monchengladbach is hardly enjoying life itself at the moment either. Since head coach Marco Rose announced that he would be leaving to take over at Dortmund next season, the Foals have been on a downward spiral that saw them exit the Champions League, as well as winning none of its last seven games in the Bundesliga.

There have been six straight defeats in all competitions and Gladbach now sits in the bottom half of the table after competing for a European spot as recently as January. Playing Schalke would seem to be the perfect opportunity to end that woeful run of results.

Hoffenheim and Mainz to Draw

Hoffenheim’s four-game unbeaten run came to an end last weekend as it was beaten by a very impressive Stuttgart. But the points picked up in the last few months have probably ensured that Sebastian Hoeness’s side will be playing in the top flight next season. Hoffenheim isn’t completely safe but there are a few other clubs below it in the table that will not be able to make up the nine-point advantage it has on the bottom three.

One danger will be complacency though, so a positive result is crucial here.

That goes for Mainz as well, as it looks to climb out of the relegation zone for the first time since November. There is a lot of hope and confidence at the club now and the win against Freiburg last weekend was a perfect example of how the team’s performances have changed since Bo Svensson took over in January.

The goalless draw with Schalke the week before was very disappointing and Mainz will now want to take advantage of an extensive Hoffenheim injury list to add more fuel to its survival hopes.

Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Hertha Berlin

Hertha doesn’t really need any incentive to beat Leverkusen on Sunday, after the defeat to Dortmund last weekend saw the capital city club drop down into the relegation playoff place for the first time this season. But the fact that Leverkusen lost to fellow strugglers Arminia Bielefeld on Sunday for that to happen should give the Hertha players even more cause for revenge. There has been just one win in the last 11 games for the Old Lady – and that run of form needs to change quickly.

Leverkusen has hardly looked assured itself since the turn of the year.

The downward trend in results actually began just before Christmas – and what was looking like a possible Champions League-qualifying season has now turned into a battle to finish in the top six at all. The victory over Gladbach two weeks ago looked like it had changed the club’s fortunes but now Peter Bosz needs to inspire his heavily injured squad all over again.

Freiburg to Beat Augsburg

The European dream is probably beginning to disappear now for Freiburg – and the defeat to Mainz last week might have hurried that along a little. It was the second week in a row that the Black Forest club failed to score a goal and head coach Christian Streich will be hoping that striker Vincenzo Grifo can end his own personal drought against Augsburg. He hasn’t found the net for 11 games now but will probably retain his starting place. A win here might reignite hopes of a top-six finish but a mid-table position is looking more likely now.

Augsburg is actually only five points behind Freiburg going into this game but would seem to have some lingering relegation worries to deal with rather than European aspirations. There has been an upturn in form recently though, with the win against Borussia Monchengladbach last week the third time in four games that Augsburg has picked up at least a point. There are eight points between Heiko Herrlich’s side and Hertha in the playoff spot, so a few more wins should be able to secure top-flight security.

My Top Bundesliga Picks for March 19-21, 2021

Here are my three picks in the Bundesliga for matchday 26. Odds are courtesy of Betway.

Hoffenheim and Mainz to Draw3.60
Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Hertha Berlin2.05
Freiburg to beat Augsburg1.95

All three of my betting picks on matchday 26 are for games taking place on Sunday, starting with Hoffenheim and Mainz to draw in the early fixture. Mainz looks to be doing its very best to stay up, thanks to the appointment of Bo Svensson, and will definitely show more determination than Hoffenheim this weekend. A hard-fought draw could be the end result.

Hertha is another club that is in desperate need of a win – or at least a draw. But I don’t think it will manage either against Leverkusen. A new head coach has also made some difference in Berlin, but he has been unable to change the results and the Old Lady is in deep trouble. Leverkusen has been spectacularly inconsistent this season but should be good enough for the win here.

My final pick of the week is for Freiburg to beat Augsburg in the last game of the round. The home side has looked very good at times this season, without ever really suggesting that it could get as close to a European place as it did last season. There is still an outside chance that it can make the cut but even a win on Sunday will probably not be enough in the end.

Dan Roberts
Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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