Bundesliga Predictions and Best Bets – March 12-14, 2021
Bayern Munich won Der Klassiker once again last weekend, although two Erling Haaland goals within the first ten minutes certainly made for an entertaining watch. But Robert Lewandowski reminded everyone who the real superstar is in the Bundesliga to win the day – and take his team back to the top of the league.
RB Leipzig had reached the summit again earlier in the day with a win of its own – and there is a real battle for the remaining two Champions League places now. There are fur clubs with realistic chances of finishing in the top four with ten games to go
Things are just as close at the bottom of the league, with another four clubs looking like they will be involved in a battle against relegation this year. They will all be trying to avoid joining Schalke making the drop into Bundesliga 2.
Match day 25 kicks off with Augsburg against Borussia Monchengladbach – and I’ll be looking at all nine games over the weekend, as well as picking out three of the best bets to consider in the German top-flight.
Augsburg and Borussia Monchengladbach to Draw
Augsburg fell to a very late penalty in the Olympiastadion last weekend, allowing Hertha to grab a vital win In its bid for top-flight survival. Augsburg should be fine on that score but head coach Heiko Herrlich will have been disappointed that his side didn’t get anything from the game after taking the lead with a very well taken goal by Lazlo Benes after just two minutes. Goals have been a bit of a problem this season and Augsburg will probably need to score at least one on Friday to take anything from this one.
Borussia Monchengladbach has plenty of players that should be able to provide goals for the team. But things have been going downhill fast in recent weeks since it was announced that Marco Rose would be leaving the club at the end of the season. The early reporting of that news has certainly backfired and the Foals lost again last week at home to Leverkusen. That makes it six games without a win and drop into the bottom half of the table. Another draw on Friday won’t make the situation much better.
Freiburg to Beat Mainz
Mainz did little to help its hopes of escaping relegation this season when it could only draw with Schalke last weekend. The goalless stalemate proved how much the 05ers need Robin Quaison fit and healthy and the good news is that the Sweden international will be available for this one on Saturday. Mainz had actually been able to put together a few good results recently but that draw last week, combined with other results not going its way meant that it remained in the bottom two. Consistency is crucial now.
But getting anything from this game with Freiburg will be a tough task. The Black Forest club was soundly beaten by RB Leipzig last week, but head coach Christian Streich will not be too bothered about that result as long as his players can raise themselves for fixtures like this. There is still an outside chance of qualifying for Europe and teams like Mainz have to be beaten if that aim is to be realized.
Union Berlin to Beat Koln
Union Berlin is another club with European aspirations, but it is noticeable that there is more talk of its top-flight status being virtually assured for next season, rather than anything else. That is probably because Union is still considered a small club in the Bundesliga, even though it has definitely performed well this season. But even the return of Max Kruse could not inspire a victory over lowly Arminia Bielefeld on Sunday. He will be hoping to get some more chances against another relegation struggler this weekend.
Koln had club captain Jonas Hector to thank in its game against Werder Bremen last weekend, as it picked up its first point in four games. That goal helped the Billy Goats to keep its head just above the relegation playoff mark but if some of the other clubs at the bottom start winning, Koln could be in real danger. Scoring goals continues to be a problem and there will be no Sebastian Andersson for this one, as his ongoing injury means that he misses a chance to play against his former club. Koln might find this one a little tough.
Bayern Munich to Beat Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen followed up its disappointing draw with Koln last weekend with a good 2-0 win over Arminia Bielefeld in the week, with American Josh Sargent scoring in both games, to go along with the strike against Eintracht Frankfurt in the game before.
He may not even get much of a chance to test Manuel Neuer in the Bayern goal the way that the Bavarian powerhouse is playing at the moment though. After Haaland’s two early goals shocked Bayern into action last weekend in Der Klassiker, Lewandowski took over and helped win the game with another hat-trick. Another victory here would put Bayern five points ahead of Leipzig – at least until Sunday – and ensure that it is still the club in charge of proceedings at the top of the Bundesliga.
Wolfsburg to Beat Schalke
Wolfsburg’s excellent run of form surprisingly ended away at Hoffenheim last weekend when Oliver Glasner’s side lost 2-1 – and Paulo Otavio to a red card right at the end. He will now miss the game against the bottom placed club, but Wolfsburg should still have more than enough to take another three points. Glasner has a number of players missing through injury and suspension and may look at this fixture as a chance to utilize his squad and allow the regulars to take a rest.
With yet another head coach in Dimitrios Grammozis, Schalke’s players may feel as though there is still time to save the club’s top-flight status. But it would take a miraculous effort now to even make up the nine points it needs just to bring itself level with the club currently in the relegation playoff spot. The home draw against fellow struggler Mainz last week was probably not enough from that game and the inevitable is drawing ever closer for the Gelsenkirchen club.
Borussia Dortmund to Beat Hertha Berlin
Erling Haaland has proved beyond doubt that he is going to be a major star in the world of soccer for a long time to come and his early brace in Der Klassiker last weekend suggested that he might even get the better of his Bayern counterpart for once. The champions had something to say about that, of course, but Haaland returned in the week to help his team into the quarter finals of the Champions League. Jadon Sancho remains on the injured list, but the replacements that Dortmund has in abundance should be able to see off Hertha without too much trouble.
Hertha did win a game for the first time since the start of January last weekend though. It took a very late penalty from Dodi Lukebakio to win all three points – but that gave Pal Dardai his first victory as head coach this time around. He will also be pleased that Krzysztof Piatek scored with a very impressive header to level the score in the second half, especially as star player Matheus Cunha was missing. The Brazilian is still out injured for this one – as is Sami Khedira – and Hertha will really miss his invention and creativity at the Westfalenstadion.
Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Arminia Bielefeld
Leverkusen’s win against Borussia Monchengladbach last week was very timely for a club that has struggled since the turn of the year and fallen off the pace at the top of the Bundesliga. The victory helped Leverkusen leapfrog Dortmund to go up to fifth in the table, just three points behind Frankfurt. But head coach Peter Bosz has an extensive injury list and will be pleased that he only has to deal with what should be an easier game against one of the league’s weaker teams on Sunday.
Arminia Bielefeld also played an extra game in the week as it caught up with the rest of the Bundesliga.
After the goalless draw with Union Berlin at the weekend, Kramer would have hoped that Bremen was the kind of team his new charges might have had a chance against. Things are looking increasingly worrying for Bielefeld and another defeat on Sunday will not help matters.
RB Leipzig to Beat Eintracht Frankfurt
This is probably the game of the weekend in the Bundesliga, as second plays fourth at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig kept the pressure on Bayern last weekend with a comprehensive 3-0 win away at Freiburg and will now be able to concentrate on league matters after being knocked out of the Champions League by Liverpool on Wednesday. Angelino remains sidelined but Julian Nagelsmann will have Dayot Upamecano available to deal with the attacking threat of the Frankfurt attacking players.
That forward line surprisingly didn’t work last week against Stuttgart though. Head coach Adi Hutter decided to go with both Andre Silva and Luka Jovic in that game but neither player was able to find the net and Frankfurt had to be happy with just a point in the end. Jovic will probably drop to the bench for this game away from home against such a good side, leaving Silva up front on his own attempting to add to his already impressive goal tally. Breaking through the Leipzig defense will be tough though.
Stuttgart to Beat Hoffenheim
Stuttgart recorded a very creditable draw away at Eintracht Frankfurt last week and consolidated a mid table position that should be seen as an achievement in its first season back in the top flight. Sasa Kalajdzic scored his side’s only goal in that game but the main threat, once again, will be Silas Wamangituka. If he can add to his personal goal tally early on in this fixture, Hoffenheim might not be able to find a way back.
Hoffenheim has been looking fairly good in recent weeks though, winning again at the weekend to go four games unbeaten in the Bundesliga. After surprisingly crashing out of the Europa League to Norwegian opposition, Sebastian Hoeness’ side has upped its game domestically and now looks so far ahead of the bottom three to not have to worry about relegation this year. This could be a close game if Hoffenheim continues the way it has been playing, but the unbeaten streak might just come to an end on Sunday.
My Top Bundesliga Picks for March 12-14, 2021
Here are my three picks in the Bundesliga for matchday 25. Odds are courtesy of Betway.
- Augsburg and Borussia Monchengladbach to draw – 3.60
- Freiburg to beat Mainz – 2.70
- Stuttgart to beat Hoffenheim – 2.40
Borussia Monchengladbach has been moving backward since the curious decision to announce that its head coach will be leaving in the summer. Results have been woeful since then and the very talented group of players have not looked like the same group. That form is not likely to continue for the rest of the season but it might not end too soon either. A draw away at Augsburg might make for another disappointing day for the Foals on Friday.
Mainz will be overjoyed that striker Robin Quaison should return for the game against Freiburg at the weekend. But, after such a long time away from the action, I’m not sure that his inclusion will have the desired effect. Freiburg might have lost to Leipzig last week but Christian Streich’s side has been playing well recently and should pick up three points on Saturday.
Hoffenheim has proved the old cliché of ‘concentrating on the league’ correct after exiting the Europa League last month. Any fears of relegation have disappeared because of a good run of form, but it is coming up against a spirited Stuttgart side on Sunday – and I’m not sure that it can keep up with the attacking options that Pellegrino Matarazzo has at his disposal.