Bundesliga Predictions and Best Bets – February 19-21, 2021

| February 18, 2021 9:56 am PDT

Bayern Munich returned to Bundesliga action on Monday as Club World Cup champions, rounding off a sensational season of six trophies. It looks like the Bavarian giant could well pick up yet another league title this year, but there is a good race in the offing for the remaining Champions League places.

Dortmund, Leipzig, Monchengladbach, Frankfurt, and Leverkusen have all laid claim to a top-four spot before faltering this year – but it is Wolfsburg that continues to fly under the radar in third. The picture at the bottom seems a little clearer – but there have been a few surprise results recently to keep things interesting.

Matchday 22 in the Bundesliga kicks off on Friday with Arminia Bielefeld vs. Wolfsburg – and I will be taking a look at that game and the other eight taking place over the three days. I will also be picking out three of the best bets to consider for this weekend in the Bundesliga.

Wolfsburg to Beat Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld put on a striking display in the Allianz Arena on Monday – and led by two goals on two occasions in the game – before allowing Bayern Munich to save some face with a 3-3 draw. It was Bielefeld’s best performance of the season, and Uwe Neuhaus’ side made the most of the champions’ jet-setting in the week. But Wolfsburg will be in no mood for conceding so many goals.

Only Leipzig has a better defensive record than Oliver Glasner’s side this season, and Wolfsburg will be aiming to continue a seven-game unbeaten streak. There was a goalless draw with fellow challengers Monchengladbach last weekend, and Wout Weghorst will see this Friday’s game as a chance to get back to scoring goals. The Dutch striker has 19 in all competitions so far.

Borussia Monchengladbach to Beat Mainz

The Monchengladbach players might still be in a state of shock this weekend after the news that Marco Rose has decided to trigger a release clause in his contract that will allow him to join Dortmund next season as its new coach. Aside from the strange timing of the news, the Foals might try to show Rose that he is making a wrong decision and up their game on Saturday. Marcus Thuram might miss this one, but there is still a strong squad to choose from.

Mainz might be next to the bottom of the Bundesliga, but it has shown in the last few weeks that it is no pushover – and the two goals in the last two minutes of the game against Leverkusen last weekend proved that. Even after losing Jean-Philippe Mateta to the EPL, Mainz has surprised many and will be confident going into Saturday’s game. Robin Quaison might not be fit to start at Borussia Park, but this should be a good game.

Koln and Stuttgart to Draw

Koln was unable to repeat its big derby win over Monchengladbach last week, as it came down to Earth with a bump with a 2-0 defeat away at Frankfurt. That put the Billy Goats just three points above the relegation playoff spot, and Markus Gisdol’s side could really do with getting back to winning ways on Saturday. There are some ongoing injury problems in the squad, but Koln should be able to give Stuttgart a good game.

Pellegrini Matarazzo’s team has been one of the revelations of the season and is obviously enjoying life back in the Bundesliga. But results haven’t been quite as good since the turn of the year – and it was only able to draw with Hertha last weekend after the thrashing from Leverkusen the week before. Top scorer Silas will be the main threat – and he might be able to add to his goal tally in the RheinEnergieStadion.

Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich to Draw

The Bundesliga goal kings come together on Saturday, as Frankfurt takes on Bayern in the Waldstadion. Andre Silva is the home side’s main man and will be itching to add to his impressive goal tally and continue Frankfurt’s impressive unbeaten run. The Eagles last lost a Bundesliga game two weeks before Christmas and are now third in the league. This will be a tough test of Adi Hutter’s team’s title credentials – but it should be an enthralling game.

Bayern boss Hansi Flick has been critical this week of some of the procedures in place concerning travel and COVID. But, a week after lifting the Club World Cup in Qatar, he will be without both Thomas Mueller and Benjamin Pavard, who have both tested positive for the virus. Serge Gnabry is another doubt for this one because of a thigh injury – but Kingsley Coman and Leroy Sane are handy replacements. But, even with the incomparable Robert Lewandowski, this could end with just a point for the champions.

Freiburg to Beat Union Berlin

These two clubs have enjoyed this season in almost mirror images, with Freiburg looking very impressive recently after a patchy start – and Union Berlin struggling after kicking off the campaign on a high. The Black Forest club is unbeaten in its last seven games at home and will be expecting another three points here after beating Dortmund in the last home game. The goalless draw with Werder Bremen last weekend was more of a disappointment, but Freiburg will expect to get back to winning ways on Saturday.

Union Berlin’s recent woes were encapsulated in the goalless draw at home with the bottom of the table Schalke last weekend. The Royal Blues have improved recently, but Die Eisernen would have been expecting a comfortable victory to help get back into the race for the European places. Max Kruse might be in contention for some kind of return at the weekend – and Union could really do with him back on the pitch. The former Freiburg striker is still Union’s top scorer this season, even though he hasn’t played a game for almost three months.

Borussia Dortmund to Beat Schalke

The late game on Saturday is probably the biggest of the weekend in the Bundesliga as the Schalke takes on Dortmund in the Revierderby. It is probably the biggest game in Germany, and it is a real shame that there will be no fans in the Veltins Arena to help Schalke try to pull off an unlikely win against its bitter rival. Matthew Hoppe will be the main hope for goals for the home side – but it might be the defense that is busier.

That’s because Erling Haaland will be looking to be the hero of the day after scoring twice in the 3-2 win against Sevilla in the Champions League in the week. That puts Dortmund in a good place as far as the tie goes, but league form has been nowhere near as good. Dortmund almost allowed Hoffenheim to win at the Westfalenstadion last week, before Haaland saved a point – and at this rate, Marco Rose will be managing a Europa League team at best next season.

Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Augsburg

Augsburg’s form since the start of the year has been largely forgettable. There have been just two wins in eight games, but the caliber of opposition has played its part in Augsburg’s 2021 record. Dortmund, Wolfsburg, and Leipzig have all beaten Heiko Herrlich’s side in the last three games – and Bayern was victorious in the game before Augsburg’s last win against Union Berlin. There are some supposedly easier games coming up, but there might not be too much hope this Sunday.

But Leverkusen did concede two goals in two minutes last weekend to allow Mainz a share of the spoils – so maybe Augsburg will have a chance. That does seem unlikely, though, as head coach Peter Bosz will surely have made known his displeasure in training this week. There are a few injury problems for this weekend, but there is a good depth to the squad now, and it would be a surprise if Augsburg beat Leverkusen for the first time in its history.

RB Leipzig to Beat Hertha Berlin

Hertha currently has the longest winless streak in the Bundesliga and will do very well to halt that on Sunday as it welcomes RB Leipzig to the Olympiastadion. Hertha managed to snatch a point from the game with Stuttgart last week but is only level on points with Arminia Bielefeld now and could even drop into the relegation playoff spot if Bielefeld wins on Friday. Although Matheus Cunha is the beating heart of the Hertha side, he really needs to score his first goal since December if the Berlin club hopes to win this one.

Leipzig boss Julian Nagelsmann will be looking for a positive response from his side after the ‘home’ defeat to Liverpool in the Champions League this week. Even defensive lynchpin Dayot Upamecano played poorly on Tuesday, and he will be as keen as anyone to keep Leipzig’s Bundesliga-leading goals conceded record intact. Emil Forsberg is a doubt, but Leipzig has shown before that it doesn’t need to play with a striker to score goals.

Werder Bremen to Beat Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim has struggled against some of the better teams in the league of late but should probably have taken all three points from its meeting with Dortmund at the weekend. Instead of kicking the ball out near the end to get some medical attention for an injured player, Hoffenheim kept on playing and gifted Erling Haaland the ball to score the equalizer. Up until then, Hoffenheim had deserved the victory, and it needs all the points it can get right now.

Werder Bremen’s form has stabilized somewhat since the turn of the year and the goalless draw with Freiburg last Saturday kept Florian Kohfeldt’s side comfortably in mid-table. With Milot Rashica now fit and back in the team to assist Josh Sargent upfront, there can be some confidence as Bremen attacks – and that might be too much for Hoffenheim’s defense in the late game on Sunday.

My Top Bundesliga Picks for February 12-15, 2021

Here are my three picks in the Bundesliga for matchday 22. Odds are courtesy of Betway.

  • Koln and Stuttgart to draw – 3.60
  • Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich to draw – 4.20
  • Freiburg to beat Union Berlin – 2.40

My first pick for matchday 22 in the Bundesliga is for Koln to pick up another vital point in its game with Stuttgart. The Billy Goats have really missed passionate home support this season but can still battle games out – and Stuttgart may feel as though its position in the top-flight is safe now. That might cause the away side to relax here.

It is always a tough decision to go against Bayern winning any game, but Eintracht Frankfurt has looked a much better team in recent weeks and has one of the best strikers in the league in red hot form. Bayern also has a very good striker of its own, of course, but even Robert Lewandowski might not be able to inspire another victory this weekend.

My final pick for matchday 22 is a little more straightforward. Freiburg has looked very good this year, particularly at home, and might feel as though there is another chance to challenge for a Europa League place again. Union Berlin might have Max Kruse back to play some part in this weekend’s game, but he will take a while to get back to his best – and Freiburg could take advantage of that.

Dan Roberts
Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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