Bundesliga Predictions and Best Bets – February 12-15, 2021

| February 11, 2021 10:28 am PDT

Bayern Munich left Germany almost immediately after beating Hertha last week, heading for Qatar in an attempt to win a sixth and final trophy from the 2019/20 season – the Club World Cup. With the final being played on Friday, it gives the chasing pack a chance to bridge the imposing gap the champions already enjoy at the top of the Bundesliga table.

RB Leipzig looks like the side most likely to get anywhere near Bayern this season, but with less than half the season to go, can the soccer project really claw back seven points at the top?

There are a lot of other interesting storylines in the German top-flight this season, especially the race for the four Champions League spots, so maybe that is where the real interest will lie in the coming months.

This weekend sees another full set of fixtures on matchday 22, starting on Friday night with Leipzig’s game against Augsburg. I’ll be looking at all nine games and picking out three of the best bets to consider.

RB Leipzig to Beat Augsburg

Leipzig cruised past Schalke last weekend, eventually recording a 3-0 victory even though it wasn’t able to break the deadlock until just before half time. Julian Nagelsmann’s side rarely had to push itself into top gear to take all three points and should find this Friday’s opponent just as easy to beat. It might take a little more effort, but Leipzig absolutely has to win this game if it wants to keep any kind of pressure on Bayern at the top.

Augsburg might not be able to offer much resistance to Leipzig – which will be much the same as last weekend when it lost at home to Wolfsburg. Heiko Herrlich’s side did have the first chance of the game but ended up losing 2-0 – and the scoreline would have been much worse if it was not for VAR and two disallowed goals for the visitors. Augsburg has dropped down the table in recent weeks, and another defeat here could put the club in real danger.

Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Mainz

Leverkusen had lost two in a row before last weekend’s game against Stuttgart, and although those two fixtures had been against top class opposition, there was a feeling that Peter Bosz’s side really needed the win. A seven-goal thriller ensued, and the latest import from England, Demarai Gray, was able to open his Bundesliga goal account near the end. Mainz shouldn’t pose as much of a problem on Saturday.

But the 05ers have picked up more points than Leverkusen in the Ruckrunde (the second half of the Bundesliga season), and that includes the three won at the expense of Union Berlin last week. A solitary first-half penalty was enough to take the victory and give head coach Bo Svensson some hope for the rest of the season. Getting anything from a revitalized Leverkusen seems unlikely, though.

Stuttgart to Beat Hertha Berlin

The heavy defeat to Leverkusen made it just one win in the last five games for Stuttgart but the two goals – and the general performance this season – suggests that Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side will stay around the middle of the table and not have too much to worry about when it comes to a relegation scrap. Results earlier in the season have largely seen to that, but more victories would be welcomed – and there could be one coming for the home side this weekend.

Hertha would also dearly love to pick up some points after failing to win in its last six Bundesliga games. But, even though there was a much better performance against Bayern last Friday, the Berlin club is looking like it could be involved in a fight at the bottom of the league.

New boss Pal Dardai will be hoping that the improvement shown last week was not just reserved for the champions – and could give Sami Khedira his first start for his new club against the one he played almost 100 times for.

Borussia Dortmund to Beat Hoffenheim

Dortmund’s title challenge fizzled out long ago, but there should be a desire to qualify for the Champions League again. But if that is to happen, interim manager Edin Terzic needs to do something with his squad. The defeat to Freiburg last weekend was the third in four games in the league – and leaves Dortmund in sixth and four points behind Frankfurt in fourth. With a tough Champions League tie in the week, some form needs to be found from somewhere.

Hoffenheim shouldn’t have too much of a chance of coming away from the Westafalenstadion with anything, but in Andrej Kramaric, it does have a striker that could make the difference. The Croatian is playing very well this season and will definitely remember that he managed to score all four goals against this opposition on the final day of last season. That shouldn’t happen again – but Hoffenheim fans would take a repeat showing.

Werder Bremen and Freiburg to Draw

Werder Bremen was unable to play last weekend as its game with Arminia Bielefeld was called off because of heavy snow. But the extra time off should have given Milot Rashica even more time to fully recover from injury. The attacker has been phased in slowly over the last few weeks and should be able to link up well with Josh Sargent again now. That should make a lot of difference to Bremen’s chances.

But Freiburg will not be a pushover on Saturday, as the Black Forest club is one of the form sides in the Bundesliga at the moment. The 2-1 win over Dortmund last week lifted the club to eighth and just six points off of a Champions League berth. A top-four finish will probably be out of Freiburg’s range, but Christian Streich’s side could push for one of the other European places.

Union Berlin to Beat Schalke

Union Berlin continues to miss the goals of Max Kruse, who is still the club’s top goalscorer this season, even though he last played in December. There has been little to celebrate in 2021 and last week’s 1-0 defeat to Mainz was the third in four games. Lorius Karius will be in goal for this one as Andreas Luthe is absent for personal reasons. Head coach Urs Fischer will be hoping that he has little to do.

That probably depends on the accuracy of Matthew Hoppe. The American has been the one positive at Schalke this season, but the pressure is a lot to heap on a teenager playing in his first season in the Bundesliga. Christian Gross has plundered Arsenal’s defense to bolster his backline but still has a mountain to climb to save the Gelsenkirchen club this year. Schalke remains bottom of the league and nine points from safety.

Eintracht Frankfurt to Beat Koln

Two of the form sides in the Bundesliga meet at the Waldstadion on Sunday as Frankfurt takes on Koln. The Eagles are doing much the better in the league, though, with the 3-1 win away at Hoffenheim consolidating its fourth-place spot. Luka Jovic has already contributed after completing his loan move from Real Madrid, but it is Andre Silva who is the real danger this season. He has 18 goals in all competitions so far – and will be hoping for a few more here.

Koln will do well to restrict the Portuguese striker but will be going into this on a high after beating Borussia Monchengladbach on its own ground in the Rhine derby last Saturday. A brace from Elvis Rexhbecal gave the Billy Goats the points, and the team celebrated wildly in the empty stadium of its big local rival. Recent victories have seen Koln keep out of the bottom three, but a defeat here could see the points gap narrowed.

Wolfsburg to Beat Borussia Monchengladbach

This looks like being an incredibly important game for both sides as the race for the Champions League spots continues. Wolfsburg is in the driving seat at the moment, having won the last four in the Bundesliga and only losing once since the turn of the year. Wout Weghorst’s goals are a major reason for that, but a tight defense has also been a hugely important factor – only RB Leipzig has conceded fewer goals this season.

But Borussia Monchengladbach certainly has the attacking power to break through any defense. With no injury worries or suspensions to worry about, head coach Marco Rose can look to Marcus Thuram, Alassane Plea, and Breel Embolo – among others – to score the goals that could give the Foals a chance. After last week’s defeat at home in the Rhine derby, Gladbach could do with a win, but coming away from this one with three points will be very tough.

Bayern Munich to Beat Arminia Bielefeld

After setting aside this week to win the Club World Cup, Bayern Munich returns to German soil to take on struggling Arminia Bielefeld in a rare Monday night fixture in the Bundesliga. The champions were made to work for the victory against Hertha in the Olympiastadion last Friday but came through to win by a single goal and will hope that the time this game kicks off, they are still seven points ahead of the chasing pack.

Arminia Bielefeld has had an extended break in play to work out how to get anything from its trip to the Allianz Arena. Uwe Neuhaus’ side didn’t play last weekend because of snow and may now look to that game in hand as a positive as the second half of the season continues. The main hope for Bielefeld will be that Bayern is fatigued after so much travel and games over the last week. An away win would still be a huge surprise, though.

My Top Bundesliga Picks for February 12-15, 2021

Here are my three picks in the Bundesliga for matchday 21. Odds are courtesy of Betway.

  • Stuttgart to beat Hertha Berlin – 2.30
  • Werder Bremen and Freiburg to draw – 3.20
  • Wolfsburg to beat Borussia Monchengladbach – 2.40

Hertha would seem to have the players to do quite well in the Bundesliga – and the club has spent a lot of money over the past few years. But the Berlin side is struggling this season, and Stuttgart looks far more confident of getting results. A home win will pile more pressure on Hertha here.

Freiburg played well to beat Dortmund last week and looks to be back to the form it was showing either side of Christmas when it went on a five-game winning streak. But Werder Bremen will really prosper from the return of Milot Rashica – and his interplay with the strikers could mean a draw is more likely.

My final pick is backing one of the clubs near the top of the table that has almost gone under the radar this season. With more attention on teams like Leipzig, Dortmund, and Monchengladbach, Wolfsburg has just got on with its own game and is currently in third. With Wout Weghorst scoring goals, anything is possible – and I think Wolfsburg can beat the Foals in the late game on Sunday.

Dan Roberts
Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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