Bundesliga Predictions and Best Bets for Matchday 12 – December 15-16, 2020

| December 15, 2020 5:57 am PDT

We have a new leader in the Bundesliga. Bayern’s draw with Union Berlin allowed Bayer Leverkusen to take over the top spot while keeping it as one of just two clubs to remain unbeaten going into match day 12.

There are some very interesting games in the German top flight this week – with four on Tuesday and another five on Wednesday, before another full set of fixtures at the weekend. I’m going to take a look at all nine midweek games and also pick out a few of the best bets to look out for.

Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Monchengladbach to Draw

Frankfurt led until 13 minutes from time at Wolfsburg at the weekend before Wout Weghorst popped up to score two – one right at the end – to snatch away the points. It was the first defeat in six games for the Eagles, but all the previous five had been drawn, and Adi Hutter needs to work out how to get his side to keep a clean sheet before the season runs away from his team.

Monchengladbach is also having a problem overcoming opponents and drew its game at home with Hertha on Saturday. The Foals had allowed the Berlin club to take the lead in the first half before Breel Embolo saved a point 20 minutes from time. There is an obvious concentration on the Champions League – where Monchengladbach has been drawn to play Manchester City in the round of 16 – but some more focus on the league campaign would not go amiss.

Stuttgart and Union Berlin to Draw

Tuesday’s game between Stuttgart and Union Berlin brings together two clubs that enjoyed surprising results at the weekend – and one that cost a manager his job. Stuttgart hit three goals in just ten minutes against Dortmund and completely overwhelmed Lucien Favre’s side throughout the game. The 5-1 final score could actually have been even more devastating in the end.

Now Stuttgart needs to come back to Earth to beat a Union Berlin side that managed to take a point from Bayern Munich on Saturday. Max Kruse missed the game with a thigh strain – and will probably be out for this one too – but Die Eisernen looked good for its lead before Robert Lewandowski equalized in the second half. Bayern almost snatched an undeserved win right at the end but was denied by an outstanding save by Andreas Luthe. This game could be one to watch.

Borussia Dortmund to Beat Werder Bremen

Dortmund’s 5-1 humiliation at home to Stuttgart ended up being the last roll of the dice for Lucien Favre, as the experienced head coach was let go after that defeat. Now it looks like Edin Terzic will step up from the youth set up to take over for the rest of the season. He will have to do without Erling Haaland for a while but needs to get the Dortmund players acting as a team first – and put the games from the last few weeks out of their heads. Dortmund has been doing well in the Champions League but has won just once in five games in the Bundesliga. Now is the time to turn its season around.

It could be good timing for the new interim Dortmund head coach as Werder Bremen extended its winless streak to eight games on Saturday with a 2-0 defeat to RB Leipzig. The scoreline doesn’t sound too comprehensive, but Bremen was never in the game and has now lost its last three games in a row. Milot Rashica is still missing, but manager Florian Kohfeldt will be hoping that Josh Sargent can step up to provide a few goals on Tuesday.

Hertha Berlin to Beat Mainz

Hertha continued its fine recent form with a draw away at Borussia Monchengladbach on Saturday – Arsenal loanee Matteo Guendouzi scoring his first for the club in the 1-1 draw. But the Berlin will be able to call upon Matheus Cunha again for this one after he saw out a one-game suspension at the weekend. Hertha should have all its top players back in contention for the starting eleven and seem like a confident side at the moment.

That could be worrying news for Mainz, who lost its eighth game of the season at the weekend and could drop to the bottom of the league after these midweek games if other results don’t go their way. But Mainz does enjoy playing Hertha – winning five of the last seven meetings – and Robin Quaison seems to enjoy playing the Old Lady even more, given his scoring record against the club. But with recent results in mind, it does look as though it will be another good day for Bruno Labbadia’s Hertha instead.

Schalke and Freiburg to Draw

This is all getting a little ridiculous now. Schalke was so close to winning its first game in 26 attempts at the weekend but then conceded a second in the third minute of injury time to be left with a draw that gave the club just its fourth point of the season. It had looked as though the Gelsenkirchen side was going to raise itself off the bottom of the table – but the stalemate leaves it in the basement. There was further bad news when Mark Uth was taken off with a serious head injury. He will now be unavailable for the foreseeable future.

Freiburg is hardly setting the Bundesliga alight itself this season but is currently enjoying its best run of the campaign – the win over Arminia Bielefeld on Saturday made it three games unbeaten and a points haul of five in the last three weeks. It should be an unchanged side that manager Christian Streich goes for – even with the quick turnaround in games – and another draw could be on the cards for the Black Forest club.

RB Leipzig to Beat Hoffenheim

It was another good week for Julian Nagelsmann’s side as it beat Manchester United at Old Trafford to progress in the Champions League, before overcoming Werder Bremen in a straightforward win at the weekend. Defender Dayot Upamecano was back for the league game after sitting out a suspension – and he will be one of the first names on the team sheet for Wednesday’s game against Hoffenheim.

The home side lost its league game with new leaders Bayer Leverkusen after another successful European fixture that sees the Bundesliga club paired with Norwegian side Molde in the round of 32. But that Europa League form has been largely missing at home, and manager Sebastian Hoeness will be hoping that the return of striker Andrej Kramaric from a spell of self-isolation can make a difference on Wednesday. That seems to be a lot to heap on the Croatian’s shoulders.

Bayern Munich to Beat Wolfsburg

Bayern comes into this game against one of the last remaining unbeaten clubs in the Bundesliga in the strange position of having only won one of its last four league games. That form has seen Hansi Flick’s side overtaken at the top of the table and faltering when there are still a number of other teams within distance of the champions. It seems inconceivable that Bayern would drop points again on Wednesday. But this Wolfsburg side will be no pushover.

A lot of Wolfsburg’s success this season has been down to the goals and performances of Wout Weghorst. He sits just behind Erling Haaland and Robert Lewandowski in the goal-scoring race and bagged another two at the weekend in the win over Eintracht Frankfurt. Although manager Oliver Glasner will know that a win in the Allianz Arena would see his team draw level on points with Bayern, this is more likely to be the first defeat of the season for Wolfsburg.

Arminia Bielefeld and Augsburg to Draw

Bielefeld couldn’t repeat the rare victory of the week before against Freiburg on Saturday. But the newly promoted club did last until ten minutes from time to concede the first goal, and there was a definite improvement from the opening weeks of the season where the team looked a little over-awed. There has been a tactical switch that does seem to be working for a side that is still limited against the majority of its Bundesliga opponents. That might be able to help with gaining a point on Wednesday.

Augsburg will be happy that it didn’t become the first team that Schalke beat in 26 attempts at the weekend. It took a stoppage-time goal to earn a point from that game, and it was probably nothing more than Augsburg deserved. A long list of injuries is not helping with Heiko Herrlich’s attempts to raise his side up the league – and there has not been a win in the last five games now. There might not be one in midweek either.

Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Koln

After waiting six years to go top of the Bundesliga, Bayer Leverkusen could drop down the table again if it doesn’t follow up the 4-1 win over Hoffenheim with another victory against Koln on Wednesday. Peter Bosz was missing a number of players through injury and because of positive COVID tests but was thankful for the continued good form of Leon Bailey, who scored two in the victory. A tie with Swiss outfit Young Boys awaits in the Europa League – and it is beginning to look like a very good season for Leverkusen at the moment.

Leverkusen should be able to beat Koln this week, even if Markus Gisdol has now led the team to a third unbeaten game, with a win over Mainz at the weekend keeping the Billy Goats in 15th. Gisdol will be without Ondrej Duda after he was sent off against Mainz but will rely on a largely unchanged team to keep up this recent good form. A defeat is more likely though – and that could see the club dragged back into the bottom three depending on other results.

My Top Bundesliga Picks for December 15-16, 2020

Here are my three picks in the Bundesliga over the two days of midweek games. Odds are courtesy of Betway.

  • Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Monchengladbach to draw – 3.75
  • Stuttgart and Union Berlin to draw – 3.40
  • Schalke and Freiburg to draw – 3.50

It is the draw bets that look like the best value in the Bundesliga this week, and I think the difficulty that both Frankfurt and Monchengladbach have in picking up wins at the moment makes this game a prime contender for a stalemate.

Stuttgart’s players should still be on a high after thrashing Dortmund in the Westfalenstadion last week – and that should be enough to give them a chance against a Union Berlin team that also performed heroically against Bayern at the weekend.

My final pick is for Schalke to pick up another point – this time against Freiburg. It is not looking like it will be a very good season for Schalke and another winless game only brings the record even closer. But I can’t see the team winning just yet.

Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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