Bundesliga Predictions and Best Bets (May 15-16, 2021)

| May 13, 2021 6:56 am PDT

Bayern won its ninth straight Bundesliga title before it had even taken to the pitch last weekend. Dortmund’s victory over closest rivals RB Leipzig meant that the champions could not be caught at the top. The fact that Hansi Flick’s side went on to destroy Borussia Monchengladbach only proved its dominance.

But there is still a lot to play for concerning the remaining European places and who will join Schalke dropping down to Bundesliga 2.

Top of the Bundesliga Standings
Team Played Points
Bayern Munich (C) 32 74
RB Leipzig 32 64
Wolfsburg 32 60
Borussia Dortmund 32 58
Eintracht Frankfurt 32 57
Bayer Leverkusen 32 51

Matchday 33 kicks off on Saturday, and this preview will take a look at all nine games over the weekend. I will also be choosing three of the best betting picks in the Bundesliga.

Arminia Bielefeld and Hoffenheim to Draw

With just two games of the season still to go, Arminia Bielefeld could finish well clear of the relegation places but currently sit in the playoff spot. The club still has a chance of staying up to the team’s credit, and just one defeat in the last six games shows that there is still a real chance. The goalless draw with Hertha last weekend kept the dream alive, and there is a good chance of another point, at least on Saturday.

Hoffenheim is now safe and can look to a very impressive run of five games unbeaten as the main reason behind a comfortable mid-table finish. The most recent of those was the six-goal thriller with Schalke at the weekend, in which neither side gave up at any time. Hoffenheim might give Bielefeld a chance here with the pressure off, but the draw still seems the most likely outcome.

Augsburg to Beat Werder Bremen

Neither of these two clubs has won since the beginning of April, and it is that kind of form that sees them both still desperate for points as they battle against the drop. Augsburg is in the slightly better position but is only two points ahead of Bremen and could fall into the bottom three if results don’t go their way this weekend.

Games have been tight recently, though, so there is a possibility that the home side could sneak this one.

Werder Bremen did at least snap a seven-game losing streak on Saturday as it frustrated Bayer Leverkusen into a draw. The home side hardly tested the Leverkusen keeper throughout the game and should be thanking its custodian, Jiri Pavlenka, for the point it managed to pick up. The red card shown to teenager Eren Dinkci right at the end shouldn’t trouble Florian Kohfeldt’s team selection too much, but he needs to work out how to inspire a victory – or Bremen could be going down this year.

Bayer Leverkusen to Beat Union Berlin

Hannes Wolf has definitely given Leverkusen a new lease of life as it chases a European place. However, the draw with struggling Werder Bremen means that it still needs a result here to confirm qualification. With Dortmund coming up on the last day of the season, this is the game that the home side needs to make sure of. With the likes of Leon Bailey and teenage sensation Florian Wirtz – who signed a new contract last week – Leverkusen should be winning this.

Union Berlin is not the kind of team you want to come up against when you are desperate for points though. Die Eisernen might not score many goals, but they don’t concede too many either. There is still a chance of qualifying for Europe as well, so Urs Fischer’s side should not be discounted here. There are two tough fixtures left this season, so Union might end up missing out.

Borussia Monchengladbach to Beat Stuttgart

It continues to be a frustrating season for Gladbach fans. The shock of the Marco Rose announcement has been just about forgotten now the Foals have improved again in recent weeks. But then they went and lost 6-0 to Bayern at the weekend to keep the battle for the European places ongoing. It looks like Monchengladbach will have to make do with the Europa Conference League – but a win here is still vital.

Stuttgart could actually snatch that place away from Marco Rose’s side, with two wins in its last two games and other results going its way. That is unlikely, but it has been an excellent season for Stuttgart. If Silas hadn’t gotten injured, the campaign might have turned out even better. As it is, Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side should feel very happy with a probable top half of the table finish, even if this game ends in defeat.

Bayern Munich to Beat Freiburg

Freiburg was gifted a two-goal lead against Koln last weekend but was made to sweat by the Billy Goats, who pulled one back just after the break. It could have been even worse if Duda hadn’t slipped and missed a penalty for the home side. Two stoppage-time goals gave Freiburg the convincing-looking scoreline, but it was not a masterful performance. Head coach Christian Streich will hope that Bayern is still too busy celebrating the title to bother too much on Saturday.

He may be out of luck, though. At least one player on the Bayern side will be up for this one.

Robert Lewandowski is now just one goal behind Gerd Muller’s record of 40 goals scored in a single Bundesliga season. When the Polish striker was injured on international duty, it had seemed as if the imposing record would remain intact. But with two games to go, Lewandowski has a real chance of making history. I would bet on that happening – and for Bayern to win again this weekend.

Hertha Berlin and Koln to Draw

On top of the spate of injurers, Hertha has endured a tough time dealing with a COVID outbreak at the club. As the season draws to a close, the Berlin club is now unbeaten in seven games after coming back from a goal behind to beat Schalke 2-1 on Wednesday. Dodi Lukebakio was sent off near the end, but local boy Jessic Ngankam scored the winner after he was on the brink of being sold by the then manager Bruno Labbadia earlier in the year. Pal Dardai obviously thought better of him, and now Hertha looks like it is staying up.

Koln threw everything at Freiburg on Sunday after going two goals down very early on. An impressive finish from Martin Andersson gave the Billy Goats some hope, and a penalty awarded on the hour mark seemed to be just what Koln needed. But the usually reliable Ondrej Duda slipped as he shot and skied the ball over the bar. Two very late goals for the visitors did nothing to help the situation. Now Koln needs to get something from its remaining games against Hertha and Schalke. That is possible, but a point here might not be enough.

Eintracht Frankfurt to Beat Schalke

Schalke remains the only club relegated with just two games of the season remaining – and lost again on Wednesday at home to Hertha Berlin. Amine Harit scored an early opener to give the Gelsenkirchen club some hope, but two second-half goals for the visitors decided the encounter. Schalke can still have a big say in what happens at both ends of the table, as it plays Koln after this one. But, the truth is, there are probably going to be two more defeats before the end of this sorry campaign.

Eintracht Frankfurt’s season is imploding as it battles to climb back into the top four and qualify for the Champions League. It has been in a good position for the whole of the second half of the season but now trails Dortmund by a point after winning just one of the last four. Two of those games were against close rivals, but the draw with Mainz on Sunday was a bitter blow. It could have been even worse if Ajdin Hrustic hadn’t scored a very inventive equalizer with just minutes to go. Three points here are an absolute must.

Borussia Dortmund to Beat Mainz

Dortmund will have competed in the DFB Pokal final on Thursday by the time this fixture comes around. But, even though a trophy will be warmly welcomed at the Westfalenstadion, it will mean nothing if Dortmund doesn’t finish in the top four and qualify for the Champions League. A win here is a must then – and it could even be the difference between players like Erling Haaland and Jadon Sancho staying or leaving in the summer.

Mainz is not the lower half club that Dortmund would have wanted to face when desperate for the points. Since Bo Svensson took over at the start of the year, the 05ers have lost just three of 18 Bundesliga games and have climbed the table.

They only need a draw to be safe – and might not even need that.

There have been some excellent results in the last few weeks. Even if this does end in defeat, Mainz has shown that it can compete in this league.

Wolfsburg to Beat RB Leipzig

Leipzig faces Dortmund in the cup final on Thursday but, whatever the result of that game, this season is beginning to feel like another opportunity missed. The league title has been ceded to Bayern – and Julian Nagelsmann will also be making a move to Bavaria to take over as head coach next season. It will not be a surprise if the remaining league games are not met with the usual level of enthusiasm.

Wolfsburg could finish in second if it beats Leipzig here and rounds the season off with another win against Mainz on the final day of the season. That would be nothing less than Oliver Glasner’s side deserved after what has been a very impressive campaign. Only Sunday’s opponent has conceded fewer goals – and Wolfsburg has also benefitted from the goals of Dutch striker Wout Weghorst. Those two factors could combine for another victory this weekend.

Bundesliga Match Day 33 Betting Picks

Arminia Bielefeld and Hoffenheim to Draw3.75
Hertha Berlin and Koln to Draw3.30
Wolfsburg to Beat RB Leipzig3.40

Not many clubs have absolutely nothing to play for this weekend, but Hoffenheim is one of them. It has already achieved a mid-table finish, and that might give Arminia Bielefeld a chance to earn at least a point as it attempts to stay in the Bundesliga for another year.

Hertha has dealt with COVID, injuries, and a change in manager to get to this point of the season where it still needs just a few more points to be sure of safety. It will be a great effort if it succeeds, but it should be doing much better with all the money spent by the Berlin club. Koln is in dire need of points as well, but a draw might have to be accepted here.

My final Bundesliga pick this weekend is for Wolfsburg to take advantage of RB Leipzig’s despondency and win a crucial game in the race for second. I feel that the home side will not be as bothered with that after being the main challengers to Bayern all season – and Wolfsburg will be there to benefit. The odds from Betway certainly look like good value to me.

Dan Roberts
Dan Roberts

Dan Roberts is an experienced freelance writer specialising in sports and sports betting. He is particularly knowledgeable about world soccer, but also writes about football, basketball and cricket.

As a fan of Nottingham Forest, New York Knicks, Minnesota Vikings and New York Mets, Dan has not had much to celebrate recently.

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