Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Betting – NFL Week 7, 2020

By Admir Aljic in NFL
| October 20, 2020 9:36 am PDT

The hapless New York Jets (0-6; 0-6 ATS) host the Buffalo Bills (4-2; 3-3 ATS) on Sunday, October 25, as the NFL betting continues with Week 7 matchups.

These two AFC East foes already met each other in Week 1 when the Bills outlasted the Jets 27-17 as 6.5-point home favorites.

Interestingly, the Bills and Jets split their regular-season series in each of the previous three seasons. Buffalo will look to snap that streak, while New York will try to finally get one in the win column, so here’s my best Bills vs. Jets betting pick for Week 7.

Bills vs. Jets Odds

Bills -12.5-115
Jets +12.5-105
Bills to Win-500
Jets to Win+435
Over 48.0-110
Under 48.0-110

Things have changed since the opening week, so the Bills are massive favorites in this one even though they are playing on the road.

The Jets are the worst team in the NFL, still looking for their first victory. They haven’t covered either and will be double-digit dogs Sunday for the second time this season. Back in Week 3, the Jets lost at Indianapolis 36-7 as 11.5-point underdogs.

Buffalo Bills Form

The Bills have won their first four games of the season, but they are on a two-game losing streak following a 26-17 home defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs this past Monday. Buffalo had another awful offensive performance after a 42-16 loss at the Tennessee Titans in Week 5.

Furthermore, the Bills had another tough night on the defensive end, allowing 245 rushing yards to the Chiefs. They racked up only 206 total yards on the other side, and that tells you enough about the Bills’ overall performance in Week 6.

Buffalo’s defense has been playing below all standards all season. The Bills are surrendering 28.0 points per game (21st in the NFL) on 387.5 total yards (23rd). Also, their ground game has been poor, as the Bills are tallying only 92.2 rushing yards per contest (27th).

New York Jets Form

The Jets hit rock bottom in Week 6, suffering a 24-0 loss at the Miami Dolphins. They failed to score for the first time this season while posting just 263 total yards.

Joe Flacco tossed for 186 yards and one interception, while Frank Gore had 11 carries for 46 yards. Obviously, the Jets lack talent, and even Sam Darnold’s eventual return from a shoulder injury won’t change anything.

New York is scoring 12.5 points per game which are the fewest in the league by far. On the other side of the ball, the Jets have been awful as well, yielding 30.8 points per contest (29th in the NFL) on 378.8 total yards (20th).

Bills vs. Jets Pick

I don’t feel comfortable with a huge 12.5-point spread, but taking the Bills to cover is the only reasonable choice here.

The Jets are terrible on both sides of the ball. I assume they want to win one game this term, at least, but the Bills will be fired up to snap a two-game skid.

Despite all their problems, especially on the defensive end, the Bills are a much better team than the Jets. This is a great opportunity for Buffalo’s offense, too, as the Bills have to improve their ground game if they want to fulfill their potential.

Pick
  • Buffalo Bills -9.5
    -175

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