Borussia Dortmund vs. Lazio – Champions League, December 2, 2020

| November 30, 2020 6:12 am PDT

The top two in Group F – Borussia Dortmund and Lazio – face off at Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday, December 2, both looking book their place in the last 16 of the Champions League.

The Eagles sealed a 3-1 victory over Dortmund on Matchday 1, although the German side currently leads the Italian outfit by one point.

After looking at the bookies’ odds, I give my Borussia Dortmund vs. Lazio prediction and betting pick.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Lazio Odds

Borussia Dortmund to Win 1.58
The Draw 4.40
Lazio to Win 4.90

The top online betting sites clearly think that Borussia Dortmund (1.58) has the upper hand here, and while it is difficult to argue with the bookies’ viewpoint, I wasn’t expecting the odds gap to be so big for this matchup.

The price for the Lazio win (4.90) seems strangely high, while even the odds for the draw (4.40) offer excellent value.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Lazio Preview

Despite enjoying 65% possession and notching up 14 shots (seven on target) on Matchday 1, Dortmund was unable to prevent a 3-1 defeat to Lazio. Of course, Erling Haaland scored BVB’s only goal of the game. But even the Norwegian prodigy couldn’t save his side on that occasion.

Fresh from picking up the 2020 Golden Boy award, Haaland will now be hoping to help his team qualify for the knockout stages. The 20-year-old has already bagged 17 goals and three assists in just 14 appearances this term, including six goals in four Champions League outings.

Lucien Favre’s men may have secured three straight European victories since losing to Lazio, yet they head into Matchday 5 on the back of a hugely disappointing 2-1 defeat to FC Koln. That was Dortmund’s third loss in nine domestic matches this season, with rivals Bayern Munich already four points ahead in the Bundesliga table.

Needless to say, Favre will be desperate for his players to forget about Saturday’s defeat and concentrate on booking a spot in the Round of 16.

On the flip side, Lazio is unbeaten in the Champions League this season. Two wins and two draws have been the club in a strong position to qualify for the knockout stages, but the job is far from complete at the moment.

After beating Dortmund, the Eagles went on to record back-to-back 1-1 draws with Club Brugge and Zenit Saint Petersburg. They may have beaten Zenit 3-1 in the reverse fixture last week, but the two draws earlier in the campaign prove that Simone Inzaghi’s side is nowhere near the level of the top teams in the competition.

Like Dortmund, Lazio also suffered a below-par domestic defeat at the weekend. The Eagles went down 3-1 to Udinese, with Ciro Immobile netting a second-half penalty. With just four wins from their opening nine Serie A matches this term, the Rome outfit sits ninth in the Italian top-flight – nine points behind frontrunner AC Milan.

Not only are Inzaghi’s men the second-lowest scorers in the top half of the Serie A table, they also have the joint-worst defensive record.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Lazio Betting Pick

  • Borussia Dortmund to Win

Don’t get me wrong, I would like the price for the home win to be a little higher here. But having taken everything into consideration, I’m confident that Dortmund will win this one.

Sure, Lazio may have won the reverse fixture. But a lot has changed since then. The Eagles have stuttered in recent weeks, while BVB has remained relatively consistent.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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