Borussia Dortmund vs. Freiburg Betting Preview – Bundesliga, October 3, 2020

By Admir Aljic in Soccer
| October 1, 2020 3:33 pm PDT

Dortmund is a massive favorite in this encounter after losing the last two games, one in Bundesliga to Augsburg and one in Super Cup to Bayern Munich in midweek. They cannot afford to suffer the third consecutive defeat, and luckily for the hosts, this matchup suits them well.

Freiburg, on the other hand, is undefeated after the opening three matches of a new season, as they recorded a win and a draw in the league, along with a DFB Pokal victory over Mannheim. Christian Streich’s side struggled on the road last season, and now is facing a big task on Saturday when they travel to Dortmund.

Read this preview and get the Borussia Dortmund vs. Freiburg betting pick along with the latest news, stats, and H2H record.

Borussia Dortmund vs. Freiburg Betting Odds

Dortmund -1.5-120
Freiburg +1.5+100
Dortmund to Win-333
Freiburg to Win+900
Draw+550
Over 3.5+121
Under 3.5-128

Borussia Dortmund Team News and Stats

While a 2-0 loss at Augsburg in their last Bundesliga match shocked Borussia Dortmund, it was actually their third defeat by at least a two-goal difference in their previous five league games (W2). It was also their 18th consecutive Bundesliga game that saw the side that opened the scoring go on to take all three points (W13, L5).

Recent history is in Dortmund’s favor to get back on track on Saturday, as each of the last five campaigns saw Borussia win their first two matches at home. Additionally, in those five seasons (and including their first home game this term), Dortmund only ever lost on two occasions from the 62 Bundesliga home matches in which they scored the first goal (W53, D7, L2).

Lucien Favre will be without Roman Burki (illness), Jadon Sancho (illness), Thorgan Hazard (muscle), Mateu Morey (thigh), Marcel Schmelzer (knee), and Dan-Axel Zagadou (knee).

Freiburg Team News and Stats

Freiburg perhaps started the campaign unbeaten (W1, D1), but their current 18-game winless H2H streak against Dortmund shows precisely why they’re massive underdogs here (D3, L15). Still, they do have a chance to get to a positive result at Signal Iduna Park, as they proved to be quite dangerous from set-pieces. Freiburg’s 18 goals from dead-ball situations last season was the second-biggest tally in the league, while they’ve already scored from two set-pieces this term!

If the visitors can avoid loss here, it will be their best start to a Bundesliga campaign since 2004/05. However, they’ve allowed at least a goal in 16 matches on the road in a row. They did score before halftime in the previous five, though, and saw the game opener scored in the opening 15 minutes in the last three, so an exciting match should be on the cards regardless.

Christian Streich cannot count on Mark Flekken (elbow) and Keven Schlotterbeck (muscle).

Borussia Dortmund vs. Freiburg Betting Pick

As I already mentioned, Dortmund is unbeaten in the last 18 H2H encounters (W15, D3), as the previous Freiburg’s win came in 2010. Freiburg’s last win in Dortmund was in 2001, and Borussia has a W11, D1 record at home since. Although they kept the net intact in the opening game of the season, Dortmund conceded five in the last two, and I am backing Freiburg to score a minimum of one goal on Saturday. Still, I am backing the hosts to get a victory and snap a two-game losing skid.

Pick
  • Dortmund to win and BTTS YES
    +150

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