Boise State Broncos vs. San Jose State Spartans Preview – College Football, December 19, 2020

| December 16, 2020 11:13 am PDT

Nobody is surprised to see Boise State in the Mountain West Conference Championship game. The shocker is that a team that went 2-6 during MWC play a season ago is heading to Sin City this weekend sporting an unblemished record.

In fact, the Spartans have not only beaten all six of their opponents; they’ve won all of their games by at least 10 points.

Those of you assuming the Broncos have a walk in the park on Saturday, you may want to check out this Boise State vs. San Jose State prediction.

I’ll start this Mountain West Conference Championship preview by introducing the odds.

Boise State vs. San Jose State Odds

Boise State (-6.5)  -110
San Jose State (+6.5)  -110
Boise State to Win  -240
San Jose State to Win   +200
Over 54.5  -110
Under 54.5 -110

Casual fans are going to see Boise State -6.5 and immediately think it’s a discounted price. After all, it’s natural to want to side with the favorite anytime the spread is 6.5 points in a football game. In this spot in particular, Boise State is certainly the team that the general public will feel that they can trust.

Case in point – 71% of the spread consensus pick has sided with the Broncos.

However, here’s the problem with making the assumption that Boise State is more dependable.

While the Broncos are an even 3-3 against the spread, San Jose State is 5-0-1. The Spartans are one of two teams in the FBS (Indiana) yet to lose ATS.

Petitioning For the Broncos 

Boise State has looked sharp if you throw away their blowout loss against BYU. Considering Hank Bachmeier was unable to play in that game, I’m ok cutting the Broncos some slack for what was undoubtedly a dismal performance.

In the four games Bachmeier has taken snaps under center, BSU is 4-0 with a +76 point differential.

The sophomore QB from Murrieta, CA has been connecting with his fellow Murrieta native all season long, and nothing suggests that’ll stop on Saturday in Vegas. WR Khalil Shakir is putting up monster numbers in the “land of potatoes” and will command tons of attention from the SJSU secondary.

As favorably as the Spartans defense has performed in 2020, they haven’t faced a unit as explosive as the Broncos. Perhaps Boise State will be too much to handle.

Petitioning For the Spartans

Maybe it’s meant to be.

Talk about resiliency; here’s a group that trailed Nevada by 13 points at halftime in their last game knowing that a berth in the MWC Championship game was on the line. Instead of laying over and letting the Wolfpack eat, SJSU bullied UNR on their way to racking up 196 second-half rushing yards.

The Spartans were the ones playing like a bunch of ravenous canines outscoring Nevada 23-0 in the third and fourth quarters.

Set to play in their first MWC title game in program history, expect Brent Brennan’s club to be ultra-motivated on Saturday. Quarterback Nick Starkel, top RB Tyler Nevens, and both of the Spartans leading receivers (Bailey Gaither, Tre Walker) each have something in common.

They’re all seniors who eager to go out on top.

Boise State vs. San Jose State Pick

I like to zig when the general public zags.

In this case, that means siding with the Spartans in a Boise State vs. San Jose State prediction.

SJSU’s performance against the spread tells me the best college football betting sites are still undervaluing Brent Brennan’s squad. Plus, a 6.5-point line is another way of the bookies begging us to bet the favorite. When those situations arise, you can generally catch me riding on the other side.

Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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