BMW PGA Championship Props – 4 Juicy Bets at Wentworth

| September 8, 2021 9:31 am PDT

The PGA Tour is off as it’s the one-week transition from one season to the next. Any thoughts this translated into a forced break from betting on golf online – think again.

The BMW PGA Championship is here, and it’s a really big deal. Held at the esteemed Wentworth Club in Surrey, there are 8,000 Race to Dubai points up for grabs and an $8 million prize pool to gun for. Not to mention, it’s the final tournament before the European Ryder Cup team is solidified.

So yeah, it’s a huge week in golf. In turn, there are ample ways to get money down on the action in England. I looked at the “to win” market and offered my favorite plays; I went over my top DFS picks for the BMW PGA Championship in a separate post.

Now it’s time to unveil the best BMW PGA Championship prop bets to attack.

Min Woo Lee – Top Australian (+250)

Four Aussies are teeing it up at Wentworth this week. Scott Hend has zero top-40s in his last eight starts; let’s remove him from the equation. Wade Ormsby sits 124th on the European Tour in GIR and hasn’t finished better than 51st in his last four outings. Another one bites the dust.

That leaves us with Adam Scott and Min Woo Lee – let’s assess the situation.

Scott popped with a T2 at the Wyndham Championship, but any momentum was quickly derailed with an MC The following week at THE NORTHERN TRUST. In all, Adam’s recorded just three top-10s finishes worldwide across the last 21 months.

On the flip side, Min Woo Lee is back on the prowl shortly after triumphing at the Scottish Open. 21st and 12th over the last two weeks suggest that another solid performance is in store.  

Henrik Stenson to Finish Inside the Top 20 (+175)

Of all the markets you can target Henrik Stenson in this week, this feels like the sweet spot. A top-20 finish isn’t that tall of an ask, yet +175 odds are quite appealing.

Although the 2016 Champion Golfer of the Year has endured a disappointing year, he’ll saunter into Wentworth feeling confident and at peace.

“More than anything, I feel like I am in a good frame of mind to play golf and to try and get the best score out of my game.”

Henrik’s seeking his fourth top-15 finish in the last four weeks (4th-3rd-15th in his last three starts).

Sometimes I hum and haw before I lock in my golf predictions. This is not one of those times.

Andy Sullivan (+108) to Beat Matt Wallace

I showcased one of my favorite head-to-head matchup bets in an earlier post – that’s Billy Horschel at +130 to beat Matt Fitzpatrick. Staying on theme with “plus-money” matchup picks for the BMW PGA Championship, I nabbed Andy Sullivan at +108 to defeat Matt Wallace. You can too at BetOnline.

Sullivan has been a bit hit or miss lately, but he’s generally a reliable iron player and an above-average putter. Worth noting, Andy carded 20 birdies and an eagle last year at Wentworth on his way to finishing T3 at the 2020 BMW PGA Championship.

As for his adversary in this H2H?

Matt Wallace used to be a fairly dependable option, but as of late, it’s hard to have much faith. The 31-year-old Englishman has withdrawn or missed the cut four times in his last seven starts; his current world ranking is the worst it’s been since the summer of 2018.

As for why Wallace has been struggling, it’s been a series of shortcomings across all fronts.

Matt Wallace – European Tour Ranks This Season
Stat European Tour Rank
Driving Accuracy 153
GIR 94
Sand Save % 196
Putts per GIR 145
Stroke Average 130

Ian Poulter to Make the Cut (-300)

The -300 price tag attached to Ian Poulter (to make the cut) at the best golf betting sites isn’t as steep as you think. “Poults” odds to make the cut at some other sportsbooks are -330.

We’re talking about one of the most clutch performers in the sport riding an active streak of nine straight made cuts. On top of that, the chips are on the line as Ian is playing to cement his status as a Ryder Cup pick.

Ian finished 5th here in 2020; you have to go all the way back to 2013 to find the last instance of Poulter not qualifying for weekend play at Wentworth.

Add all that up, and the -300 odds can be chalked up as a substantial discount.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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