Betting Tips, Picks, and Predictions for AFL Round 8 – May 6-8 (2022)

| May 4, 2022 5:06 am PDT

The Demons maintained their winning start to the season with a hard-fought victory over Hawthorn last weekend. As a result, the defending premiers are still the only team with a 100% record in 2022.

Having won six of their seven games this year, Brisbane and Fremantle remain within touching distance of Melbourne. At the opposite end of the AFL ladder, West Coast, North Melbourne, and Essendon each have just one win to their name.

The footy action resumes this Friday, May 6. Keep reading to discover my AFL predictions for Round 8, along with my recommended AFL betting picks for this weekend.

Western Bulldogs (1.80) to Beat Port Adelaide (2.00)

It is no secret that both the Western Bulldogs and Port Adelaide have struggled for consistency so far this season. The Bulldogs have won three and lost four of their seven games, while the Power started the campaign with five straight defeats before sealing back-to-back victories.

Granted, Port heads into Round 8 on a two-game winning streak. But the Dogs claimed a big 32-point victory over Essendon last time out. For that reason, I’m backing the Dogs to edge out Port this weekend.

Fremantle (1.07) to Beat North Melbourne (8.50)

All the best Aussie rules betting sites view high-flying Fremantle as the clear favorite to beat struggling North Melbourne. That is hardly surprising, though, given that third-place Freo leads second-bottom North by 20 points on the AFL ladder.

The Dockers have won six of their seven matches this year, while the Kangaroos have lost six of their seven encounters. With that in mind, you won’t be surprised to learn that I’m backing Freo to dispatch the Roos without any problems.

Collingwood (2.50) to Beat Richmond (1.53)

Collingwood comes into Round 8 on a two-match winning run, having seen off Essendon and Gold Coast. The Magpies racked up 115 points in a dominant win against the Suns in Round 7, with Brody Mihocek (4.1) and Jack Ginnivan (3.1) kicking their side to victory.

As for the Tigers, they booted a whopping 165 points as they crushed West Coast by 109 points last time out. But anyone can do that to the lowly Eagles, can’t they? Since Richmond trails Collingwood by four points, I can see the Pies edging this one.

Sydney (1.20) to Beat Gold Coast (4.50)

It’s fair to say that Sydney has made a strong start to the 2022 campaign. After winning five of their opening seven games, the Swans find themselves fifth on the AFL ladder – 12 points ahead of fourteenth-place Gold Coast.

The Suns registered their third defeat on the spin last weekend, suffering a 25-point loss to Collingwood. When you look at the bigger picture, the Suns have lost five of their seven outings this year, so I expect them to suffer another defeat against Sydney.

Brisbane (1.01) to Beat West Coast (15.00)

Cam Rayner, Charlie Cameron, and Daniel McStay each kicked three goals as Brisbane chalked up 113 points against Sydney in Round 7. The Lions have now scored 97+ points in five of their previous six games, meaning they are the top scorers in the AFL this season.


  • Brisbane: 746
  • Sydney: 684
  • Richmond: 669

By contrast, no team has recorded fewer points than West Coast’s 420. Following last weekend’s 109-point thrashing at the hands of the Tigers, the Eagles are rock bottom of the standings with a solitary win to their name. No prizes for predicting the winner of this clash!

Geelong (1.80) to Beat GWS Giants (2.00)

It wouldn’t be unfair to say that Geelong has made an inconsistent start to the season. Despite securing big wins over Essendon, Collingwood, Brisbane, and North, the Cats find themselves seventh after suffering three losses.

That said, the Cats have two of the competition’s top six goalkickers in their ranks. With Tom Hawkins (22) and Jeremy Cameron (19) in red-hot form, Geelong shouldn’t struggle to beat a GWS outfit that has registered five losses in seven matches this year.

Essendon (2.25) to Beat Hawthorn (1.65)

We all know that Essendon has made a below-par start to the season. Despite the best efforts of Darcy Parish – who has racked up more disposals than anyone else – the Bombers have managed to win just one of their seven games in 2022.


  • Darcy Parish, Essendon: 240
  • Clayton Oliver, Melbourne: 228
  • Lachie Neale, Brisbane: 224

In my eyes, though, Saturday’s clash against Hawthorn provides the Bombers with the ideal opportunity to kick-start their campaign. The Hawks have lost four of their previous five outings, so I’m confident that Essendon will taste victory this weekend.

Melbourne (1.30) to Beat St Kilda (3.50)

Last weekend, the Demons extended their seemingly unstoppable winning streak with a ten-point victory over Hawthorn. That means Melbourne heads into Round 8 with seven straight wins in the bank AND the best defensive record in the comp.

Having won five of their seven games in 2022, the Saints are not having a bad season by any stretch of the imagination. Still, they will almost certainly struggle to deal with stars like Max Gawn, Clayton Oliver, and Christian Petracca on Sunday.

Carlton (1.33) to Beat Adelaide (3.25)

The Blues are one of three teams to have won five of their seven outings this year. Following victories over the Bulldogs, Richmond, Hawthorn, Port, and North, Carlton sits eight points inside the top eight. Better still, only three sides have picked up more points in 2022.

Twelfth-place Adelaide trails sixth-place Carlton by eight points after suffering a heavy 59-point loss to GWS in the previous round. Since the Crows have lost four of their seven encounters this season, I expect them to fall to Carlton.

Top AFL Betting Picks for Round 8

That’s it for my Round 8 AFL predictions, but I’m not finished just yet. It’s time to check out the top AFL picks for Round 8, courtesy of Betway.

Richmond vs. Collingwood – Collingwood to Win2.50
Sydney vs. Gold Coast – Sydney –28.5 Handicap1.90
Brisbane vs. West Coast – Brisbane –65.5 Handicap1.90

At 1.53, Richmond is favored to beat Collingwood. But I can’t ignore the juicy price for the Collingwood win. The Magpies have won their last two matches, so I can see them moving eight points clear of the Tigers this weekend.

As for Sydney vs. Gold Coast, I recommend adding the –28.5 handicap onto the Sydney win. The Swans are priced at just 1.20 to beat the Suns, but I expect them to notch a high-scoring victory on Saturday.

Speaking of high-scoring victories, I’m confident that Brisbane will demolish West Coast. After all, this matchup sees the league’s best offense come up against the league’s worst defense.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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