Betting Tips, Picks, and Predictions for AFL Round 16 (June 30–July 3, 2022)

| June 27, 2022 5:56 am PDT

The Demons returned to winning ways with a dominant 64-point victory over the Lions last week. As a result, the defending premiers find themselves atop the AFL ladder – four points clear of Geelong, Brisbane, Fremantle, and Carlton.

The race for the top eight is heating up as we approach Round 16. The footy action resumes on Thursday, June 30, with a blockbuster clash between Brisbane and Western Bulldogs.

Keep reading to discover my AFL predictions and picks for Round 16, as well as my recommended AFL betting picks for the upcoming clashes. Before we get those predictions and picks, we need to assess the latest AFL odds.

Ready to bet on the AFL now? Be sure to try some of my favorite online sportsbooks below.

AFL Odds for Round 16

Here are the Round 16 AFL odds, courtesy of Betway.

  • Brisbane (1.44) vs. Western Bulldogs (2.75)
  • Carlton (1.57) vs. St Kilda (2.37)
  • Essendon (3.25) vs. Sydney (1.33)
  • Adelaide (6.00) vs. Melbourne (1.12)
  • Geelong (1.01) vs. North Melbourne (15.00)
  • Gold Coast (1.80) vs. Collingwood (2.00)
  • Richmond (1.12) vs. West Coast (6.00)
  • GWS Giants (1.50) vs. Hawthorn (2.62)
  • Fremantle (1.40) vs. Port Adelaide (3.00)

At first glance, the odds for Geelong vs. North Melbourne stand out here. The high-flying Cats are priced at just 1.01 to beat the struggling Kangaroos, who are priced at 15.00!

Brisbane, Carlton, Gold Coast, Richmond, GWS, and Fremantle are also favored to win on home soil in Round 16. Elsewhere, Sydney and Melbourne are expected to win on their travels this weekend.

Round 16 AFL Predictions

It’s time to dive into my AFL predictions for Round 16. If you like the look of my AFL predictions, be sure to check out the top AFL betting picks for Round 16 at the end of this piece.

Carlton to Beat St Kilda

When St Kilda recorded a run of eight wins in ten matches between March and May, a top-eight finish looked pretty much guaranteed. But it’s been all downhill since then.

The Saints head into Round 16 on a three-game losing streak, having fallen to Brisbane, Essendon, and Sydney. After conceding 107 points against the Bombers, they kicked a measly 32 points against the Swans last time out.

As for the Blues, they have won six of their previous eight outings. Charlie Curnow booted four goals as Carlton crushed Fremantle last weekend, meaning he remains atop the Coleman Medal leaderboard.


  • Charlie Curnow, Carlton – 44
  • Jeremy Cameron, Geelong – 42
  • Aaron Naughton, Western Bulldogs – 38
  • Tom Lynch, Richmond – 37
  • Tom Hawkins, Geelong – 36

I’m confident that Curnow and co. will dispatch off-form St Kilda on Friday. The Saints are on a bad run of form at the moment, while the Blues find themselves four points behind first-place Melbourne after a series of positive results.

Sydney to Beat Essendon

As I already mentioned, Sydney limited St Kilda to just 32 points last time out. Thanks to the 51-point victory, the Swans have won three of their past four matches.

By contrast, the Bombers have lost five of their last six clashes. When you look at the bigger picture, they have suffered 11 defeats in 14 games this season.

Just last month, Syndey racked up 105 points in a 58-point thrashing of Essendon. If the previous meeting between these two sides is anything to go by, the Swans should cruise to another comfortable victory on Saturday.

Geelong to Beat North Melbourne

Unsurprisingly, North Melbourne’s season went from bad to worse last weekend. The Kangaroos lost by 57 points to Adelaide, meaning they have lost each of their previous 12 matches.

To make matter worse for the Roos,
they are now the only team in AFL/VFL history to lose ten straight games by over 40 points. That unwanted record tells you everything you need to know about the state of the club at the moment.

On the flip side, Geelong carries a five-match winning streak into Round 16. Thanks to recent victories over Port, Adelaide, Western Bulldogs, West Coast, and Richmond, the Cats are arguably the competition’s in-form team right now.

I can’t help but fear the worst for North Melbourne this weekend. Judging by the contrasting form of these two sides, things could get ugly for Roos.

Collingwood to Beat Gold Coast

Aside from Geelong, Collingwood is the only other team to have picked up five wins across the past five rounds. To say that Collingwood is enjoying an eye-catching turnaround would be an understatement.

Not only did the Magpies lose three of their first five matches, but they also lost five of their first nine. Now, they find themselves four points inside the top eight following victories against Freo, Carlton, Hawthorn, Melbourne, and GWS.

Meanwhile, Gold Coast has registered five wins and five losses across the previous ten rounds. Granted, the Suns have won three of their last four outings. But they remain eight points behind Collingwood on the ladder. I can’t see them stopping the Pies this weekend.

Remaining AFL Predictions for Round 16

  • Brisbane to Beat Western Bulldogs
  • Melbourne to Beat Adelaide
  • Richmond to Beat West Coast
  • GWS Giants to Beat Hawthorn
  • Fremantle to Beat Port Adelaide

I’m backing Brisbane, Richmond, GWS, and Fremantle to claim home wins in Round 16. Elsewhere, I expect the Demons to win on their travels against Adelaide.

Top AFL Picks for Round 16

Are you looking for the best free AFL picks for Round 16? Look no further.

Essendon vs. Sydney – Sydney (-18.5)1.90
Geelong vs. North Melbourne – Geelong (-55.5)1.90
Gold Coast vs. Collingwood – Collingwood to Win2.00

Not only have the Bombers lost five of their last six matches, but they have also lost eight of their previous ten. That’s why I’m backing in-form Sydney to beat Essendon by at least 18.5 points.

Geelong is priced at just 1.01 to beat the Roos, who are priced at 15.00 to win. The Roos have lost each of their past ten games by 40+ points, so I expect them to suffer another heavy defeat at the hands of the Cats.

Since the Magpies are on a five-game winning streak, backing them to beat Gold Coast at 2.00 is a no-brainer. Indeed, you can double your money by backing one of the comp’s in-form teams.

Whether you want to follow my AFL picks or make your own selections, be sure to use only the best Aussie Rules betting sites.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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