Betting Preview for the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open With Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets

| February 1, 2021 11:42 am PDT

Expect to see some fireworks this weekend in the Grand Canyon State. A field so strong has gathered in Scottsdale that the field for the Monday qualifier included a former winner of this event (Aaron Baddeley) and the leader this season in SG: Approach (Ricky Barnes).

Four of the top six in the world are here – headlined by Rory McIlroy who will tee it up in front of the Thunderbirds for the first time in his illustrious career.

There’s a lot to unpack before we get to my Waste Management Phoenix Open predictions; let’s begin by looking at the tournament’s odds.

2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open Odds

Jon Rahm tops the betting sheet for the second straight week. Many of the top golf sportsbooks installed Rahm at +650 so don’t expect to find a much more favorable number than his +700 price tag at XBet.

Xander leapfrogging Rory is noteworthy, although perhaps it was to be expected. The current edition of the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) has Schauffele slotted 4th and McIlroy slotted 6th. However, it’s not all pretty for the game’s household names.

Brooks Koepka and Jason Day continue to see their odds plummet, while Jordan Spieth is fading further and further into oblivion.

Phoenix Open Results

I’m not here to say that an under-the-radar type of guy can’t win this golf tournament. I’d just say it’s not very likely.

The field is stacked, that much we know, and check out the past six winners.

Waste Management Phoenix Open Winners Since 2015
Year Winner Total Score Winning Margin
2020 Webb Simpson 267 (-17) Playoff
2019 Rickie Fowler 267 (-17) 2
2018 Gary Woodland 266 (-18) Playoff
2017 Hideki Matsuyama 267 (-17) Playoff
2016 Hideki Matsuyama 270 (-14) Playoff
2015 Brooks Koepka 269 (-15) 1

Four playoffs in the last five years and an exquisite list of champions.

If there’s one way to warm up your betting appetite for Super Bowl Sunday, lock in some Waste Management Phoenix Open picks and sweat the finish on NBC. The culmination of this event rolls right into the “Big Game.”

Waste Management Phoenix Open Pick to Win

I’m going with an FSU product that’s ranked in the top 15 in the world, and it’s not Brooks Koepka. The former Seminole golfer I’m targeting this week is Daniel Berger – the least-talked about world-class player in the entire sport.

Berger has been one of the most consistent players on the planet for the last 12 months – nearly any metric you study will fully support that claim.

Daniel Berger – PGA Tour Stats in 2020
Stat Value PGA Tour Rank
SG: Total 1.560 6th
Birdie Average 4.38 5th
Scoring Average 69.237 6th
Scrambling 67.45% 1st
Putting 4-8’ 76.67% 3rd
Putting 10-15’ 40.67% 2nd
FedEx Cup Regular Season Points 1,347 7th

Just one missed cut since October of 2019 and Daniel’s hot play in 2020 has carried straight into 2021. 10th and 7th during the Hawaii swing earned Berger more than enough coin to enjoy the fruits of his labor.

Wondering if those “good vibes” will roll over from Jupiter to Scottsdale?

Well, the 27-year-old three-time winner has racked up four top-11 finishes at the WMPO since 2015.

  • Daniel Berger

Best Bets for the 2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open

Staying on track with predictions for the Waste Management Phoenix Open, there are other markets to attack aside from “to win.” Betting on players landing inside the top 10 or the top 20 is another way to get in on the action this week.

Will Zalatoris to Finish Top 10

Simply put, this kid has been a top-10 machine for the past year.

Should we not expect Zalatoris to crank out yet another top-10 in Phoenix?

One of golf’s next big stars is coming off a T7 at the Farmers Insurance Open and is boiling over with self-belief. As long and as pure as Will hits the golf ball, look for him to bring this week’s venue to its knees.

Hideki Matsuyama to Finish Top 20

Speaking of this week’s venue, there are certain guys who seem to play well at TPC at Scottsdale year in and year out. One of those guys is Hideki Matsuyama, and perhaps nobody is more comfortable at this particular track than the two-time winner of this event.

On top of winning the WMPO in both 2016 and 2017, Hideki has logged two other top-4 finishes here. 15th in 2019 and 16th in 2020.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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