Betting Preview for the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open With Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets

| January 25, 2021 11:32 am PDT

With the US Open set to return to Torrey Pines in June, it’s no surprise to see a stacked field hovering in La Jolla. Just don’t expect to see birdies and eagles flying around in bunches.

Playing a demanding layout at sea level is difficult in its own right – now throw in the cool and damp conditions that are a big part of the weekly forecast. The point is you won’t be able to “fake your way” around the golf course this week.

Your best bet when making Farmers Insurance Open picks is to target the premium ball-strikers who are known to excel when the going gets tough.

I’ve got a few guys in mind.

2021 Farmers Insurance Open Odds

Jon Rahm is back atop the betting sheets despite his pre-tournament withdrawal last week in the desert. There should be no serious qualms about backing the world’s second-ranked golfer after the Spaniard explained to Colt Knost on SiriusXM that his recent WD was nothing more than precautionary.

“Truth is, I hurt myself in the gym on Friday. I’m taking time off now trying to be smart. I could play right now, but I don’t want to make it worse.”

To piggyback on the idea that “Rahmbo” is poised for success, look no further than his pristine track record at this event.

Jon Rahm – By the Numbers at the Farmers Insurance Open
Year Score in Relation to Par Finish
2017 -13 1st
2018 -2 29th
2019 -14 5th
2020 -14 2nd

Jon won here in his first attempt and owns the course record (62) on the revamped North Course. His +700 odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open aren’t nearly extreme as they appear at first glance.

Look-In at Recent Winners of the Farmers Insurance Open

On my way to locking in some Farmers Insurance Open predictions, I like to take a peek at who’s won here recently and what they shot. I’ve included each winner’s margin of victory as an added reference point.

Winners at the Famers Insurance Open – Last 10 Years
Year Winner Scores (to par) Margin of Victory
2020 Marc Leishman 68-72-68-65 (-15) 1
2019 Justin Rose 63-66-69-69 (-21) 2
2018 Jason Day 73-64-71-70 (-10) Playoff
2017 Jon Rahm 72-69-69-65 (-13) 3
2016 Brandt Snedeker 73-70-70-69 (-6) 1
2015 Jason Day 73-65-71-70 (-9) Playoff
2014 Scott Stallings 72-67-72-68 (-9) 1
2013 Tiger Woods 68-65-69-72 (-14) 4
2012 Brandt Snedeker 67-64-74-67 (-16) Playoff
2011 Bubba Watson 71-65-69-67 (-16) 1

Since 2000, only three times has the Farmers Insurance Open been decided by more than three shots.

  • Tiger Woods in 2013 (won by 4)
  • Tiger Woods in 2008 (won by 8)
  • Tiger Woods in 2003 (won by 4)

Unfortunately for the fans and the city of San Diego, TW is sidelined for the foreseeable future as he recovers from a fifth back surgery.

2021 Farmers Insurance Open Pick to Win

Scottie Scheffler missed the cut last week at PGA West, and he missed the cut last year at Torrey Pines. At the same time, Scottie’s last professional win at the 2019 Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship (Korn Ferry Tour) came exactly one week after missing the cut in Portland.

Rather than get too caught up with not competing this past weekend, key in on the fact that Scottie clocks in 2nd on the PGA Tour in total driving. He’s virtually eliminated the “right-miss” from his repertoire and has done everything but win at the game’s highest level.

Last year’s ROY has a 59 on his resume and has already contended at majors.

It’s only a matter of time until “first PGA Tour victory” gets checked off the list.

  • Scottie Scheffler

Best Bets for the Farmers Insurance Open 

Predictions for the Farmers Insurance Open don’t have to stop with trying to pinpoint who hoists the hardware. Another way to make money betting golf online this week is to target the top-10 and top-20 markets.

Sungjae Im to Finish Top 10

Sungjae Im hasn’t produced stellar results here just yet, but his game figures to be tailor-made to thrive at the South Course at Torrey Pines. Im’s repeatable motion and boring ball flight translate to lots of fairways and lots of greens – exactly what you need to do to prosper at this event.

Sungjae finished T12 last week at The American Express – his third top-12 in his last 5 starts. 

Jason Kokrak to Finish Top 20

Jason hits it long and has been putting beautifully, and the latter isn’t just hearsay. Kokrak ranks 4th in total, putting thanks to a steady combination of holing all the short ones and pouring in his fair share from mid-range.

If you’re thinking Torrey Pines should suit Jason’s eye, you’re definitely on the right track.

20th here in 2019, 21st in 2020.

Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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