Betting Preview for the 2021 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship With Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets

| January 18, 2021 4:49 pm PDT

The 2021 European Tour season kicks off on Thursday in the capital of the United Arab Emirates with a star-studded field. Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas headline a betting sheet that includes Englishmen Tyrell Hatton and Justin Rose, along with two-time champion of this event, Tommy Fleetwood.

This week marks the 16th edition of the esteemed event, and for the 16th time, it’ll be contested at Abu Dhabi Golf Club.

Before I unveil my Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship predictions, have a glimpse at the pricing.

2021 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Odds

Rory and JT have separated themselves from the pack at all of the top golf betting sites. I’ve heard McIlroy catch some grief on social media for not ever winning in his first start of the year – tweets that cause me to burst out in laughter.

If you want to key in on tweets that actually have substance – check out this one from GOLFTV:

It’s as if Rory contending this weekend in Abu Dhabi is a foregone conclusion.

How Justin Thomas asserts himself in his first go-round following his fallout with Ralph Lauren is perhaps the most interesting storyline of all.

A Look Back at Past Results at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship

I referenced that each of the first 15 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championships was held at Abu Dhabi GC. Here’s a quick look at the past five winners, along with their winning tallies.

Year Winner Score Margin of Victory
2020 Lee Westwood 269 (-19) 2
2019 Shane Lowry 270 (-18) 1
2018 Tommy Fleetwood 266 (-22) 2
2017 Tommy Fleetwood 271 (-17) 1
2016 Rickie Fowler 272 (-16) 1

Worth noting – Martin Kaymer has won this event three times (2008, 2010, 2011) and is in the field this week. Kaymer placed 8th here last season and has racked up four top-10s during his last eight starts.

Is Martin’s +3300 price tag at MyBookie enough to pique your interest?

2021 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Pick to Win

Entrenched as one of the marquee events on the European Tour schedule, it’s not often we see a dark horse hoist the trophy at week’s end. That’s why when it comes to pinpointing the winner, I’m steering clear of any Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship sleepers.

The last man standing on Sunday evening is more than likely going to be one of the household names sitting near the top of the betting sheet. One of those names happens to be playing this week with a big chip on his shoulder.

Justin Thomas has been draped in Ralph Lauren gear ever since he turned pro – and even before that in AJGA and amateur events. There’s no doubt that JT was caught off guard by his clothing sponsor abruptly cutting ties, but my guess is the world’s third-ranked player will be ultra-focused on putting on a dominant performance.

Thomas is great in any situation, but he excels when he is “put off.”

Take Alabama, Justin’s beloved alma mater, losing in the National Championship to Clemson on January 9th, 2017. Justin’s first round following the Crimson Tide’s loss resulted in a 59 at the Sony Open. By Sunday, Thomas had proceeded to set the 72-hole PGA Tour scoring record.

  • Justin Thomas

Best Bets for the 2021 Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship 

Picking a winner isn’t the only way to cash in. Here are two additional predictions for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship.

Thomas Pieters to Finish Top 10

Abu Dhabi Golf Club being part of the annual rotation means a crop of golfers have built up a considerable amount of course history at this week’s venue. One man who has stood at Abu Dhabi GC is long-hitting Belgian, Thomas Pieters.

Thomas Pieters at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship – By the Numbers
Year Scores Finish
2020 68-70-70-71 (-9) 30th
2019 67-70-69-73 (-9) 16th
2018 67-65-67-72 (-17) 5th
2017 73-72 (+1) MC
2016 69-73-64-67 (-15) 2nd
2015 65-67-70-70 (-16) 4th

Lee Westwood to Finish Top 20

At 47-years-old, Lee Westwood is supposed to be well past his prime. However, a boatload of top 20s followed Westwood’s triumph at the 2020 Abu Dhabi Championship and he wound up winning the Race to Dubai.

Arriving as the defending champ and the reigning European Golfer of the Year, “Westy’s” confidence should be through the roof. Lee landing inside the top 20 is one of my favorite Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship picks.

When you’re ready for some more weekly predictions in the world of professional golf, check out the link below.

Michael Wynn
Michael Wynn

As a former Division I collegiate golfer, Michael Wynn loves writing about golf. He's also an expert in most of America's most popular sports, writing extensively for on football, basketball, and baseball.

Michael's a Las Vegas native and has been with the company since 2017.

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