Betting Picks and Predictions for Serie A Round 38 – May 20-22 (2022)

| May 18, 2022 4:06 am PDT

It’s still all to play for ahead of the final weekend of the 2021-22 Serie A season. With two points separating first-place Milan and second-place Inter, the title race will be decided this Sunday, May 22.

At the opposite end of the table, three teams – Salernitana, Cagliari, and Genoa – will battle it out to avoid the remaining two relegation spots. But who will join Venezia in the second tier next season?

Round 38 is destined to be a thriller – and you can take the excitement to a whole new level by betting on the action. Keep reading to discover my Serie A predictions and picks for Round 38.

Serie A Odds for Round 38

  • Torino (3.50) vs. Roma (2.05)
  • Genoa (2.40) vs. Bologna (3.00)
  • Atalanta (1.22) vs. Empoli (10.00)
  • Fiorentina (1.95) vs. Juventus (3.75)
  • Spezia (5.75) vs. Napoli (1.53)
  • Lazio (1.66) vs. Hellas Verona (4.75)
  • Inter Milan (1.13) vs. Sampdoria (19.00)
  • Sassuolo (6.50) vs. AC Milan (1.45)
  • Salernitana (1.72) vs. Udinese (4.50)
  • Venezia (4.50) vs. Cagliari (1.72)

The latest Serie A odds at Betway may seem a little strange. However, it is important to remember that certain teams require specific results in order to achieve their goals on the final day of the season.

For example, Fiorentina must win to stand any chance of qualifying for the Europa League. The price for Juventus to beat Fiorentina would usually be lower, but Juve has nothing to play for this weekend.

Elsewhere, Cagliari is heavily favored to claim a road win over Venezia. Cagliari needs to claim all three points to escape the drop zone, while Venezia is already relegated.

Anyway, that’s enough about the Round 38 Serie A odds. It’s time to get stuck into my predictions.

Predictions for Serie A Round 38

Below, you can find my Torino vs. Roma prediction, Inter Milan vs. Sampdoria prediction, and Sassuolo vs. AC Milan prediction. You can then find the rest of my Serie A predictions for Round 38.

Roma to Beat Torino

Roma heads into Round 38 in sixth place. With seventh-place Fiorentina and eighth-place Atalanta just one point behind, Jose Mourinho’s men can’t afford to slip up if they want to secure Europa League soccer for next season.

Although Mourinho’s men have recorded three draws and two losses in their last five Serie A games, they have suffered just two defeats in their previous 16 league outings.

Tammy Abraham has been immense for Roma this season, netting 24 goals across all competitions. Having scored 15 goals in 36 Serie A appearances, the Englishman could prove to be the difference on Friday.

As for Torino, they are set for a mid-table finish. The Maroons have nothing to play for on the final weekend, so I’m confident that Roma will secure the victory in Turin.

Inter Milan to Beat Sampdoria

Inter knows that anything other than a win over Sampdoria will hand the title to Milan. Naturally, the defending champions will be desperate to gift the scudetto to their bitter rivals.

Not only have Simone Inzaghi’s boys won each of their last three Serie A games, but they have also won seven of their previous eight. When you look at the bigger picture, they have suffered just four losses in 37 league outings this season.

Thanks to key attackers like Lautaro Martinez (21 goals, 3 assists), Edin Dzeko (13 goals, 7 assists), Hakan Calhanoglu (7 goals, 12 assists), and Ivan Perisic (7 goals, 7 assists), Inzaghi’s boys are the league’s top scorers by some distance.

Fifteenth-place Sampdoria trails second-place Inter by a mammoth 45 points. Since Marco Giampaolo’s men have lost 12 of their past 18 Serie A matches, they aren’t likely to disrupt Inter’s title bid.

AC Milan to Beat Sassuolo

Due to Inter’s superior goal difference, Milan can’t afford to drop points against Sassuolo. If Inter beats Sampdoria, Milan must beat Sassuolo in order to secure the scudetto.

Judging by Milan’s recent form,
the league leaders look set to dispatch Sassuolo. In addition to winning their last five Serie A games, they have avoided defeat in each of their previous 15 (10 wins, 5 draws).

Like many other teams, Sassuolo has nothing to play for on the final day of the season. Alessio Dionisi’s boys are miles clear of the relegation zone, but they are also nine points shy of the European places.

Given that Sassuolo has scored just two fewer goals than Milan, I expect Sunday’s clash to be a tight encounter. Still, I’m confident that Milan will flex their muscles and come out on top.

More Serie A Predictions for Round 38

  • Genoa to Beat Bologna
  • Atalanta to Beat Empoli
  • Fiorentina and Juventus to Draw
  • Napoli to Beat Spezia
  • Lazio to Beat Hellas Verona
  • Salernitana to Beat Udinese
  • Venezia and Cagliari to Draw

Genoa needs to win to stand any chance of avoiding relegation, so I’m backing them to beat Bologna. I also expect Atalanta to beat Empoli, Napoli to beat Spezia, and Salernitana to beat Udinese.

Elsewhere, I can see both Fiorentina vs. Juventus and Venezia vs. Cagliari ending in a draw. Fiorentina and Cagliari can’t afford to lose this weekend, meaning they will do everything they can to avoid defeat.

Best Serie A Betting Picks for Round 38

  • Torino vs. Roma – Roma to Win (2.05)
  • Fiorentina vs. Juventus – Under 2.5 Goals (2.25)
  • Lazio vs. Hellas Verona – Lazio to Win (1.66)

I like the fact that you can more than double your money by backing Roma to beat Torino. Let’s not forget that Mourinho’s men have lost just two of their previous 16 Serie A games.

This season, 23 of Juve’s 37 league games have produced fewer than three goals – the highest number in Serie A. Fiorentina is bound to approach Saturday’s clash with caution, so I expect the teams to dish up under 2.5 goals.

Finally, I’m backing Lazio to finish the season on a high note. Fresh from snatching a late draw against Juventus, the Eagles will be confident of getting the better of Hellas Verona.

Bet on Round 38 at the Best Serie A Betting Sites

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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