Betting Picks and Predictions for La Liga – Round 38 (May 20-22, 2022)

| May 18, 2022 5:31 am PDT

Are ready to bet on the final round of the 2021-22 La Liga season?

The title race may have been decided a long time ago, but there is still plenty of business to sort out this weekend. European places are still up for grabs, while the relegation battle is far from over.

You can find my La Liga predictions and betting picks for Round 38 below. Before we get to those predictions and picks, let’s check out the latest La Liga odds ahead of the final round of fixtures.

Round 38 La Liga Odds

  • Rayo Vallecano (2.00) vs. Levante (3.50)
  • Real Madrid (1.75) vs. Real Betis (4.20)
  • Valencia (3.00) vs. Celta Vigo (2.40)
  • Elche (3.25) vs. Getafe (2.50)
  • Alaves (4.20) vs. Cadiz (1.83)
  • Granada (1.45) vs. Espanyol (6.50)
  • Osasuna (3.60) vs. Mallorca (2.10)
  • Barcelona (2.00) vs. Villarreal (3.30)
  • Real Sociedad (2.80) vs. Atletico Madrid (2.62)
  • Sevilla (2.50) vs. Athletic Bilbao (2.87)

According to the La Liga odds at Betway, five teams are favored to win on their travels this weekend. Celta Vigo, Getafe, Cadiz, Mallorca, and Atletico Madrid are all expected to win on the road.

The home favorites are Rayo Vallecano, Real Madrid, Granada, Barcelona, and Sevilla. Real Madrid and Barcelona have already wrapped up first and second place, but Sevilla could drop from fourth to fifth if results go against them.

La Liga Predictions for Round 38

Without further ado, let’s dive into my predictions for the La Liga Round 38.

Real Madrid vs. Real Betis Prediction

There is no denying that Real Madrid has been the best team in La Liga this season. As we head into the final round of the campaign, the champions sit 12 points clear of second-place Barcelona after losing just four of their 37 games.

Karim Benzema (27 goals, 12 assists) and Vinicius Junior (17 goals, 13 assists) have racked up more goal involvements than anyone else this term. At the opposite end of the field, Thibaut Courtois has kept 15 clean sheets.

Granted, Real Betis has enjoyed an impressive season. But Manuel Pellegrini’s men still find themselves 21 points behind Real Madrid. That tells you everything you need to know about the gulf between the teams.

Betis still stands a fighting chance of finishing in the top four, but I fully expect Los Blancos to end the campaign on a high note.

My Prediction for Real Madrid vs. Real Betis: Real Madrid to Win

Alaves vs. Cadiz Prediction

Cadiz is one of three teams that can finish in the third and final relegation spot this weekend. As it stands, the Pirates occupy eighteenth place. But they are level with Mallorca on 36 points and only one point behind Granada.

Sergio Gonzalez’s boys secured a vital 1-1 draw against Real Madrid last time out, building on last month’s draw with Sevilla. Those results will give them plenty of belief as they prepare to beat the drop on Sunday.

As for Alaves, they have already been relegated from La Liga. Not only have they suffered the most losses this season (22), but they have also scored the fewest goals (31). Few would argue that they don’t deserve to go down.

Alaves has nothing but pride to play for this weekend. By contrast, Cadiz’s top-flight status is on the line. That’s why I’m backing Cadiz to seal the deal.

My Prediction for Alaves vs. Cadiz: Cadiz to Win

Sevilla vs. Athletico Bilbao Prediction

The task for Sevilla is simple: avoid defeat against Athletic Bilbao on Sunday to secure Champions League soccer for next season.

Thankfully for Julen Lopetegui’s men, they are pretty good at avoiding defeat. In fact, no team has registered fewer La Liga losses this season. It is also worth noting that Sevilla boasts the best defensive record in the division.

On the flip side, the best that Athletic Bilbao can hope for is a place in the Europa Conference League. The Lions head into Round 38 in eighth place – 12 points behind fourth-place Sevilla.

A draw will be enough for Lopetegui’s men, but I can see them claiming all three points this weekend. After all, they have consistently upset the La Liga odds throughout the campaign.

My Prediction for Sevilla vs. Athletico Bilbao: Sevilla to Win

Remaining Round 38 La Liga Predictions

  • Rayo Vallecano to Beat Levante
  • Valencia and Celta Vigo to Draw
  • Getafe to Beat Elche
  • Granada to Beat Espanyol
  • Osasuna and Mallorca to Draw
  • Barcelona to Beat Villarreal
  • Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid to Draw

Here are the rest of my La Liga predictions for Round 38. As you can see, I’m backing Rayo Vallecano, Getafe, Granada, and Barcelona to triumph this weekend.

With so much at stake on the final weekend of the season, I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a number of draws. Some teams will be desperate to avoid defeat in Round 38, leading to tight and cagey encounters.

Top La Liga Picks for Round 38

Rayo Vallecano vs. Levante – Rayo Vallecano to Win2.00
Valencia vs. Celta Vigo – Both Teams to Score1.75
Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao – Sevilla to Win2.50

The odds for Rayo Vallecano to beat Levante are seriously attractive. Given that Levante has already been relegated, I expect Rayo Vallecano to finish the season on a high note with a victory on home soil.

In my eyes, the BTTS wager is the best bet for Valencia vs. Celta Vigo. Why? Because both teams have scored in 24 of Valencia’s 37 La Liga games this season (65%).

If the odds for Rayo Vallecano to beat Levante are seriously attractive, then the odds for Sevilla to beat Athletico Bilbao are out of this world. I recommend jumping on this price before the bookmakers change their minds!

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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