Best NFL Player Prop Bets – Week 7, 2020

| October 22, 2020 12:46 pm PDT

My NFL player props panned out nicely last week. Teddy Bridgewater was held under 256.5 passing yards (-115), as expected, and Derrick Henry (EVEN) definitely topped 20.5 fantasy points.

Those two hits made betting on NFL player props worth your time, but my other two plays did whiff.

JuJu Smith-Schuster (+110) didn’t score a touchdown, and Ronald Jones II had a huge game, but wasn’t the first player to score (+900) in his game, either.

I’ll take a 50% win rate anytime, though, as it’s always better than losing. This week, I’ll look to break the tie, as I’ll be handing out five week 7 NFL player props.

Here are the 5 best player prop bets to target at online NFL sportsbooks.

Ben Roethlisberger Under 273.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Given his weapons and a matchup with a fairly beatable Tennessee Titans secondary, normally I’d think Big Ben airs it out here.

Sadly, Roethlisberger just isn’t that quarterback in 2020.

It’s unclear if he just can’t do it, but his 7.1 yards per attempt (his lowest in a full season since 2013) don’t promote optimism here.

Tennessee is allowing plenty of passing yards, but both of these teams wouldn’t mind controlling this game on the ground. Whether by design or not, it feels weird betting on Big Ben to top a mark he hasn’t come close to (high is 239 yards) this season.

Derrick Henry Under 85.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Staying in that same game, I’ll kick things over to the other side, where I’ll bet against Derrick Henry having a monster day.

Blasphemy, I know. It’s hard to write these words, seeing as Henry went ham last week with over 200 rushing yards.

That was against the very worst run defense in football, though. A huge chunk of his insane rushing yardage total came from one play, too.

Henry is a monster. Even if he’s not crushing it, sheer volume could get him where he needs to go. However, he’s fallen short of his yardage total twice this year, and I think he could do so again.

The problem? Henry is going up against the NFL’s top run defense.

Pittsburgh can put pressure on the passer, but they also swarm the running game. The Steelers have allowed a grand total of 274 rushing yards on the entire season, along with one run over 20 yards.

It just makes too much sense for Pittsburgh to sell out to stop the run, and then bank on their pass rush making life a living hell for Ryan Tannehill.

Aaron Jones Over 77.7 Rushing Yards (-115)

This dude is going to eat. Aaron Jones isn’t in my top week 7 NFL DFS picks for nothing. He’s a beast on his own, having already racked up 374 yards and five scores on the ground.

Jones and his Packers pals were very much held in check last week, but it’s only logical to anticipate a considerable bounce-back game.

Not only is that probably true, but Jones gets the same mouth-watering matchup Henry smashed last week.

Houston’s defense as a whole is garbage, and they come into the week allowing over 150 more rushing yards than anyone else in the league.

Houston has also given up the most big plays (nine runs over 20 yards) on the ground this year, and there’s no end in sight. Barring injury, Jones should have his way and easily top this yardage total.

Ezekiel Elliott to Score a Touchdown (-200)

I’ll eat a little money here, as this just feels like a rock-solid bet. Elliott was not good last week, as he fumbled twice and took the blame for a devastating loss on Monday Night Football.

Zeke will be out to redeem himself this week, while it only remains natural for the Cowboys to ride their best player. Andy Dalton isn’t going to win games by himself, so Elliott needs to touch the ball as much as possible, after all.

That should bode well for him in this spot, as the Washington Football team has allowed eight scores on the ground in 2020 – good for third-most in the NFL.

Elliott should have plenty of paths to success here, too. Washington is allowing 4.4 yards per carry, and also ranks 26th in rushing yards allowed. Expect a big outing for Zeke as the Cowboys get back on the winning trail in week seven.

Latavius Murray Over 41.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

When everyone else zigs, you zag. That’s my betting and DFS philosophy, at least. Alvin Kamara is the guy most people will flock to concerning week 7 NFL player props – especially from this game.

That, or they’ll get baited into props involving Michael Thomas in his likely return to the field.

I’ll pivot away from both, and just bank on Murray getting 42 rushing yards in a game where the matchup demands it.

If the Saints are smart, they’ll know that their ground game is their ticket to a win here. Carolina has a very good pass defense, while their run defense (4.9 yards per carry allowed) is quite suspect.

Murray is a game-plan dependent player, and this feels like a spot where he could crush. He’s seen 12+ carries three different times in 2020, and he’s also topped this yardage total each time that’s been the case.

I think the Saints give him the ball quite a bit in this spot, and it translates to a winning bet when looking at this prop.


This feels like a great week to bet on the NFL. You can use my favorite week 7 NFL player props above, or choose from the endless supply of prop bets at the top NFL sportsbooks.

These wagers don’t bring back crazy money. They just feel like really strong bets that have a good chance at converting. If you desire more upside, just hit up BetOnline and wait until they release their NFL player prop bets for the week.

For everything else, be sure to keep checking our NFL betting picks.

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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