Best NFL Player Prop Bets – Week 6, 2020

| October 15, 2020 11:40 am PDT

Another week of football is upon us. As I’ve warned in other NFL betting posts throughout the week, we always need to keep our heads on a swivel thanks to COVID-19.

The Falcons vs. Vikings game is the next matchup at risk, and it’s a bummer because it has one of the highest totals of week six. That was a spot where I wanted to get exposure for my week 6 NFL DFS lineups, and it would have also been a great game to target for week 6 NFL player props.

I’ll cross that one off the list, but there is still a lot to like going into the new week. Last week worked out swimmingly for my NFL player prop bets, as Mike Davis topped 37.5 receiving yards (-115), and Baker Mayfield kept his passing yardage total under 249.5 yards (-103).

Russell Wilson was completely shut down in the first half last week against Minnesota, so he missed badly in a 289.5 passing yardage prop. Still, we will always take a 66% winning percentage.

Going into week six, I’ll tack on an extra player prop you should be excited to bet on. Let’s see which week 6 NFL player props I like the most.

Teddy Bridgewater Under 256.5 Passing Yards (-115)

If you want some upside this week, you can take a look at my week six NFL upset picks. One of my favorite values is Chicago, who take on the 3-2 Carolina Panthers.

Neither of these teams are likely as good as their record indicates through five weeks, but I trust the Bears a bit more defensively.

This is a good spot to bet on the Bears, as well as bet against Teddy Bridgewater. Things just don’t set up beautifully for him, as Chicago’s pass defense has been solid, and they’ve done a good job containing running backs out of the backfield, as well as limiting big plays.

Opposing quarterbacks have a 85.4 quarterback rating against the Bears, and last week we saw Tom Brady pass for just 253 yards in this matchup. Bridgewater probably won’t bust big plays in this spot, and with both teams landing in the bottom-15 of pace of play, this game projects as a slow, defensive battle.

JuJu Smith-Schuster to Score a Touchdown (+110)

Most NFL player touchdown prop bets don’t offer this much value. Not that this is insane value, but usually these wagers are listed with -105, -110, or -115 odds.

You’re getting a little bit of upside here, and I really like JuJu to do some damage this week. He’s scored just once since week one, and everyone will probably flock to Chase Claypool in daily fantasy circles – if not prop betting, as well.

Claypool went off last week, but instead of sulking about his slightly diminished role, JuJu celebrated the success for his teammate.

Being seen in a positive light by your quarterback is step one toward having a huge game.

While the interest in Claypool is valid in all regards, Smith-Schuster is in the same exact spot, which figures to be a promising one against a suspect Browns secondary. Cleveland has allowed the second-most catches, the third most yards, and the second-most touchdowns to wide receivers on the year.

Someone on the Steelers is hauling in a receiving score or two this week, and I like the overlooked JuJu to do it.

Ronald Jones II to Score First Touchdown (+900)

My weekly NFL player prop bets have turned into a safe zone, to be sure. I’m just trying to get you wins these days, and since I’ve switched up my style, the victories have been coming.

That said, there is always a place and time for a good, old fashioned swing for the fences. One I really like for week six is Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones II being the first guy to score in a tense battle with the Green Bay Packers.

Jones only has one rushing score on the year, but this is a pure matchup play. Green Bay still has a porous run defense. It just doesn’t look as bad as it should because they keep building big leads and forcing teams to throw.

I would not be shocked if Green Bay’s first turnover of the year came on their first dive against a pretty good Tampa Bay defense. That, or the Bucs get the ball first and just run it down the Packers’ throat.

One way or another, the Buccaneers should move the ball in this one, and I think if they get close early, Jones could be the first to punch it in against a Green Bay defense that has allowed the fourth-most rushing scores on the season.

Derrick Henry Over 20.5 Fantasy Points (EVEN)

Let’s end with a Derrick Henry prop bet. I’d definitely be down for betting on his rushing yards, too, but as I write this, odds aren’t available for that.

His wager to score (-275) is a bit too thick from a pricing perspective, but I need to get some betting exposure to this guy. His matchup with the Houstons Texans is just too good.

Houston is under new leadership after firing Bill O’Brien – and they did look better last week – but they still rank dead last in rushing yards allowed in 2020.

James Robinson ran pretty well against them last week, but the Jaguars couldn’t stay in the game, so he suffered because of it. Henry is a really good bet to score in this spot (possibly twice), and I’d be a little shocked if he didn’t top 100+ rushing yards.

Henry has only topped 20 fantasy points once this year, but I like his chances of doing it again in week six.

Summary

The top US betting websites have been a bit slow to release NFL player props, pretty much all year. Your best bet remains BetOnline if you want good props early in the week, but it’s anyone’s guess when props will ever go live.

Even so, there are some good week six NFL player prop bets to target, as seen above. You can definitely take the logic associated with these picks and use it for other props, as well as apply it to some game wagers.

For a little more help in that department, be sure to check out all of our week six NFL picks at our sports betting picks page (hit the link at the top of the article).

Noah Davis
Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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